U.S. Government Bonds Gain Amid Global Growth Concerns
February 19 2019 - 12:45PM
Dow Jones News
By Daniel Kruger
U.S. government bond prices rose Tuesday as investors are
becoming increasingly concerned about signs of a slowdown in global
economic growth.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell to 2.638%,
according to Tradeweb, down from 2.666% Friday.
Yields, which fall when prices climb, declined as investors
focused on signs of slowing growth in Europe and Asia. Sentiment
about current conditions in Germany fell in January, the ZEW
Institute said Tuesday. Economists at Deutsche Bank now forecast
Germany's economic growth at just 0.5% this year. If that
prediction comes true, it would be the country's weakest expansion
rate since 2013.
In China, where growth and consumer sentiment has eroded amid a
bruising trade dispute with the U.S., auto sales declined again
last month, with passenger-vehicle deals off 18% from a year
earlier, China's Association of Automobile Manufacturers said
Monday.
The rise in demand for safe assets such as U.S. Treasury debt
shows "there's a full recognition of how bad the global economy is
right now," said Andrew Brenner, head of global fixed-income at
NatAlliance Securities.
Investors have begun to expect the Federal Reserve's next move
on interest-rates -- from its current range of 2.25% to 2.5% --
will be to lower them rather than raise them, Mr. Brenner said.
Fed funds futures, which investors use to bet on the path of
central-bank rate policy, shows the probability of a rate increase
by year-end is 3% versus 11% odds for a rate cut, according to CME
Group data early Tuesday. One month ago, the likelihood of a rate
increase in 2019 was 31% compared with 3% for a reduction.
Write to Daniel Kruger at Daniel.Kruger@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 19, 2019 12:30 ET (17:30 GMT)
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