Apple Inc, (AAPL), has been
stealing the headlines recently, thanks to a series of events
surrounding the world’s most valued company. First, the patent case
against arch rival Samsung Electronics was ruled in favor of Apple,
and secondly, the launch of its much awaited iPhone 5 in
mid-September has kept the company in the limelight.
Although the new iPhone 5 has been viewed with skepticism by
most tech experts due to lack of major differentiation compared to
its predecessor iPhone 4S, the launch has triggered massive
excitement among customers loyal to the Apple brand (read Three
ETFs to Play the Tech IPO Boom).
With orders for around two million handsets booked within the
first day itself, Apple Inc’s stock has flown near the $700 mark
around its all time high levels. At the current market price, its
shares are currently trading at a somewhat elevated P/E ratio but
still a rate that is quite reasonable given its impressive growth
prospects.
Yet as Warren Buffett once said, ‘it is not about buying fair
companies at a great price, but great companies at a fair price’
and Apple seems to still be a great example of this. This could be
especially true if the company gets a solid boost from the latest
iPhone launch and if the firm is able to stave off competition in
its highlight lucrative iPad segment (see Why SSDD Is the Top Tech
ETF).
Also, the launch of its much awaited iPad Mini is expected to
strengthen its foothold in the market for tablets. Traditionally,
Apple Inc’s products were targeted mostly towards the high and
middle end customers; however, the iPad mini seeks to cater to the
needs of those with slightly less to spend on the discretionary
front, potentially opening up the company to an even greater user
pace.
Nevertheless, investors who still remain skeptical about Apple
Inc’s further upside but want a slice of this great company may
want to try out the exchange traded fund (ETF) route. We have
highlighted three technology ETFs which have the largest exposure
to Apple but provide a diversified play on the overall sector as
well.
The iShares Dow Jones US Technology ETF
(IYW), Technology Select Sector
SPDR ETF (XLK) and Vanguard
Information Technology ETF (VGT)
have 24.38%, 20.29% and 19.1% allocation to Apple Inc.,
respectively.
The following table compares the performance of these three ETFs
with that of Apple Inc, on a one year basis from a risk return
tradeoff point of view.
Table 1 (Data as of 13th September,
2012)
ETF
|
Year Till Date Returns
|
1 Year Returns
|
Risk (Annualized Standard
Deviation)
|
% of times Correlation more than 0.70 with Apple’s
Stock Price Performance
|
IYW
|
21.66%
|
28.86%
|
20.30%
|
63%
|
VGT
|
22.00%
|
29.67%
|
20.58%
|
58%
|
XLK
|
24.38%
|
32.67%
|
18.47%
|
61%
|
AAPL
|
69.36%
|
76.41%
|
27.42%
|
N.A.
|
While it is true that exposure to Apple Inc only, would have
generated much more than the ETFs, as the stock comfortably
outperforms its ETF followers (read Three Great Tech ETFs That
Avoid Apple). However, investing in Apple’s stock would have
required an above par risk appetite as it has undergone far more
variations in its returns than the ETFs as reflected by their
annualized standard deviations.
These are certain characteristics that investors could keep in
mind while trying to choose between the individual stock and the
ETFs. However, taking a closer look reveals that major differences
may not exist between them.
It is important to note, over the past 20 months, the one month
rolling correlation of the price performance of IYW bears a
correlation of more than 0.70 with the price performance of Apple’s
stock price 63% of times. The percentage stands at 59% for VGT and
61% for XLK (see Table 1).
This means that majority of the times, the price performances of
these ETFs has a strong correlation with that of Apple Inc. This is
especially noteworthy considering the fact that these ETFs hold
other S&P 500 heavyweights like Microsoft Corp, IBM Corp and
Google Inc in their portfolio (see Zacks # 1 Rank Technology Sector
ETF - Vanguard Information Technology ETF).
Therefore it is prudent to note that for more conservative
investors have a below par risk tolerance, can easily reap the
benefits of being invested in the company through any of these
three highlighted ETFs, mainly thanks to their strong correlation
with the company. At the same time, it reduces company specific
risk which could result in erosion of invested capital arising from
sell offs in the individual firm.
VGT and XLK charge investors 0.19% and 0.18% in fees and
expenses. Contrary to this, IYW charges investors a hefty fee of 47
basis points annually. VGT, the youngest of these three ETFs, has
been able to amass $2.65 billion in total assets. On the other
hand, IYW has the least amount of total assets ($1.93 billion)
among the three, mainly thanks to the hefty premium that it charges
(see more in the Zacks ETF Center).
However, compared to VGT and IYW, XLK has the biggest asset base
of $10.48 billion. Its core focus on the largest technology
companies coupled with a low expense ratio has enabled XLK to win
investor confidence. Also, XLK has the largest Average daily volume
of 8.8 million shares, compared to roughly 185,000 shares for VGT
and approximately 186,000 shares for IYW.
In terms of total number of holdings VGT holds the maximum
number of securities. It has a portfolio of 416 stocks. IYW also
has a fairly large portfolio of 152 securities. However, XLK holds
a concentrated portfolio of 81 biggest technology stocks from the
S&P 500 (see Two Telecom ETFs Outperforming the S&P
500).
In terms of dividend yield, all three ETFs pay out paltry
yields. VGT, XLK and IYW have yield of 0.67%, 1.34% and 0.58%
respectively, suggesting that while any of the three have strong
holdings in Apple, they don’t offer much as a yield
destination.
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APPLE INC (AAPL): Free Stock Analysis Report
ISHARS-DJ TECH (IYW): ETF Research Reports
VIPERS-INFO TEC (VGT): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-TECH SELS (XLK): ETF Research Reports
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