By Will Parker and Sarah Chaney
Home sales hit their high mark for the year in December, a sign
that favorable mortgage rates and low unemployment are starting to
lure more house hunters back into the market.
Sales of previously owned homes increased 3.6% in December
compared with November to reach a seasonally adjusted annual rate
of 5.54 million, the National Association of Realtors said
Wednesday.
Compared with a year earlier, December sales of existing homes
were up 10.8%, though December 2018 was a particularly weak month
for sales and economic uncertainty around the federal government
shutdown caused some buyers to delay purchases, NAR found.
Now, after a slow start to the year, the second half of 2019
showed a pickup in activity that brought total sales for the year
to 5.34 million, the same pace as in 2018.
That is giving the housing market fresh momentum going into
2020, especially with the economy continuing to grow and borrowing
rates remaining attractive. The average interest rate on a 30-year
xed mortgage was 3.65% as of Jan. 16, according to Freddie Mac,
down from 4.45% a year ago.
"Would-be buyers are likely to stay optimistic," said Zillow
economist Matthew Speakman.
While inventory remains tight, there are some encouraging signs
that home building is picking up. Housing starts hit a 13-year high
in December. And home-builder sentiment in December, as measured by
the National Association of Home Builders, was higher than it has
been during any month since 1999.
For some home buyers, it has simply taken all year to find a
deal that makes sense.
Alisa Knapp, 31 years old, and her husband, Howard, had been
looking for a home in the range of about $500,000 in Portland,
Ore., last spring, but were repeatedly outbid and decided to
suspend their search. They set out again this fall with a new
approach: increase their budget and find a home with extra units
that can be rented out, to help cover the higher mortgage cost.
The Knapps closed on a triplex in the Boise neighborhood of
Portland last month. They were able to factor in expected rental
income on their mortgage, and as first-time home buyers, they took
advantage of the low down payment allowed for mortgages backed by
the Federal Housing Administration.
"There's a decent amount of risk," Ms. Knapp said of her new
life as both homeowner and landlord. "But hopefully over the next
few years we can stabilize it."
Despite the ramp up in sales, some economists remain cautious
about whether activity can remain this strong. Home buyers across
the country are finding very few options on the market that meet
their expectations and their price targets.
Though demand is high, there was only a 3.0-month supply of
homes on the market at the end of December, compared with 3.7 in
November and in December 2018. December's inventory was the lowest
for NAR records tracing back two decades.
That limited housing stock is contributing to higher home
prices, with the median sales price for an existing home in
December up 7.8% on year to $274,500. Inventory has been
particularly tight at the cheaper end of the market, restraining
sales. Inventory for homes priced below $100,000 declined 14.3% in
December from a year earlier.
"It is remarkable to see this juxtaposition of high home sales
and low inventory," said Brad Hunter, managing director of real
estate advisory firm RCLCO. "In my opinion, we would see even more
transactions happening if inventory were not so tight."
Though the pace of price acceleration had been slowing in recent
months, the December figures indicate that trend could be
reversing, said Mr. Speakman of Zillow.
NAR's chief economist, Lawrence Yun, also said that price growth
is a cause for concern next year.
"Areas that are relatively unaffordable or declining in
affordability are starting to experience slower job growth," he
said. "The hope is for price appreciation to slow in line with wage
growth, which is about 3%."
December home sales varied greatly with geography, according to
NAR's report. The strongest markets were the Northeast and the
South, while in the Midwest sales actually decreased 1.5%.
News Corp, parent of The Wall Street Journal, operates
Realtor.com under license from the National Association of
Realtors.
Write to Will Parker at will.parker@wsj.com and Sarah Chaney at
sarah.chaney@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 22, 2020 16:09 ET (21:09 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.