Cosan Posts Impressive 1Q - Analyst Blog
August 17 2011 - 7:00AM
Zacks
Cosan Limited
(CZZ) posted encouraging results for the first quarter of 2012,
registering a year-over-year increase both in revenue and net
income. Net income in the quarter was R$2,299.3 million (US$1,446.1
million), up from roughly R$0.4 million (US$0.2 million) in the
year-ago quarter.
The quarter’s results include the
impact of Raizen formation, excluding which its net income in the
quarter comes to R$111.3 million (US$70 million).
Revenue
Considering the top line, net
operating revenue in the quarter was R$5,188 million (US$3,262.9
million), up 29.7% year over year but below the Zacks Consensus
Estimate of US$3,979 million.
Starting from the first quarter of
2012, Cosan revised its business units giving effect to the
formation of Raizen. The company’s business units before Raizen
were CAA (including Sugar, Ethanol and Cogen; Cosan Alimentos; and
Corporate), CCL (including Fuel Distribution and Lubricants) and
Rumo (Sugar Logistics).
Business units after Raizen
comprise Raizen Energia (including Sugar, Ethanol and Cogen; and
Cosan Alimentos), Raizen Combustiveis (Fuel Distribution), Rumo
(Sugar Logistics), and Other Business (Lubricants and
Corporate).
Sugar revenue jumped 5.4% to
R$873.9 million (US$549.6 million) while Ethanol sales soared 80.4%
to R$643.8 million (US$404.9 million). Sugar production in
the quarter decreased 6.7% year over year to 1.2 million tons while
crushed volume was down 7.5% to 18.4 million tons.
Margins
Cost of goods, as a percentage of
revenue, soared 60 basis points to 88.7% and also registered a
30.6% increase on a year-over-year basis leading to gross margin of
11.3% in the quarter. Selling and general and administrative
expenses, as a percentage of revenue, plummeted 40 basis points and
10 basis points, respectively.
Formation of Raizen contributed
roughly R$3.3 billion (US$2.1 billion) to operating income, which
amounted to R$3.5 billion (US$2.2 billion) in the quarter. Income
in the year-ago quarter was R$137.9 million (US$76.6 million).
Balance Sheet/Cash
Flow
Exiting the first quarter of 2012,
Cosan’s cash and cash equivalents (including restricted cash)
plummeted 7.7% sequentially to R$1,338.4 million (US$852.5 million)
while debt (loan and financing, net of current portion) decreased
by 41.0% to R$3,699.4 million (US$2,356.3 million).
Cash flow from operations was a
negative R$107.6 million (US$67.7 million) versus R$653.7 million
(US$363.2 million) in the year-ago quarter. Capital spending in the
quarter decreased 34.9% year over year to R$491.5 million (US$309.1
million).
Outlook
For fiscal year 2012, management
anticipates that consolidated net revenue would be in the range of
R$25.0-R$27.5 billion; EBITDA in the range of R$1.8-R$2.2 billion
and capital expenditure in the range of R$2.0-R$2.3 billion.
Raizen Energia:
For the fiscal year 2012, management anticipates crushed sugarcane
volumes to range within 53-56 million tons (versus prior
expectation 56-60 million tons), sugar volume sold within 3.9-4.3
million tons (versus previous expectation 4.2-4.6 million tons),
and ethanol volume sold within 2-2.3 billion litres (versus prior
expectation of 2.1-2.3 billion litres). Volume of energy sold is
expected to range within 1.2-1.4 million MW (versus prior
expectation of 1.4-1.6 million MW). EBITDA is likely to be within
R$1.9-R$2.1 billion range as compared with R$1.9-R$2.3 billion
expected earlier.
Raizen
Combustiveis: For the fiscal year 2012, management
anticipates fuel volume sold to be within the 21.0-23.0 billion
litre range and EBITDA to be within R$0.85-R$1.05 billion
range.
Rumo: For the
fiscal year 2012, management expects volume of loading to range
within 9-11 million tons and volume of transportation to be within
6-8 million tons.
Other Business:
For the fiscal year 2012, management anticipates volume of
lubricants sold to be within 0.17-0.19 billion litres.
Cosan Ltd. is one of the world’s
largest producers of sugar and ethanol. It faces stiff competition
from rivals like Archer Daniels Midland Company
(ADM) and Copersucar - Cooperativa de Produtores.
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