FTX Payouts Begin Today, Will Bitcoin Price Rally Or Crash In Response?
February 18 2025 - 9:00AM
NEWSBTC
The long-awaited FTX creditor payouts are set to begin today,
February 18 after over two years of bankruptcy. This payment, which
is the first batch, is targeted towards targeting smaller
creditors. Nonetheless, the payout could have a few effects on the
crypto industry, especially if creditors receive payouts in crypto.
A crypto analyst, Excavo, has shared his perspective on
TradingView, highlighting the potential liquidity shifts that could
follow FTX’s creditor payouts and the broader implications for
Bitcoin and altcoins. FTX Payouts Kick-Off: How Does This Affect
The Crypto Market? FTX has confirmed that creditor repayments will
commence on February 18, starting with those in the convenience
class category of creditors with claims of $50,000 or less. These
creditors will receive full repayment plus an additional 9% annual
interest accrued since November 2022, totaling approximately $1.2
billion in payouts. Related Reading: FTX Investors Blindsided
By Distribution Rumors, When Is The $16 Billion Coming? For
creditors with larger claims exceeding $50,000, distributions will
begin in Q2 2025, with FTX planning to disburse $7 billion as part
of a larger $16 billion payout in total. As noted by Excavo, the
significance of these payouts extends beyond individual investors,
as the redistribution of these funds could reshape liquidity flows
across the crypto market. If creditors receive payouts in crypto
and decide to sell, it could create downward pressure on the
market. However, most repayments are expected in cash, and it is
now left to see how investors will reinvest them into the market.
The first thought is that most of these repayments will go back
into Bitcoin, which would trigger a Bitcoin price rally. However,
with billions set to enter the market, a significant portion could
flow into altcoins, especially if Ethereum staking ETFs receive
regulatory approval later in 2025. This aligns with speculation
that an altcoin ETF wave could drive capital into other altcoins
like Cardano, Dogecoin, XRP, and most especially Solana. Excavo’s
analysis noted that the lack of liquidity rotation into altcoins
has left many underappreciated, but this could change if a
substantial portion of FTX repayments is redirected into the
broader crypto market and not Bitcoin. Will Bitcoin Crash Or Rally
In Response To FTX Repayments? The total FTX repayment to creditors
is expected to be in excess of $16 billion, with most being cash
repayments. The injection of billions of dollars could cause fresh
buying pressure if reinvested into the market. You could argue that
this is the general consensus among bullish investors. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Price Action: Why The Next 30 Days Could Be A
Game-Changer For The Market For example, some members of the Reddit
crypto community have noted that they are eager to reinvest their
FTX payouts into the crypto industry. “It’s all getting
degen’d straight back into crypto,” one Reddit user
commented. With Bitcoin at the forefront of recent inflows
into the market, the majority of the payout could as well easily go
back into Bitcoin. Crypto analyst Excavo thinks otherwise, noting
that most of the FTX repayments flowing back in will go into the
altcoin market. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at
$95,300, down by 0.75% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from
Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
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