Dow Reaffirms Financial Goals - Analyst Blog
October 07 2011 - 1:57PM
Zacks
The world's
second-largest chemicals company by revenue
The Dow
Chemical Company (DOW) reaffirmed its profit
goals that were laid out in November 2009. The company also
revealed its priorities and financial profiles for its new
operating segments.
Dow Chemical
expects its EBITDA, or earnings before interest, income taxes,
depreciation and amortization, to reach nearly $10 billion in the
near term and $15 billion by the middle of the decade.
The
Michigan-based company will continue to use its cash to slash its
$18.51 billion debt load and is looking at raising its annual
dividend of $1.00. Efficiency for Growth is expected to deliver
cash flows of more than $2 billion by 2015 and $450 million in cost
savings by 2012.
Dow's solar
shingle product, which is designed for installation on roofs like
ordinary shingles and can generate electricity from sunlight, will
officially hit the market this month as part of a partnership with
homebuilder D.R. Horton Inc. Dow expects the product to generate $1
billion in annual revenue by 2015.
Dow plans to
open its own ethylene plant on the U.S. Gulf Coast by 2017 and
expand its production of the chemical at other sites. Dow has not
yet decided where to build the plant. U.S. Gulf Coast investments
in ethylene and propylene integration, coupled with growing
benefits from shale gas dynamics, are expected to deliver at least
$2 billion in EBITDA by 2017.
The plan for
Dow will be to use that ethylene in specialty products that will
help it beat downturns in the commodity chemical cycle, which ebbs
and flows roughly every five years and tends to sharply affect
stock prices.
The company
also plans to form a joint venture with Occidental Chemical Corp.
to make a new chlorocarbon solution used in climate-friendly
refrigerants, initially for automobile air conditioning
systems.
Dow Chemical
also signed a memorandum of understanding with the U.S. Department
of Energy's Argonne National Laboratory for a collaboration to
develop the next generation of materials for advanced battery
technologies.
The company
also announced that it formed an LED technologies business
segment to help answer demand for light-emitting diodes in the
market for solid state lighting.
Also, Dow
announced plans to open offices in Algeria and Ghana as part of a
broader push into Africa. It currently has offices in Egypt, South
Africa and Kenya.
In July
2011, Dow released its second quarter 2011 financial results. The
company earned 85 cents per share in the second quarter of 2011,
ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 80 cents per share as well
as last year’s 54 cents per share. However, including one-time
charges, the company earned 84 cents per share compared with 50
cents per share in the year-ago quarter.
Quarterly
revenues jumped 17% year over year to $16.0 billion and were above
the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.7 billion, driven by
double-digit gains in all operating segments and geographic
areas.
Excluding
the impact of divestitures, volume grew 9% with gains in all
operating segments but Coatings and Infrastructure, which was flat
owing to difficult conditions in construction end-markets, and
Chemicals and Energy. Volume increased in all geographic
areas, led by Latin America (23%) and Asia Pacific
(11%).
Excluding
the impact of divestitures, price rose 19%, with double-digit
increases in all geographic areas. All operating segments except
Electronic and Specialty Materials (up 7%) and Health and
Agricultural Sciences (up 5%) reported double-digit price gains.
Price gains more than offset an increase of $1.5 billion in
purchased feedstock and energy costs.
Sales in the
emerging regions reached $4.9 billion, driven by Latin America,
which increased more than 35% excluding the impact of divestitures.
Volume in the emerging markets increased 14% excluding the impact
of divestitures, with double-digit gains in Electronic and
Specialty Materials, Health and Agricultural Sciences, and
Plastics.
There was no
financial guidance from Dow. However, Dow anticipates demand to
improve further, especially in Asia with the global economic
recovery. The US and European markets have also started showing
signs of improvement. Dow is also optimistic on major consumer
markets, including electronics, coatings, automotive and packaging.
However, construction markets are expected to remain
weak.
Dow faces
stiff competition from EI DuPont de Nemours &
Co. (DD).
Currently,
Dow has a short-term (1 to 3 months) Zacks #4 Rank (Sell) and a
long- term Neutral recommendation.
DU PONT (EI) DE (DD): Free Stock Analysis Report
DOW CHEMICAL (DOW): Free Stock Analysis Report
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