CNO Financial Affirmed at Neutral - Analyst Blog
October 04 2011 - 10:30AM
Zacks
We reiterate our Neutral recommendation on CNO Financial
Group, Inc. (CNO) on the back of strong operating
performance in most of the business segments, which are offset by the
pricing challenges in the long-term care business, lower revenues
in the Bankers’ Life segment and the ongoing market
volatility.
CNO Financial reported second-quarter net operating income of
$57.5 million or 20 cents per share, slightly ahead of the Zacks
Consensus Estimate of 18 cents. This also compares favorably
with income of $44.9 million or 16 cents in the year-ago
quarter.
The value of CNO Financial’s investment portfolio is steadily
increasing. Additionally, CNO Financial has been able to improve
its cash position over the years even after fulfilling its interest
obligations and making huge payments for stock repurchases and debt
repayment. This has been possible due to substantial growth in cash
flow from operating and financing activities.
Moreover, CNO Financial is taking steps to reduce costs in
order to
improve its bottom-line.The company amended its credit
facility in May 2011 to reduce its borrowing costs on the
total debt in
the ongoing volatile interest rate environment.
Besides, healthy financial ratings bode well for CNO Financial’s
growth. In June 2011, Fitch affirmed the issuer debt rating (IDR)
of CNO Financial at “B+”. It also affirmed the IFS of Bankers Life
and Casualty at “BBB-“ and those of Conseco
Life Insurance Company, Bankers Conseco Life Insurance Company,
Colonial Penn Life Insurance Company and Washington National
Insurance Company at “BB+”.
The rating agency also upgraded the debt rating of the company’s
senior secured credit facilities. Such rating upgrades are expected
to reduce policy surrenders and withdrawals and increase borrowing
ability.
However, there are some weaknesses, which partly offset the
positives of CNO Financial. The top-line performance of the
Bankers’ Life segment has been deteriorating over the years. The
revenues and premium collections of the segment have declined
considerably from 2008 to 2010. The reduced earnings from annuities
and health products are mainly responsible for the weakening
performance of the segment.
Moreover, the results for the last few quarters show that CNO
Financial continues to face underwriting and pricing challenges in
the long-term care business. The current interest rate environment,
which is generating spread compression, will continue to put
pressure on the bottom line.
Further, CNO Financial had a balance of about $309
million outstanding under its senior secured credit
agreement as on June 30, 2011. The company has to make principal and
interest payments on its outstanding indebtedness.
Hence, CNO Financial requires significant amounts of cash each
year to fund its operations and repay debt. Moreover, the senior
secured credit agreement has various restrictive covenants and
ratio standards, which need to be maintained.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CNO Financial’s third-quarter
2011 earnings is currently 18 cents per share, up 13.8% year over
year. For full year 2011, the Zacks Consensus Estimate stands at 75
cents per share, up 15.6% from 2010.
CNO Financial competes with AFLAC Inc. (AFL)
and Torchmark Corp. (TMK).Currently, the company
carries a Zacks #3 Rank, which translates into a short term Hold
rating, indicating no clear directional pressure on the shares over
the near term.
AFLAC INC (AFL): Free Stock Analysis Report
CNO FINL GRP (CNO): Free Stock Analysis Report
TORCHMARK CORP (TMK): Free Stock Analysis Report
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