Neutral on Citrix Systems - Analyst Blog
July 06 2011 - 4:15AM
Zacks
We downgrade our recommendation on
Citrix Systems Inc. (CTXS) to Neutral based on its
current valuation. The stock price has soared more than 94% in the
last year. Citrix is growing gradually as virtualization and cloud
computing becomes essential for large enterprises to reduce costs
when the economy begins to recover from the recession. As a leading
provider of enterprise software with desktop virtualization at its
core, the company will benefit from the latest trend of
globalization.Management raised its financial forecast for full
fiscal 2011.
The desktop virtualization market
is expected to accelerate further in 2011. While server
virtualization currently has an addressable market size of
approximately 35 million servers’ worldwide, desktop virtualization
has the potential to impact more than 600 million desktop users in
corporate environments alone. Research firm Gartner estimated that
desktop virtualization will be applied in 100 million personal
computers by 2013. Centralized management of employee desktops will
provide greater security, control and cost savings. At the same
time, virtual desktop will also give end users flexibility, choice
and self service. Desktop virtualization market size may exceed $1
billion in 2011.
Citrix has a very healthy liquidity
position. At the end of the first quarter of 2011, the company had
above $1,638.8 million of cash and marketable securities. Balance
sheet remains free of any debt obligations. Furthermore, the Board
of Directors of Citrix has enhanced its share repurchase program by
$500 million.
Nevertheless, Citrix is currently
trading at the high-end of its 52-week price range. At present,
Citrix is trading at significantly higher multiples compared with
the S&P 500 average with respect to several valuation metrics.
We believe the above mentioned positives are already reflected in
the current valuation leaving little room for above market gain
anytime soon. Citrix primarily competes with VMware
Inc. (VMW) and Red Hat Inc.
(RHT).
CITRIX SYS INC (CTXS): Free Stock Analysis Report
RED HAT INC (RHT): Free Stock Analysis Report
VMWARE INC-A (VMW): Free Stock Analysis Report
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