Slim6
2 weeks ago
Consumer prices were 3% higher than a year ago, and core inflation costs were up by 3.3%. Both were beyond the 2% target. This shows that every month, that is 40 months out of 40 most recent months, are all beyond target.
Bad news, all the prior (greater than 25%) cost increases were confirmed and it was confirmed that costs are still going up beyond target. We still have beyond-target inflation and now have most companies reporting lower EPS than prior year.
Stagflation is getting worse. The S&P 500 CAPE which is typically 14-16 is now at the dangerous level of over 36. We could easily see a 60% drop in index valuations. And if earnings keep dropping, we could see a 70% drop or more.