Manufacturing Outlook Not That Bad - Analyst Blog
July 01 2011 - 4:57AM
Zacks
The busy economic docket of this first day of July notwithstanding,
Stocks may not do much today ahead of the July 4th weekend. But
they have done plenty lately. In fact, the sharp gains in the last
few days enabled the market to recoup earlier losses and
effectively break-even for the quarter. And today's ISM
Manufacturing report is expected to show that this late-quarter
surge was not solely due to optimism about Greece.
The better-than-expected Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
on Thursday provided a favorable backdrop for the June ISM
Manufacturing report coming out today. The reassuring aspect of the
Chicago PMI read reflects the auto-centric nature of the region's
manufacturing base. Please recall that it was Japan-related issues
in the auto industry that drove the decelerating trend in the
nation's manufacturing sector.
The late monthly release of the Chicago PMI is also significant as
it likely enabled this regional survey to capture improvements in
business conditions in the second half of June that earlier
manufacturing reports may not have encountered. Of the earlier
regional manufacturing surveys, the Empire State and Philly Fed had
been disappointingly weak.
All in all, this favorable manufacturing trend should strengthen
the case for a second-half recovery following a Japan-related
temporary pause in the second quarter. Confirmation of this trend
in the coming days will prove that the late-quarter surge in the
market was not solely due to optimism about the Greek story, but
was partly inspired by fundamental improvements in the economy.
In corporate news,
Eastman Kodak (EK) was
disappointed by a delay in its patent case against
Apple (AAPL) and
Research In
Motion (RIMM). The company expects to extract roughly $1
billion in licensing fees from these two companies as a result of a
favorable outcome in the case.
On the earnings front,
Darden Restaurants (DRI)
came out with inline resuslts, but the owner of Olive Garden
boosted dividned by 34%. Results from
Apollo Group
(APOL) came in better than expected, though student enrollment
rates for the for-profit school operator were still on the weak
side.
APPLE INC (AAPL): Free Stock Analysis Report
APOLLO GROUP (APOL): Free Stock Analysis Report
DARDEN RESTRNT (DRI): Free Stock Analysis Report
EASTMAN KODAK (EK): Free Stock Analysis Report
RESEARCH IN MOT (RIMM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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