Russian Pensioners Get Little Relief
August 23 2016 - 8:50PM
Dow Jones News
MOSCOW—Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev warned that Moscow has no
money available to raise pensions further in line with last year's
high inflation rate, news that is likely to be unwelcome ahead of
parliamentary elections in September.
"We don't possess enough resources to carry out [an] extra
pension adjustment," Mr. Medvedev said Tuesday at a meeting with
government officials.
The cost of living has skyrocketed in Russia in recent months,
driven by a massive drop in the ruble's value and the government's
ban on Western food imports. In 2015, consumer prices rose 12.9%,
the highest annual increase since 2008. But Russia's government has
only increased pensions by 4% since the start of this year.
Moscow has often raised pensions to offset inflation. In a
country with an aging population, retirement incomes are seen as a
key factor in maintaining social stability. The number of
pensioners increased by more than 15% in the past two decades.
Members of United Russia, the ruling party, had raised
expectations of another pension increase this year ahead of the
September elections. But Mr. Medvedev, the party leader, dashed
such hopes Tuesday.
He said pensioners, whose annual average monthly payment is
around $187, will receive a one-time payment of 5,000 rubles ($77)
in January. Pensioners will still receive an increase in their
payments to reflect this year's inflation, Mr. Medvedev said. But
that figure, likely to be around 6%, would be the lowest since
1991.
Denis Volkov, a sociologist at independent pollster Levada
Center in Moscow, said the prime minister's statement was unlikely
to affect United Russia's public approval ratings less than four
weeks before the elections, although it could become an issue in
campaign debates.
The pension news may be good for the broader economy, however.
In the absence of new inflationary risks, the central bank may have
room to cut lending rates.
"The decision is favorable for monetary easing. It will be among
arguments for a rate cut in September," said Stanislav Murashov, an
analyst at Raiffeisen Bank in Moscow.
Uncertainties remain for central bank policy. Mr. Medvedev said
federal budget revenues had fallen because of the sustained drop in
oil prices, so the country's budget deficit would exceed 3% of
gross domestic product—a ceiling set by President Vladimir
Putin.
So far this year, the price for a barrel of oil, Russia's key
export, has averaged $40, far below levels of $100 and higher that
Russia received in the past decade.
More unpopular measures by the government may follow the 2018
presidential elections. Government officials told The Wall Street
Journal that Moscow is considering raising income taxes as it is
running out of money to fill budget gaps.
Write to Andrey Ostroukh at andrey.ostroukh@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 23, 2016 20:35 ET (00:35 GMT)
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