Is Bitcoin’s Rally Over? New Insights from CryptoQuant Predict a Market Downturn
June 21 2024 - 8:30PM
NEWSBTC
According to the latest insight from a CryptoQuant analyst, Bitcoin
might be poised for a notable price correction. This possibility of
a price correction is based on major Bitcoin metrics such as the
Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (ASOPR), signaling a notable
implication for Bitcoin’s trajectory. Understanding ASOPR’s Role In
Predicting BTC Corrections The ASOPR, a key indicator in the crypto
market, measures the profit ratio of spent outputs by comparing the
value at which coins were bought to the value at which they were
sold. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Below $66,000 Stuns Market,
Why A Drop To $54,930 Is Possible According to the CryptoQuant
analyst, when this ratio exceeds 1, it suggests that coins are
being sold at a profit, which often correlates with bullish market
conditions. However, a critical threshold observed in historical
data is when ASOPR approaches 1.08. At this point, the market tends
to shift, signaling a potential onset of a correction phase. This
pattern has been consistent over several market cycles, providing a
valuable tool for investors to assess the market’s health. For
instance, when ASOPR climbs steadily above 1 but nears the 1.08
mark, investors might consider this an opportune moment to evaluate
their positions before potential downturns. The CryptoQuant analyst
particularly noted: Considering past instances where similar
patterns were observed, there is a possibility that the current
situation might follow the same (down) trend. Another critical
component the analyst mentioned in his BTC market analysis is the
200-day moving average (MA), widely regarded as a barometer for the
long-term market trend. This indicator helps smooth out price data
by creating a constantly updated average price, which can be
pivotal in confirming the overall market direction. A rising
200-day MA suggests a long-term uptrend, while a decline might
indicate a bearish market. According to the chart shared by the
analyst, Bitcoin’s performance below this key moving average
currently confirms the cautious stance suggested by the ASOPR. With
the price hovering around $64,000, a 14% drop from its recent peak,
the convergence of these indicators suggests that the market might
still be in a phase of reassessment and potential adjustment.
Bitcoin Continued Stagnancy The prediction from the metric above is
quite evident, as Bitcoin’s value continues to fall despite
significant positive developments within the industry. Earlier
today, Standard Chartered Plc announced the launch of a new trading
desk for Bitcoin and Ethereum, marking a significant move into spot
cryptocurrency trading by one of the world’s major banks.
Additionally, the Winklevoss twins, founders of the crypto company
Gemini, have publicly supported Donald Trump’s presidential
campaign, donating $1 million each BTC for being a “pro-Bitcoin”
candidate. Related Reading: Bitcoin Analyst Claims BTC
Consolidation Will Continue, Hedge Funds Throw In The Towel
Nevertheless, these developments have not spurred any significant
upward movement in Bitcoin’s price, which has seen a 1.1% decline
in the past 24 hours to $63,935. Analyst Ansem predicts that
Bitcoin may not see a significant price increase until later this
year, anticipating it will remain between $58,000 and $60,000 for
some time. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from
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