BOND REPORT: Treasury Yields Rise As Fed's Harker Says He Could Back March Rate Hike
February 21 2017 - 9:01AM
Dow Jones News
By Joseph Adinolfi, MarketWatch
European yields rise after strong PMI data
Treasury yields climbed Tuesday following hawkish comments from
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Patrick Harker, who
said over the weekend that he would likely support raising interest
rates at the central bank's upcoming March meeting, if he sees more
evidence that economic growth and inflation are accelerating.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note climbed 3.7 basis points
to 2.452%, while the yield on the two-year Treasury note gained 3.3
basis points to 1.219%. The yield on the 30-year bond rose 3.3
basis points to 3.056%. Bond yields rise as prices fall.
Over the past few weeks, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen
and a host of other Fed officials have intimated that an
interest-rate increasethe policy-setting Federal Open Market
Committee's meeting on March 14-15 remains on the table. Their
remarks contrasted with the perceived dovish tone from the central
bank's most recent monetary policy outlook, released in
January.
However, Fed-funds futures, which are used by investors to place
bets on the future path of interest rates, are presently pricing in
a less than 20% chance of a March hike, according to data provided
by the CME Group.
Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester also struck a hawkish
tone, meaning she endorsed a path of raising rates sooner than
later, in remarks delivered over the weekend. But her words carried
less weight because she's not a voting member of the central bank's
interest-rate setting committee.
But the increase in yields over the past week suggests that
"people are starting to believe that March is back on the table,"
said Kevin Nicholson, chief market strategists at RiverFront
Investment Group.
On the policy front, recent reports suggest that President
Donald Trump's efforts to pass corporate tax reform have met with
heavy opposition from retail lobbying groups and some Republican
senators,
(https://www.wsj.com/articles/as-tax-debate-heats-up-lawmakers-struggle-to-think-of-a-plan-b-1487327400)
according to a Friday report in The Wall Street Journal.
Treasury yields shot higher after Trump's unexpected electoral
victory partly due to the expectation that his economic policies
would cause inflation to accelerate. Typically, when investors
expect prices to rise during the lifespan of a bond, they demand a
higher yield to offset them.
In Europe, government-bond yields rose after the eurozone
composite purchasing managers index for February came in at its
highest level since April 2011, a sign that economic growth is
picking up, according to a research note from Capital
Economics.
The yield on the 10-year German bund rose 2.5 basis points to
0.324%, while the yield on the 10-year French bond rose 5.2 basis
points to 1.106%. The yield on the 10-year Italian bond rose 2.9
basis points to 2.208%.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 21, 2017 08:46 ET (13:46 GMT)
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