Cheesecake in Expansion Mode - Analyst Blog
June 17 2011 - 11:08AM
Zacks
The Cheesecake Factory
Inc. (CAKE) recently announced its plan to double its
domestic cheesecake factory units from the current 150.
CAKE reaffirmed its development
target of 6–9 units this year. The timeline for most of the
openings will be back-end loaded. During the first quarter, the
company opened one new The Cheesecake Factory restaurant in
Texas.
Apart from the traditional unit,
management is exercising different sized formats depending on the
needs of the market. Its smaller-prototype models (4 to date) are
generating above $1,000 per square feet, which is well above
targeted returns. In addition to the 8,000 square feet design, the
company will open a 7,200 square feet restaurant this year in
Danbury, Connecticut.
The Cheesecake Factory’s expansion
plans go beyond its domestic boundaries. In January the company
inked a deal with Kuwait-based Alshaya group of companies to build
and operate 22 Cheesecake Factory restaurants over the next five
years in five countries, namely United Arab Emirates, Kuwait,
Bahrain, Qatar and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The agreement also
included growth plans in other markets in the Middle East and North
Africa, Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and Turkey. Management
sees a fondness for American dining brands in these regions and
seeks to capitalize on this in full.
In addition, the company is
evaluating other international markets and potential partners.
Cheesecake management believes its agreement with foreign partners
provides another stream for revenue growth along with its existing
domestic operations.
The company is also concentrating
on its other two brands, Grand Lux Cafe and RockSugar Pan Asian
Kitchen, for future growth. Presently the company has 13
restaurants under the Grand Lux Café mark and one under the
RockSugar Pan Asian Kitchen.
Management expects to have one
Grand Lux Cafe open by the end of the first quarter next year.
However, the company remains skeptical about the expansion of
RockSugar as it is a unique brand featuring the flavors of
Southeast Asia and generally gets a higher check average compared
with Cheesecake Factory. Given the slow economic recovery,
management prefers to take a wait-and-see approach for the spread
of this brand and remains in search of a site where the concept
could be successful.
The company’s close competitors
include BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI ) and Krispy Kreme Doughnuts
Inc. (KKD). Cheesecake currently retains a Zacks #3 Rank,
which translates into a short-term Hold rating.
BJ'S RESTAURANT (BJRI): Free Stock Analysis Report
CHEESECAKE FACT (CAKE): Free Stock Analysis Report
KRISPY KREME (KKD): Free Stock Analysis Report
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