ElonMuskX
3 months ago
$CYIO spot on analysis in this post!
CYIO Initial valuation and price per share assumptions
Obviously, investors should do their own due diligence and come up with their own valuation model. That being said, I’ve gone ahead and come up with some general targets, based on the currently available public info. I believe we can extrapolate some basic valuation metrics to come up with a projected share price now that this acquisition is officially closed.
Assuming 272 million shares outstanding, here's a breakdown of what the the market cap of the company would be based on reaching various share prices:
• $0.02 per share: Market Cap = $5.4 million (Just over 1x LAST YEAR - 2023 revenues)
• $0.03 per share: Market Cap = $8.1 million
• $0.05 per share: Market Cap = $13.6 million
• $0.06 per share: Market Cap = $16.3 million
• $0.075 per share: Market Cap = $20.4 million
• $0.10 per share: Market Cap = $27 million
What we know so far from the publicly disclosed info is that 2024 & 2025 should have “significant year over year revenue growth”. Let’s just say conservatively it’s approx 50% YOY rev growth. That’s a BIG number!!....which puts us around $6.5-7m in revs for 2024.
Putting a reasonable multiplier of say 2x or 3x on the current year 2024 revs, should give us an idea of where the pps should be perhaps right now, TODAY…not next year, quite literally, Today!!
Using that rev. assumption and market multiplier, you get a mkt cap value in a range of lets say between $15-21million.
Using the valuation table above, would indicate a fair and reasonable current share price TODAY of around say .07c.
Looking to next yr, let’s say they do $10m or $12m in revs based on prior two yr track record of showing consistent 50% YOY revenue growth…for illustration purposes only, lets use the middle number of $11m in 2025 revs and a 3x multiplier: $11m x 3x = $33m mkt cap…putting this well above .10c
Stockfun1
3 months ago
Initial valuation and price per share assumptions
Obviously, investors should do their own due diligence and come up with their own valuation model. That being said, I’ve gone ahead and come up with some general targets, based on the currently available public info. I believe we can extrapolate some basic valuation metrics to come up with a projected share price now that this acquisition is officially closed.
Assuming 272 million shares outstanding, here's a breakdown of what the the market cap of the company would be based on reaching various share prices:
• $0.02 per share: Market Cap = $5.4 million (Just over 1x LAST YEAR - 2023 revenues)
• $0.03 per share: Market Cap = $8.1 million
• $0.05 per share: Market Cap = $13.6 million
• $0.06 per share: Market Cap = $16.3 million
• $0.075 per share: Market Cap = $20.4 million
• $0.10 per share: Market Cap = $27 million
What we know so far from the publicly disclosed info is that 2024 & 2025 should have “significant year over year revenue growth”. Let’s just say conservatively it’s approx 50% YOY rev growth. That’s a BIG number!!....which puts us around $6.5-7m in revs for 2024.
Putting a reasonable multiplier of say 2x or 3x on the current year 2024 revs, should give us an idea of where the pps should be perhaps right now, TODAY…not next year, quite literally, Today!!
Using that rev. assumption and market multiplier, you get a mkt cap value in a range of lets say between $15-21million.
Using the valuation table above, would indicate a fair and reasonable current share price TODAY of around say .07c.
Looking to next yr, let’s say they do $10m or $12m in revs based on prior two yr track record of showing consistent 50% YOY revenue growth…for illustration purposes only, lets use the middle number of $11m in 2025 revs and a 3x multiplier: $11m x 3x = $33m mkt cap…putting this well above .10c
Now, let’s discuss variables and unknown factors that could cause significantly higher targets;
1. How does having a tight cap structure and perhaps having a locked float situation, affect these numbers….i’d argue, that variable could maybe double the above numbers on potential pps
2. The biggest variable is potential other acquisitions….so, maybe you can double the valuation again?? Time will tell.
In summary, based on these metrics and assumptions, the stock appears undervalued below $0.10 and particularly attractive below $0.075.
Please note, these are personal opinions and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.