SM Energy Beats on Volume Growth - Analyst Blog
August 02 2011 - 9:45AM
Zacks
SM Energy
Company’s (SM) second-quarter 2011 profit recorded a
substantial jump on higher production, divestiture operation as
well as higher price realization. The company reported second
quarter adjusted earnings of 91 cents per share, handily beating
the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 54 cents and showing a significant
improvement from 16 cents earned a year earlier.
Total revenue of $377.9 million
leaped 78.5% from $211.7 million in the prior-year quarter and
comfortably surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $301 million.
Oil, gas and natural gas liquid (NGL) production revenues
contributed $333.9 million (up almost 90% year over year) to the
total revenue.
Operational
Performance
The company’s second-quarter
production came in at 436.9 million cubic feet equivalent per day
(MMcfe/d), up a considerable 58% year over year, and ahead of
management’s target range of 396–429 MMcfe/d.
SM Energy produced 262.7 million
cubic feet per day (MMcf/d) of natural gas in the quarter,
reflecting a 43% year-over-year growth. Oil production also climbed
31% year over year to 20.4 thousand barrels per day (MBbls/d).
Natural gas liquid contributed 8.7 MBbls/d to the total volume.
Including the effect of hedging,
average equivalent price per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) was $7.89
compared with $7.36 in the year-ago period. Average realized prices
(inclusive of hedging activities) were $5.01 per Mcf of natural gas
and $84.40 per barrel of oil, down 10% but up 30%, respectively,
from the comparable quarter last year.
On the cost front, unit lease
operating expense (LOE) decreased approximately 27% year over year
to 84 cents per Mcfe in the quarter. Transportation expenses
increased substantially to 42 cents per Mcfe (from 20 cents in the
year-ago period); general and administrative expenses were 69 cents
per Mcfe (down 32%); while depletion, depreciation and amortization
(DD&A) expenses decreased 9% to $2.90 per Mcfe from the
year-earlier level of $3.17 per Mcfe.
Liquidity
Operating cash flow improved to
$226.7 million during the quarter from $119.2 million in the
year-ago quarter. At the end of the quarter, the company had cash
balance of $101.1 million and long-term debt of $630.3 million,
with debt-to-capitalization ratio of 32%.
Guidance
SM Energy raised its 2011
production guidance to a range of 162–167 billion cubic feet
equivalent (Bcfe) from the prior expectation of 146–152 Bcfe. The
guidance represents a year-over-year growth of 47–52%. For 2012,
the company also provided preliminary production forecast in the
range of 225–232 Bcfe, anticipating a year-over-year growth of
35–40%.
LOE expense per Mcfe will likely be
in the range of 90 cents to 96 cents and 88 cents to 93 cents for
the third quarter and full year, respectively. The company also
expects DD&A to remain in the $2.90–$3.10 range for the third
quarter as well as full year.
SM Energy boosted its capital
budget to $1,550 billion from its prior expectation of $1,080
billion for 2011, to reflect continued drilling activities in the
company’s operated Haynesville shale position in East Texas until
its leasehold position is held by production in 2012. The company’s
preliminary 2012 capital spending is expected to remain within
$1,400–$1,500 million.
Outlook
Denver, Colorado-based oil and gas
company, SM Energy remains proactive in its attempt to hold a
significant position in emerging shale plays and focus more on
resource, with an inventory of repeatable drilling prospects and a
high rate of return. We believe that the company’s emerging core
portfolio is a positive catalyst for visible organic growth over
the next several years.
During the quarter, SM Energy
initiated negotiations regarding the divestiture of a large portion
of its Eagle Ford Shale assets. The arrangements are a part of SM
Energy’s objective to offload approximately 20% to 30% of its total
250,000 net acre Eagle Ford Shale position. We believe these
divestitures will help the company to streamline its portfolio
while holding a significant position in emerging shale plays.
However, our long-term Neutral
recommendation stems from SM Energy’s natural gas-weighted
reserves. The company derives a significant portion of its
operating revenues from natural gas. Consequently, it may face
near-term headwinds in this sector on the back of struggling
commodity prices.
SM Energy’s competitor,
Range Resources Corporation (RRC) also reported
stellar second-quarter 2011 earnings piggybacking on higher
production level, realized prices along with lower unit costs.
We currently retain our long-term
Neutral recommendation on SM Energy. The company holds a Zacks #3
Rank, which is equivalent to the short-term Hold rating.
RANGE RESOURCES (RRC): Free Stock Analysis Report
SM ENERGY CO (SM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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