Oil Prices Edge Up in Wake of 'Brexit' -- 2nd Update
June 27 2016 - 5:53AM
Dow Jones News
By Miriam Malek and Jenny Hsu
Oil prices edged higher on Monday as global trading reopened for
the week following the U.K.'s unexpected decision to leave the
European Union on Friday.
The global benchmark, Brent, was trading up 0.4% at $48.59 a
barrel. Its U.S. counterpart, West Texas Intermediate, was trading
up 0.3% at $47.80 a barrel.
Oil prices plunged by nearly 7% at one point on Friday as
Britain's decision to exit the EU, known as "Brexit," surprised
investors, triggering a selling spree across global markets.
The volatility is likely to remain over the near term, as the
pound fell further on Monday and sent the U.S. dollar soaring. A
stronger greenback makes oil more expensive for traders using other
currencies, typically pushing prices down. But most analysts agree
that strong oil market fundamentals are likely to limit losses to
prices.
The U.K.'s vote to leave the EU will likely have only a minor
impact on global oil supply and demand since Britain accounts for
less than 2% of the world's oil demand. Still, the move has shaken
investor confidence in the region's economic growth, with some
fearing it could lead to a copycat reaction in other EU
members.
A potential slowdown in investment could mean less regional
output, which would narrow the supply and demand gap in oil.
"On a positive note, the vote could delay producers' investment
plans, making them hesitant to bring back investment even with a
bounce in prices, especially in the U.S.," said Morgan Stanley in a
note.
The bank said the most crucial factors in oil are still refined
products supply, China demand, and the macroeconomic outlook.
In Asia, refining margins have collapsed because of a glut of
refined products pumping out of China. But one analyst suggested
that demand would remain fundamentally strong.
"The thing is people will continue to drive their cars and they
will still need fuel during the winters," said Aaron Lynch, an
analyst at optionsXpress.
On Friday, the number of active rigs digging for oil in the U.S.
fell for the first time in four weeks, according to data by
industry group Baker Hughes Inc.
The news is a reversal in a recent trend that saw rigs
recovering. A decline suggests U.S. producers may not be as quick
to return to the market as many analysts thought.
Write to Miriam Malek at Miriam.Malek@wsj.com and Jenny Hsu at
jenny.hsu@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 27, 2016 05:38 ET (09:38 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.