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1 month ago
4 Tech Stocks to Buy Now
By: 24/7 Wall St. | August 13, 2024
• Alibaba
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) might’ve dropped off investors’ radar in recent months following internal management problems, growing regulatory concerns, and ongoing tension between Chinese companies and Western economies, primarily led by the United States.
However, things are in a turnaround stage for the company which dominates roughly 45% of the Chinese online shipping market. For starters, the company’s new CEO Eddi Wu has introduced a plan to put customers at the center instead of merchants, which in the long run could bolster consumer support.
Quarterly and fiscal 2024 results showed that the company delivered strong revenue growth of 7% year-over-year (YoY), or $30.72 billion. BABA has moved sideways this year, with stocks down 0.23% year-to-date (YTD), with some momentum during recent months as the company looks to present a positive turnaround plan.
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2 months ago
Alibaba rises on report it will charge software service fee
By: Bloomberg | July 29, 2024
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. shares rose the most in two months as investors cheered the e-commerce company’s plan to earn more service fees from merchants.
The stock gained as much as 5.8% in Hong Kong on news that Alibaba will start charging a basic software service fee of 0.6% on confirmed transactions for vendors on both the Tmall and Taobao platforms. The policy change was relayed to merchants on Friday, according to a person familiar with the matter. But Alibaba may waive the new policy for small merchants, the person said.
The new measure will boost Alibaba’s core merchant revenue and add to multiple catalysts for the stock, according to Jefferies Financial Group Inc. The company earns the majority of its Taobao and Tmall revenue through customer management fees, which merchants pay to advertise products or better tailor their offerings.
“We view the 0.6% software service fees starting in September as positive to core merchant revenue considering the new arrangement applies to both Taobao and Tmall,” Jefferies analysts led by Thomas Chong wrote in a research note on Sunday.
The shift to a percentage-based fee structure, first reported by local media LatePost, makes Alibaba the last major e-commerce platform to do so. PDD Holdings Inc. started charging merchants a technical service fee of about 0.6%-1% of gross merchandise value since 2020, while JD.com Inc. and ByteDance both levied a 0.6% fee rate last year.
Alibaba currently charges a fixed annual amount to Tmall merchants, which will be waived once the new policy takes effect from September 1. Alibaba will also offer vendors other support measures including an adjustment in criteria for traffic allocation and free refund policies.
The stock is the biggest gainer on the benchmark Hang Seng Index, which is up as much as 2%.
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4 months ago
Alibaba Returns to the Scene of the Crime
By: Arthur Hill | June 8, 2024
• Big breakouts are bullish, but sometimes traders miss the breakout.
• A throwback is a decline back to the breakout zone, which turns support.
• Throwbacks offer traders a second chance to partake in breakouts.
Chinese stocks wet on a tear from mid April to mid May with the China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) gaining some 40% and breaking its 200-day SMA. FXI then fell back over the last few weeks. This surge and pullback created a potential opportunity because some stocks returned to their breakout zones. These so-called throwbacks offer traders a second chance to partake in the breakouts. Today's example will show Alibaba (BABA), which was featured on ChartTrader this past week.
The chart below shows Alibaba with the 200-day SMA (red line) and the Trend Composite in the indicator window. On the price chart, BABA found support twice in the 67-68 area and broke resistance with a surge in May. The two lows in this area formed a Double Bottom and the breakout reversed the downtrend. Also notice that BABA broke the 200-day SMA.
Traders who did not catch the breakout have a second chance because BABA returned to the breakout zone in early June. This is a classic "throwback" to broken resistance, which turns into support. The stock also returned to the 200-day SMA and the decline retraced around 61.8% of the prior surge. This retracement is normal for a pullback within a bigger uptrend. Overall, I see a Support-Reversal Zone in the upper 70s and I am watching short-term resistance at 80. A breakout here would reverse the short-term downswing and argue for a resumption of the bigger uptrend.
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4 months ago
Bear Of The Day: Alibaba (BABA)
By: Zacks Investment Research | May 24, 2024
Alibaba (BABA) is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) as earnings estimates have tracked lower after a recent earnings beat. The company s. This article will look at why this stock is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) as it is the Bear of the Day.
Description
Alibaba Group Holding is one of the leading e-commerce giants in China. Over the last few years, the company has transformed itself from being a traditional e-commerce company to a conglomerate that has businesses ranging from logistics and food delivery to cloud computing.
Earnings History
When I look at a stock, the first thing I do is look to see if the company is beating the number. This tells me right away where the market’s expectations have been for the company and how management has communicated to the market. A stock that consistently beats has management communicating expectations to Wall Street that can be achieved. That is what you want to see.
In the case of Alibaba, I see three beats and one miss of the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The most recent quarter was a beat with the company posting $1.40 when $1.24 was expected. This alone does not make the stock a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and it doesn’t make it a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) either.
The Zacks Rank does care about the earnings history, but it is much more heavily influenced by the movement of earnings estimates.
Earnings Estimates
The Zacks Rank tells us which stocks are seeing earnings estimates move higher or in this case lower. For BABA I see annual estimates moving lower of late.
The current year (2024) consensus number moved lower from $8.99 to $8.26 over the last 60 days.
The next year has moved from $10.10 to $9.17 over the last 60 days.
Negative movement in earnings estimates like that is why this stock is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
It should be noted that a lot of stocks in the Zacks universe are seeing negative earnings estimate revisions. That means that the stocks that are seeing small but negative earnings estimate revisions are falling to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
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4 months ago
Bulls Blast Alibaba (BABA) Stock Despite Earnings Miss
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | May 14, 2024
• Alibaba's profits for the fiscal fourth quarter fell 86%
• Revenue still came in above analysts' estimates, though
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:BABA) stock is down 5.9% at $79.60 at last check, after the e-commerce company's profit for the fiscal fourth quarter plunged 86%, missing analysts' estimates amid cautious consumer spending in China. Revenue still impressed, however, thanks to a focus on low-cost goods.
Today's pullback found support at the $78 region, after the equity yesterday hit its highest level since November. The 20-day moving average also lingers below as a potential floor, as BABA clings to a slim 2.9% year-to-date lead.
Options volume is already running at four times the intraday average, with 161,000 calls and 60,000 puts traded so far. The most active contract is the May 85 call, followed by the June 95 call.
This penchant for bullish bets is far from being the norm. Alibaba stock sports a Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) that ranks in the 87th percentile of readings from the last 12 months. This means short-term options trades have been much more bearish than usual.
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Chart Reader
5 months ago
Chart evaluation on BABA made today (Saturday 5/4)
BABA made a new 6-month intraweek and weekly closing high and closed on the high of the week, suggesting further upside above last week’s high at 81.42 will be seen this week. The stock generated a failure signal against the bears, having closed above the previous weekly close support at 79.62, meaning that the breakdown that occurred in November has now been negated. More importantly, the downtrend that started in October 2020 (from a high of 304.69) and that ended in October 2022, now shows 2 successful retests of it and that suggests that a short-term uptrend could begin shortly. To do that, the bulls need to generate a weekly close above 85.31. If that occurs and is confirmed, a rally up to the $95-$98 level would likely be seen over the following 2-4 months. This breakout is not likely to occur this week or the next but could occur before the end of the month. As a matter of information, the stock could get up to the $113 level over the next 6 months and if that level is broken on a monthly closing basis, A longer term uptrend will begin and have as an objective, a rally back up to the $200 level (which could be seen over the next couple of years). As for as this week, the bulls must now stay above (on a daily and weekly closing basis) the $80 demilitarized zone (79.70-80.30). The 200-day MA is currently at 80.00 and there is short-term pivotal daily close support at 79.84 and pivotal at 78.23. If a weekly close now occurs below 77.51, all of this accomplishment by the bulls will be erased.
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6 months ago
Bearish Trendline Threatening Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) Stock
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | April 2, 2024
• Alibaba stock just brushed its historically bearish 100-day moving average
• The equity is already down substantially over the last 12 months
U.S.-listed shares of China-based e-tailer Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:BABA) are 0.8% lower at $72.80 at last glance, following news that the company bought back shares worth $4.8 billion -- its second largest repurchase ever. BABA is underperforming in 2024, down 6.1% year to date, and a historically bearish signal is flashing that could keep headwinds blowing.
Specifically, Alibaba stock just pulled back within one standard deviation of its 100-day moving average after mostly trading above the trendline since August. According to a study from Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, eight other similar instances occurred in the last three years. After 75% of these occurrences, the equity suffered a drop one month later, averaging a 9.8% loss.
A similar move from its current perch would put BABA near the $65.70 level, surpassing its year-to-date lows and moving to its lowest mark since November 2022. What's more, it would extend the stock's already steep 26% year-over-year deficit.
Sentiment surrounding Alibaba stock is already quite bullish. Of the 15 covering analysts, 12 rate the shares a "strong buy." Plus, short interest dropped 7.4% in the last reporting period.
Now might be the perfect time to speculate on BABA's next move with options. The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 29% sits in the low 8th percentile of its annual range. In other words, options players are pricing in lower-than-usual volatility expectations at the moment.
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8 months ago
A Word and A Chart About and On Alibaba
By: Mish Schneider | January 29, 2024
Alibaba.com is one of the world's largest wholesale marketplaces.
To be honest, I had never gone to their website until today, even though we bought shares in BABA 2 weeks ago. So, in case you are like me and have not checked them out, they sell a lot of consumer items in bulk.
And they also sell pretty much everything. For instance, if you want a 1000w off-grid wind power Free Energy System for your home or business, you can get one and find an online description of the supplier, including their annual revenue. Plus, if you want them in bulk, you can order 1000 sets at a reduced price.
BABA has proven controversial a lot, most recently with a lawsuit settlement on monopolistic practices. However, the impact on their revenues is nominal and, in fact, could be a plus, as the company's stock price trades at just 8x net profits.
Anyway, China overall, has had no shortage of bad press. Yet, before we learned Jack Ma and others bought up to $200 million of BABA stock, the stock looked and still looks appealing to us. If one is looking to be a contrarian to all the bad press, then BABA is a company with solid fundamentals...
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