RealDutch
1 month ago
The ITUP board has no value anymore, except what I post from time to time 😀
Yes, there have been many delays and the company is struggling. But we are also making good progress. Long story, short, there is a 60% probability that I will start buying HERB in december, and 90% in January. We will get there.
RealDutch
2 months ago
We also have an intro page if you scroll down, that tells the story of the asset swap in 2015.
$2.3 billion of assets were swapped out in exchange for roughly the same in high value (cash generating) plantations.
Then they went dark.... the bastards.
Until a couple of years ago when they started filing again.
And now a lot of those assets are gone, as well as all the cash that should have been generated between 2015 and now.
We are talking like 70%+ profit margin on these assets, which is huge. Similar to Nvidia
We don't know what's going on. The company says they have to resolve things (with the Gansu government?).
In the filings they do state they have assets that are off-balance sheet.
They tried special dividends and spin-offs but FINRA didn't allow any of it.
Presumably because the company is keeping the value of the friggin assets hidden from us. So what do you expect...
Just another problematic Chinese company, like so many.
But there could be some very good value here.
If we add all the assets and cash generated then this could be a $20 or $30 stock.
So my belief is that they are keeping > 90% of all assets off-balance sheet.
But we don't know for sure.
The Gansu government can't just rip us off, can they?
That is the big question.
aandt
2 months ago
Since you are Chinese, you can probably do some of your own digging for more info.
What really matters here is the connection to the Gansu Provincial government. If you look at the filings, 83% of HERB is owned/controlled by Gansu Yasheng Salt Chemical Industrial Group. Salt Chemical is a subsidiary of Gansu Agricultural Reclamation Group, here is a Chinese article that details the history- https://www.csfmall.cn/brand/show.php?itemid=694. You can do your own research on Salt Chemical and the Gansu government connections.
The company has several things going on, the financials are good, profitable, etc. But there are assets and value currently off balance sheet after the 2015 asset swap that should eventually be resolved. That's what most here are really holding on for, and what RD is seeing as future value. They have tried a few different corporate exercises to distribute value and perhaps execute an exit, but they have not been able to get past FINRA roadblocks. It has been a long wait, but I still believe some form of resolution is coming.
RealDutch
2 months ago
Long time ago I was invested in AltairNano (ALTI) in the US. I thought (was certain) they had a superior battery tech using lithium-titanate that could do 30,000 cycles (10x more than other li-ion batteries) and you could fast charge in just 6 minutes. It was a startup company and their battery was perfectly suited for electric buses because it had high power and lower energy density compared to other li-ion batteries. Perfect for electric buses if you charge them every 30 - 60 minutes in route. The battery was also suitable for frequency regulation and perhaps trucks etc.
Anyway, the DOE (Department of Energy) in the US was handing out subsidies at the time and guess what? ALTI got none. Zero. Typical, right. The company struggled because the battery was more expensive obviously and most clients went for cheap. No surprise there either, right?
However, a Chinese company was paying close attention and was very much interested, which also happened to produce electric buses... They had been following (spying on) our message board for years and ended up acquiring 50% of ALTI. We as shareholders weren't happy because the price was not what we had in mind but perhaps the collaboration would still result in big success? Like sacrificing the queen in chess so you can win the game and claim victory.
But they made a mess. Cultural differences and all that. I think they had 6 different CEO's in under a year time. And the company was delisted eventueally and the shares became worthless.
Recently I had a look at that Chinese company. They still mention ALTI on their website and are still using the technology. They had a whopping 12% stake in the Chinese market for electric buses in 2021. Which is a big market there. It was just a startup like ALTI 15 years ago. Of course the ALTI shares are still dead. Deregistered. I have no idea if they are worth anything now.
Why I am telling this?
1) To show you how right you can be, and still not profit from it. You usually never do with startup companies.
2) Because HERB could be a similar story where the shares have no value now, but could be worth a lot later on.
3) Because ITUP will be involved in electric buses. Yes sir. And I told them all about this story and the superior battery tech that exists out there. And they will go for it. Over a 20-year period this battery will be roughly 4x cheaper than what other companies are using.
SIAF should have been a winner as well. But it was mismanaged and always had financing issues. HERB could still be a winner. And ITUP/MyCow probably will be a winner although they will face some struggles ahead, for sure.