S&P 500 (SP500) News

What do YOU suppose happens if July 4th comes along and we still can't break out from old highs? What happened when the world learned of a Pandemic? When the FED made the announcement Stagflation is coming? When trump announces a war with Iran? Debt to GDP is now higher than start of WW II. All great news. Best case scenario we slip/slide slowly till Independence Day. OR even go flat.

Here i go again, declaring a PANDEMIC will cause a deep drop and everyone told me the market already determined it was already absorbed in the price. For FIVE WEEKS! Astonishing how a guaranteed outcome can be vigorously dismissed. I am besides myself how humans can display such ignorance and build massive denials till it smacks them in the face. Trump. Trade Wars, Real Wars, Economic Calamity, Debt. We shrug it off and then get shocked when the laws of physics work.

Cross your fingers. let's hope JULY 4th starts out with a celebration.

VIX----Fib at 19.39 LITS Again !!----S1--19.36 ---- S2 18.60 !-----(15 min Red Line close to Pivot 20.46---Needs stay below for Bullish )

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=176340665 $VOO $VIX $SPY $QQQ $DIA

VIX HOD 22.17---Now LITS ??---Day 7 above 15 min Red Line-----Bears Above !

ES---S1 6012----S2 5995 ---Declining into previous Falling Channel !

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5989----R1--6008----S1--5961-----SPY Pivot--598-----ES Pivot--6043-----VIX Pivot--20.47 !!LOL!!

THE TOP is IN. For SPX and DOW. Might get a marginally higher high in Nasdaq. Stagflation announcement by the FED itself should be enough to topple this behemoth. World trade wars should be enough to topple these extreme valuations and future expectation, the Buffett 10 plus quarters of ever higher cash hoard should be enough to topple this mega bull run. Add Trumps destroying the constitution and literally attacking politicians and handcuffing them for doing their JOB!

The ability to create TULIP BUBBLES, DOT COM BUBBLES and condensing them within a span of years with the same result is astonishing. We seem to ignore the reasons why we allowed the bubble to get so big and why it burst so quickly. We have yet to be able to break emotional dominance from common sense and logic.

All analysts, all prognosticators are predicting a minimum of 2 years before we hit a top. That means TRUMP is not destroying this economy and in fact helping it. The past history of trade wars has been solved and is now beneficial. Valuations this high for this long only means we entered a new paradigm.

A crash like 1929 is the most LOGICAL, or even 1987. The only difference is that "I" believe it will be worse in duration and impact. Worse than the great depression. I believe it will take decades bottom feeding to even start to crawl back. I also believe JULY 4th has major significant.

The FED literally spelled out the definition of Stagflation dead ahead. Many newspapers recognized this and spelled it out for you. In such an environment EVERYONE losses BUT like announcement of a Pandemic we shrugged it off as if science and past facts had no meaning.

GOOD LUCK FOLKS trying to have this one pass you by. Prepare for it. Never mind. Carry on.

Some humor, but maybe some truth!

"Too Late" Powell
"Too Late" Powell pic.twitter.com/hmZ0yYygYU— Ramble_Rants (@ramble_rants) June 18, 2025

I heard today was a big VIX options expiration day (month?) and when that happens one commentator said that VIX usually goes higher that day or in the days ahead. With conflict in middle east and also Powell's Q/A's session at 2:30 pm, anything can happen, but I won't hold my breath for a big rise until there is "more data"! lol

VIX---S1 20.16---Now LITS ?? ( VIX still above 15 min Red Line ?? )

Yes! Right on Target----Retake Pivot then R1 6012----601C LOD .57----Hod 1.84!---The Bots know just where to juice it to keep her out of the dungeon !!

Looking good. I'm having the Millionaire Blues. Wonder if Uncle Powell wii give the fake inflation blues!

2pm -2:30 FOMC interest- GREEN GREEN

Charts---SPX 5 min 2 day Falling Wedge-----Base/Support Monday LOD at 5963 ?

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5993----R1--6012----R2--6042----S1--5983----S2--5944-----SPY-- Pivot--598-----ES Pivot--6045-----VIX Pivot --20.98 !!LOL!!

ES testing support at Fib 6037 ??----SPX Support into Tues S2 5983 ?

Hi Ho Silver! Last to RUN !!---Watching SILJ ?? ( See what happens on retest of 35 ?? )

Shortages in Silver Bullion Physical Silver a major shortage of silver exists. The current silver market is facing a considerable deficit, characterized by demand surpassing supply, with forecasts suggesting that this situation will persist until 2025. This shortfall is primarily fueled by a rising industrial demand for silver, especially in industries such as electronics, solar energy, and electric vehicles. $SPY

$SPY: Now $4.60..... gave it to you at $4

Makin EZ MONNNnnnnnnnnnnnnneyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=176331841


GO $SPY

Reenter on Break S2 ? SPX Getting support at Upper T/L old Falling Channel & S2 ??

Scalped /Out 597P .78! Daily Double on Fade ! Take It at S2 !!!

SPX S2 5983? See if They hold it there ??

Ridin 597P .37! SPX 5 min Red Line Fade !

VIX---Day # 5 above 15 min Red Line--Bears Above-----VIX Fib at 21.41 LITS ??

$SPY: $575 Jul.11 puts at $4 now...................

Time for a $SPY retreat.............. thanks to Doofus BoZo TRAMP.......... gettting ready to bring on WW3


GO $SPY

~sold for .04c the 6/20 $620 calls 
Bought some 6/23 $621 calls @.05c

Inflation is cumulative 
Both sides need to get their heads out of their butts.

SPX Bracket 6025---6075!----ES Support Fib at 6037----Resistance Fib at 6087!----ES 5 /15 min 2 day Rising Channe !! ( No Visiual on SPX---ES Very Clear !! )

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--6029----R1--6054----R2--6075-----S1--6008-----SPY Pivot--602-----ES Pivot--6074-----VIX Pivot--19.33 ----Nice SPX #'s----!!LOL!!

~bought some 6/20 $620 calls @.02c 

Ya!--SPX resistance R2 Needs to hold 5 min Red Line & stay above Upper T/L Falling Channel------ES support Fib at 6087 again ----VIX at 15 min Red Line around 19.14----Bears Above///Bulls Below!----Interesting!----Well problems again---looks like have to do a repull job 270 footer Dang!----Lucky have 2 wells----on the road rest of day for parts!---check in later !!LOL!!

S&P500 is now sniffing out going above R2 at 6051. Got to 6,050.83 and now backed off a touch. Obviously written into the algo codes!

A Battered Iran Signals It Wants to De-Escalate Hostilities With Israel and Negotiate

Messages passed by Tehran through intermediaries seek a return to talks if the U.S. stays out of the fight

SPX---Falling Channel B/O Must Retake & Hold R1 at 6013 !

ES Retake Fib at 6037---Now Support!----If holds will Void ES 3 Day Falling Channel ?

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5988----R1--6013----R2--6051----S1--5950-----SPY Pivot--597----R1--600----S1--594-----ES Pivot--6014----R1--6065----S1--5988-----VIX Pivot-- 20.57 !!LOL!!

2025 G7 Leaders' Summit, to be held in Kananaskis, Alberta, from June 15 to 17, 2025. Bullish

Russia coming to save Iran. SCO members.

Mon June16- BULLISH- OIl UP, GOLD UP, BITCOIN UP ---->> MARKET GREEN UP TOO!
Futures will try very hard to hold the market together till Trump's announcement on JULY 4th. re: tarif

ES & SPX 60 min Macd's Both xing below O Line ----Bearish Down There !!---VIX 60 min xing above 0 line also Bearish !!----TZA 13.24---+ .69----xover 0 line Weds !

Concur---ES & SPX 15 min now in Falling Channel --Verification ----Both rejected Thurs & Fri at upper T/L new Falling Channel----VIX closed 2nd Day not penetrating 15 min Red Line Downside----Bears Above/////Bulls Below !!

The best thing about all the bombing by Isreal.......
Is that..........no one now knows what to do.
.

Bearish divergent stochastics sell signal, I'm out of everything cept Tesla, war news not good

ES still in Diamond Apex---B/O R1 at 6030---see if they can bust thru & get back on track ??

Watch VIX---Now above 15 min Red Line & Pivot!----Bears Above//Bulls Below-----If VIX starts Stair Stepping up Pivots more Down !---2nd day above Pivot ----( Red Line 233EMA )----Old Fib at 19.39 LITS Rest of Day !!

Yes--Nice Bounce SPX 15 min Red Line and retake S1----now testing support S1 at 6017---got rejected at 5 min Red Line-----needs to retake 5 min Red Line & Pivot for Bullish !---Upper Falling T/l Ty Weds/Thurs Tops----Could Morph into Falling Channel----We'll See ??

Looks like many could did or could have had a great tradeable day w/ calls. Dipped below SPX S2--5989-- briefly in the first hour or so of trading, and now just crossed above S1 at 6017.

Charts: ES--8 Day 15 min Diamond Head & Shoulders Pattern--Right Shoulder B/Down at LOD 5927----B/Out 6030 & Fib at 6037 !---(Have to use a little artistry on this one---#'s look Good !! )

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--6031-----R1--6059----S1--6017----S2--5989----S3--5947-----SPY Pivot--602----R1--605----S1--600----S2--597----S3--592-----ES Pivot--5978----R1--6030----S1--5901----S2--5849----S3--5720-----VIX Pivot--18.10 !!LOL!!

Good Post !