Monksdream
1 year ago
Opendoor Technologies Inc NASDAQ: OPEN
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Real Estate : Real Estate Management & Development | Small Cap ValueCompany profile
Opendoor Technologies Inc. is an e-commerce platform for residential real estate transactions. The Company, by leveraging software, data science, product design and operations, it manages a marketplace for residential real estate that offers buyers and sellers an enhanced experience. Its products include a first-party (1P) product and a third-party (3P) product. The 1P product enables the sellers to sell their home directly to customers and the Company resell the home to a home buyer. By selling to Opendoor, homeowners can avoid the stress of open houses, home repairs, overlapping mortgages and the uncertainty that can come with listing a home on the open market. The 3P product offering connects the home seller with either an institutional or retail buyer, facilitating the transaction without customer taking ownership of the home. Sellers can request an offer from its network of buyers, while also receiving an Opendoor offer. It operates in approximately 44 markets across the country.
Earnings spotlight: Thursday, August 3 - Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Amgen (AMGN), Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), ConocoPhillips (COP), Booking Holdings (BKNG), Opendoor Technologies (OPEN), and Wayfair (W). Seeking Alpha analyst Jaime Galvin said "Amazon's crown jewel, AWS, continued to shine, but growth and margins now look to be decelerating sharply."
gfp927z
1 year ago
Good point. The Debt / GDP is horrendous, and will only get worse over time. Between the spiraling debt and the global de-dollarization process, there are bound to be some big changes coming at some point. I figure having an allocation to gold/silver makes sense, to balance the stocks, bonds, cash.
>>> De-Dollarization Is Happening at a βStunningβ Pace, Jen Says <<<
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=171724285
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gfp927z
1 year ago
santafe, Thanks :o)
It would seem logical for the Fed to cool it for a while, and see how the economy is responding. They can always dial up a few more rate increases later if needed. But Powell is apparently obsessed with the 'Volker mistake' of the 1970s, where the Fed dropped rates too early and then had to clamp down even harder later.
One way to avoid that would be to not overdo it now. The lag time between rate hikes and the economic effect makes the Fed's job a tough one, and historically the Fed tends to tighten too late, and keep the brakes on too long. Powell already screwed up with his 'transient' assumption, so we'll see what happens. Inflation is not nearly as entrenched today as it was in the 1970s, and might resolve faster than expected as the supply chains return closer to normal.
Concerning the short term CD approach (as opposed to T-Bills or money market), this does reduce your flexibility somewhat, since it's possible the stock market will take off to the upside before the CDs mature, and selling them early presumably would entail a penalty. But sounds like a good strategy, although having zero in stocks has risks of its own. Fwiw, I figure a permanent 10-15% stock allocation (S+P 500) provides discipline to have all bases covered. Currently I'm at 29%, but could quickly drop it down to 15% if things start to unravel in earnest.
Thanks for your insights :o)
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gfp927z
1 year ago
santafe, >> I sold all of my stocks and went to 80% fixed income <<
Just curious if a) you are using short, medium, or longer term bonds (Treasuries I assume?), and b) if you view the large bond position as a longer term investment, or a shorter/mid term parking place until the stock market finally bottoms out, and then you will transition back into the stock market?
If 'b', then wouldn't T-Bills or the money market be a safer and more flexible alternative to the bonds? T-Bills at over 5% look pretty good all things considered, and money markets are over 4.5%. With the bonds you can also get a capital gain, so I assume that is the attraction?
Thanks for any insights into your strategy :o)
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santafe2
2 years ago
Yes, lots of speculation and gambling going on now. If we consider that the Fed may continue to raise interest rates through mid-summer and that it appears student loan forgiveness is dead in the water and student loan payments are scheduled to begin again this September, it may be a few years before home prices stop falling. According to the St. Louis Fed home prices just leveled off in Q4 '22. It's going to be a long year for OPEN. We'll have to reassess at the end of the year. That is, if they've survived. Given their recent foray into multi-million dollar homes, I'm not so sure they can make it. For example, they have a home in San Diego listed for $28MM and another one listed for $23MM. What were they thinking moving into this high end market?