Stocks Lose Gains as Geopolitical Tensions Linger -- Update
December 11 2018 - 5:16PM
Dow Jones News
David Hodari and Akane Otani
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 edged lower
Tuesday, capping off a choppy session that sent major indexes
lurching between gains and losses.
The blue-chip index swung 570 points from its high to its low
and changed direction seven times as investors parsed headlines
about trade and a potential government shutdown.
Stocks began the day on a high note, with the 30-stock index
climbing as much as 368 points after President Trump said on
Twitter that "very productive conversations" were happening around
trade. Shares of auto makers also rose after China agreed to reduce
tariffs on U.S. cars.
But typical of the volatile trading environment of the past two
months, the indexes couldn't hold on to the gains. The Dow slumped
as much as 202 points after Mr. Trump sparred with top Democrats,
threatening to shut down the government if Congress didn't fund his
proposed border wall.
Although stocks staged a brief comeback heading into the end of
the trading day, the Dow reversed course yet again. Five of the
seven directional changes happened in the last 90 minutes of the
trading day, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
The volatile session ultimately left major indexes little
changed for the day, with the Dow industrials falling 53.02 points,
or 0.2%, to 24370.24. The S&P 500 ended down 0.94 point, or
less than 0.1%, to 2636.78 and the Nasdaq Composite added 11.31
points, or 0.2%, to 7031.83.
Analysts cautioned that the swings that have taken a hold of the
market in recent weeks could extend into the end of the year.
Investors are grappling with a range of worries that they fear
could disrupt the long U.S. stock rally, including flaring
geopolitical tensions and slowing growth.
Traders also appear to be less willing to scoop up shares
following selloffs, something many have attributed to a desire to
lock in returns as year-end approaches.
"The fragility of the market stems from the awareness that 2019
will not look anything like 2018 in terms of earnings and economic
growth," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley
Financial. "Investors are getting used to this idea that this could
be as good as it gets."
Apple shares fell 97 cents, or 0.6%, to $168.63 as the company
tried to get a Chinese court to reconsider its decision to ban
sales of older iPhones in China.
The court ruling added another source of friction in the trade
skirmish between the world's two largest economies, as did the
recent arrest in Canada of a top executive at Chinese firm Huawei
Technologies.
Elsewhere, the Stoxx Europe 600 rose 1.5%, reversing course
after U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May's postponement of a crucial
Brexit vote in Parliament Monday sent shares sliding. Ms. May's
decision to pull the vote further diminished many investors'
willingness to bet on U.K. assets, some said.
"If you're a macro investor, you're going to get blown out of
the water by events like yesterday's," said John Wraith, head of
U.K. rates strategy at UBS.
"It makes investors incapable of trading those markets with any
conviction whatsoever, so you see a lot of fund managers staying
neutral and keeping their exposure to a minimum."
Shares in Asia were mixed, with India's Nifty 50 index slumping
1.9% after the governor of its central bank unexpectedly resigned
from his post.
Japan's Nikkei Stock Average fell 0.3% and booked its second
straight loss, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.1% and snapped a
four-session streak of losses.
Central banking policy was also a subject of focus in the U.S.,
where data showed producer prices -- another gauge of inflation --
rising for the third consecutive month.
Investors and analysts widely expect the Federal Reserve to
raise short-term interest rates when it meets next week, with CME
Group data suggesting the market is pricing in a 78% probability of
a rate increase.
Any forward guidance out of the Fed will be closely scrutinized,
especially since some investors believe Chairman Jerome Powell has
conveyed mixed messages over recent months. Mr. Powell jolted
markets after suggesting rates weren't close to neutral and then
subsequently appearing to backtrack on those remarks.
"I think he got a bit ahead of himself saying that we're not
close to neutral," said Mark Heppenstall, chief investment officer
at Penn Mutual Asset Management. "I think that was language we
weren't prepared for and it helped tip the market. Now I think
you'll see his language more focused on gradual patience."
Write to David Hodari at David.Hodari@dowjones.com and Akane
Otani at akane.otani@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 11, 2018 17:01 ET (22:01 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.