E*TRADE's January DARTs Perk Up - Analyst Blog
February 14 2012 - 12:20PM
Zacks
Online broker E*TRADE Financial
Corporation (ETFC) released its Activity Report for
January 2012 on Monday, recording a sequential rise in average U.S.
trades. However, trades dropped from the year-ago period due to
high market volatility, which pushed investors to the
sidelines.
For the reported month, Daily Average Revenue Trades (DARTs)
were 145,390, up 20% sequentially. However, on a year-over-year
(y/y) basis, it went down 20%.
Broker performance is generally measured through DARTs. These
represent number of trades from which brokers can expect
commissions or fees.
At the end of the month, total accounts came in at approximately
4.3 million, including about 2.8 million brokerage accounts, 1.1
million stock plan accounts and 0.5 million banking accounts.
For the month, total brokerage accounts of E*TRADE included
gross new brokerage accounts of 30,298 and net new brokerage
accounts of 10,041. In January, net new brokerage assets were $0.7
billion, rising from $0.5 billion in the prior month. Total
brokerage accounts and net new brokerage accounts indicate the
company’s ability to attract and retain trading and investing
customers.
During the month, E*TRADE’s customer security holdings were
$126.5 billion, up 7.1% sequentially. Further, brokerage-related
cash climbed 4.7% sequentially to $29.0 billion, as customers were
net sellers of approximately $0.9 billion in securities.
Bank-related cash and deposits remained stable at $7.8 billion in
the reported month.
Quarterly Performance
As of December 31, 2011, DARTs were 140,000, down 15%
sequentially and 7% y/y. Net new brokerage assets reported were
$1.7 billion in the quarter, significantly down from $2.6 billion
in the prior quarter and $2.4 billion in the prior-year
quarter.
Overall, credit quality was mixed during the quarter. E*TRADE's
provision for loan losses jumped 25% sequentially to $123 million.
Net charge-offs were $120.3 million, down from $157.0 million in
the prior quarter, while allowance for loan losses also increased
sequentially to $823 million from $820 million.
For E*TRADE’s entire loan portfolio, special mention
delinquencies inched up 2% sequentially, but declined 21% y/y;
while total at-risk delinquencies inched down 1% sequentially and
fell 27% y/y.
E*TRADE reduced its balance sheet risk further. The company’s
loan portfolio ended the quarter at $13.2 billion, down by $664
million from the prior quarter and $3.0 billion from the year-ago
quarter, mainly related to $544 million and $2.3 billion of
paydowns, respectively.
Peer Performance
Among E*TRADE’s peers, last week TD Ameritrade Holding
Corporation (AMTD) also recorded a sequential rise, but a
year-over-year decline in average U.S. trades for January 2012. The
company’s DARTs were 374,000, up 18% sequentially, but down 17%
y/y.
Our Take
The competitive position in the market for brokerage business
depends on trading customers, predominantly active traders. As the
long-term investing customer group is less developed against the
trading customers, there is an opportunity for future growth
whenever the long-term customers expand.
Development of innovative online trading and long-term investing
products and services, delivery of advanced customer service,
creative and cost-effective marketing and sales, and expense
discipline can be considered as key factors in executing E*TRADE’s
strategy to profitably boost its trading and investing
business.
Furthermore, E*TRADE’s initiatives to reduce balance sheet risk
are encouraging, although it may add near-term pressure on the
interest margin. Though the company’s capital position and
improving delinquency trends are positive, regulatory issues in the
current uncertain environment is on the downside.
Yet, improvement in new brokerage accounts suggests that
management is focusing more on the company’s core business and the
decreasing operating expenses reflect better expense
management.
E*TRADE currently retains a Zacks #3 Rank, which translates into
a short-term Hold rating. Also, considering the fundamentals, we
are maintaining a long-term Neutral recommendation on the
stock.
TD AMERITRADE (AMTD): Free Stock Analysis Report
E TRADE FINL CP (ETFC): Free Stock Analysis Report
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