CORRECT (9/22): UPDATE: Sun Micro's Value Slides On EU Delay
September 25 2009 - 12:08PM
Dow Jones News
Time is not on Oracle Corp.'s (ORCL) side.
The success of Oracle's $7.4 billion acquisition of Sun
Microsystems Inc. (JAVA) rests on the speed with which the European
Commission completes its extended antitrust review of the deal to
combine the hardware and software giants. Growing evidence suggests
that the review is costing Sun business, potentially making it a
much weaker entity when the deal closes.
On Monday, Oracle Chief Executive Larry Ellison said the
antitrust delay is costing Sun $100 million a month, according to
media reports. His comments follow a report from research firm IDC
that among major server suppliers last quarter, Sun saw the largest
revenue drop, resulting in market-share losses.
According to people familiar with Oracle's thinking, the company
expected the commission's ruling would more closely reflect that of
its U.S. counterpart, which quickly approved the deal. The surprise
calls into question some of the rationale Oracle made for its
purchase of Sun when the companies agreed to the deal earlier this
year.
"My suspicion is also that they were perhaps surprised by the
EU's move," said Brent Williams, an analyst at the Benchmark Co. of
the European Union.
Sun did not respond to requests for comment. Oracle declined to
comment.
While the delay won't have much of an effect on Sun's software
business, its business selling hardware could suffer, Williams
said.
In April, Oracle President Safra Catz highlighted Oracle's
ability to quickly integrate Sun into its existing businesses as
part of the company's rationale for the deal.
"As you know, we have a track record of integrating acquisitions
very rapidly, and this time will be no different," she said in a
conference call discussing the acquisition. "We will combine the
software assets quickly after closing, as we have done with all our
previous acquisitions.
But the delay before the deal's closing is what could hurt
Oracle in this case. In its most recent quarter, Sun's revenue fell
31% to $2.6 billion as the company posted its fourth straight
loss.
Of course, Sun's business could receive a boost when the deal
closes, if customers return to the high-end server maker after the
uncertainty surrounding the deal passes.
Currently, customers have delayed purchases of Sun's equipment
on concerns about what Oracle plans to do with Sun's business
selling high-end servers, according to electronics distributor
Avnet Inc. (AVT.
Executives that manage corporate data centers have been delaying
purchases overall, an Avnet executive said, but the trend has been
more pronounced with Sun equipment.
The downturn, in effect, could give Oracle and Sun more time to
complete the deal, as companies aren't replacing old equipment in
an attempt to cut costs. But the longer the delay, the more
customers may return to the market and purchase equipment from
rivals such as Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) and International Business
Machines Corp. (IBM).
Benchmark's Williams said most corporate data centers have
equipment from Sun as well as its rivals, and lost sales at Sun
could also come from aggressive sales pushes from its competitors
while the Oracle/Sun deal stagnates.
"All of those guys have H-P and IBM (equipment) as well, so
what's undoubtedly happening is that H-P and IBM guys are wading
into the fray," he said.
Oracle shares closed down 16 cents to $21.41 but have risen in
late trading to $21.42. Sun shares closed 5 cents lower at $9.06
and are unchanged in recent trading.
-By Jerry A. DiColo, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2155;
jerry.dicolo@dowjones.com