TIDMPCI

RNS Number : 2071C

Petroceltic International PLC

15 January 2015

Dublin

15 January 2015

Petroceltic International Plc

Operational Update, 2015 Production Outlook and Capital Expenditure Programme

Petroceltic International plc (AIM: PCI) ("Petroceltic" or the "Company"), the oil and gas exploration, development and production company focused on the Middle East and North Africa, the Mediterranean and Black Sea regions, today provides an operational update and guidance for its 2015 production outlook and exploration and development work programme.

Highlights

-- 2014 production at the top end of guidance range at 22.6 Mboepd; 2015 forecast production range of 16.5 to 18.5 Mboepd

-- Significant progress on the Ain Tsila project in Algeria; Front End Engineering and Design and Gas Sales contracts awarded; EPC contract award expected late 2015/early 2016

   --     Operational delays on Shireen exploration well in Kurdistan - forward options being reviewed 
   --     Egyptian receivable decreased by 35% in the year to $53 million (2013: $81 million) 
   --     Year-end net debt significantly reduced to $153 million (2013: $246 million) 

-- 2015 capital programme of $174 million, of which $80 million will be carried under the terms of the Algeria farm-out

-- Organisation being restructured to enhance focus on core assets, most notably Algeria and Egypt

   --     North Port Fouad licence award offshore Nile Delta ratified in January 2015 
   --     Capital Markets Day to be held on 28 January 2015 

Brian O'Cathain, Chief Executive of Petroceltic commented:

"Petroceltic's production and development business performed well in 2014. Production was in line with guidance and a series of important contract awards in respect of the Ain Tsila development asset in Algeria are expected to enable the Engineering Procurement and Construction contract to be awarded by early 2016. During 2015, we will be focussing strongly on delivery from our core producing assets and de-emphasising certain exploration initiatives, while maintaining exposure to long term growth wherever possible.

The current volatility in oil markets, while challenging, has a limited impact on our daily business, as most of our production is fixed price gas in Egypt or Bulgarian gas priced on a long time lag. Our Algerian gas and condensate production is not due on stream until the second half of 2018, when most market commentators and indeed the forward curve suggests that oil will be priced at a significant premium to current levels. We expect to benefit from the current price weakness in oil markets to attract competitive bids for our main Ain Tsila EPC contract. "

Production Performance and Outlook

Average 2014 production from the Company's interests in Egypt and Bulgaria was in line with prior guidance as upgraded at the Interim Results at approximately 22.6 Mboepd on a working interest basis (11.9 Mboepd on a net entitlement basis). Production for 2014 benefitted by 1.9 Mboepd due to reduced gas reinjection at the West Dikirnis field in Egypt in response to requests from the Egyptian Government to increase gas sales in the first three quarters of the year. Production returned to normal levels in Q4 and is currently 17.4 Mboepd. The average daily production rate for 2015 is expected to be in the range of 16.5 to 18.5 Mboepd, comprising approximately 85% gas and 15% liquids. Egypt and Bulgaria are expected to contribute 90% and 10% of the total production volume, respectively.

Financial Performance

The bulk of Petroceltic's 2014 production and receipts came from Egypt, where improved availability of external capital to the Egyptian Government facilitated material payments to international oil and gas companies operating in the country, including Petroceltic. As a result, the level of receivables in Egypt now stands at approximately $53 million (2013: $81 million). Net debt at year end was significantly reduced at $153 million (2013: $246 million).

Approximately 85% of the Company's production in 2015 will be gas which is either sold under Egyptian fixed price contracts or Bulgarian contracts which are linked to the cross border price of gas into Bulgaria from Russia. Therefore, the recent decrease in global commodity prices are expected to have a relatively limited impact on revenues for H1 2015.

The current low oil price environment has, however, enhanced the Company's focus on its core production and development assets, optimising production volumes and costs and actively managing activities and capital expenditures on the Algerian Ain Tsila project to secure first gas production in 2018. The Company's 2015 exploration programme will consequently be restricted to core areas and territories where material reserves additions are possible; a number of farm-out initiatives are in progress and no significant new venture activities are planned during the year. The Company is also in the process of reviewing the organisation to ensure that it is structured and resourced appropriately to effectively deliver the planned work programme.

While the near term impact of global commodity prices on Petroceltic's assets is limited, the Company is conscious of the potential longer term impact and accordingly will review the carrying value of its producing assets; any impairment identified will be reflected in the 2014 annual accounts. The decision to limit capital allocation to selected exploration assets may also result in non-cash write downs in the 2014 full year results.

Capital Programmes

A relatively active exploration and development programme is scheduled for 2015 with a capital expenditure budget of $174 million (with $80 million of this to be carried by Sonatrach pursuant to the terms of the Algerian farm-out agreement completed in July 2014). Some of this planned exploration expenditure could be reduced if the farm-out initiatives currently under way are successfully concluded. It is also possible that some of the budgeted exploration activities may be deferred into 2016.

The overall planned 2015 programme is summarised as follows:

 
                  Development   Exploration   Total      2014** 
---------------  ------------  ------------  ---------  --------- 
                  $million      $million      $million   $million 
---------------  ------------  ------------  ---------  --------- 
 Algeria            80 (1)           -         80(1)      10(1) 
---------------  ------------  ------------  ---------  --------- 
 Bulgaria             20             -           20         7 
---------------  ------------  ------------  ---------  --------- 
 Egypt                39            23           62         38 
---------------  ------------  ------------  ---------  --------- 
 Italy/Greece                        5           5          3 
---------------  ------------  ------------  ---------  --------- 
 Kurdistan (2)         -             7           7          33 
---------------  ------------  ------------  ---------  --------- 
 Romania               -             -           -          10 
---------------  ------------  ------------  ---------  --------- 
 
                                              174(94) 
 Total            139(59)(1)        35           (1)       101 
---------------  ------------  ------------  ---------  --------- 
 

1)Algeria costs covered by farmout carry arrangements; the 2015 numbers in brackets and the 2014 number represents net costs attributable to Petroceltic post carry.

2) Budget prior to testing

** Subject to audit.

Exploration

Kurdistan Region of Iraq

Further to the temporary suspension announced on 11 August, drilling operations resumed at the Shireen exploration well on 2 October 2014. Since recommencement, the well has encountered challenges with casing and cementing at high elevation and above the water table, which have been exacerbated by poor winter weather conditions. Options to resolve these issues are currently being reviewed by Hess as operator.

Egypt

During 2014, the ratification process for the award of the El Qa'a Plain, North Thekah and South Idku exploration blocks was concluded, increasing Petroceltic's Egypt acreage position by over 300%. In September, Petroceltic also announced the award of the North Port Fouad exploration block, immediately adjacent to North Thekah and this award has recently been formally ratified. On a combined basis, these licences represent a material renewal of Petroceltic's exploration inventory in Egypt and confirm our long term commitment to investment in the country. The planned exploration expenditures in 2015 include seismic data acquisition on the El Qa'a Plain, North Thekah and South Idku blocks and tenders to carry out these works are currently being evaluated.

Italy

Additional drilling activity may be undertaken in Italy, where the Environmental Impact Assessment ("EIA") for the Carpignano Sesia well in the Western Po Valley was presented by the Operator, Eni, to the competent authorities in December 2014. If the licence to drill this well is granted, drilling activities could begin in Q4 2015. The company is well advanced in talks to farm-out most of its cost exposure in this well.

Development

Algeria

During 2014, Petroceltic made significant progress on the Ain Tsila development, following the establishment of the Groupement Isarene ("Groupement"), the joint development organisation staffed by seconded personnel from Petroceltic, Enel and Sonatrach. During 2014 a contract for Front End Engineering and Design ("FEED") was awarded to Chicago Bridge and Iron Company, which will define the detailed basis for Ain Tsila production facilities and infrastructure. The outputs from the FEED will be used in 2015 to tender the major Engineer, Procure and Construct (EPC) contract for the project, with contract award and commencement of construction planned for late 2015 / early 2016. This timing should allow the project to benefit from an industry-wide softening in materials and construction rates. The development plan remains on schedule, and we are targeting first gas from the Ain Tsila field in the second half of 2018.

During 2014, Petroceltic successfully completed a second farm-out of an 18.375% interest in the Ain Tsila project to Sonatrach. The transaction required Sonatrach to pay Petroceltic an upfront cash payment of $20 million, and fund $140 million of Petroceltic's development expenditure obligations from the effective date of 4 July 2013. As at 31 December 2014, approximately $120 million of the carry remained available, and based on forecast 2015 expenditure levels, the carry should ensure that capex will be fully funded until after work has commenced on the EPC contract and into Q2 2016. Post completion of the second farm-out to Sonatrach in July 2014, Petroceltic has a 38.25% interest, Sonatrach has a 43.375% interest and Enel maintains its 18.375% interest. Petroceltic remains operator of the licence.

Egypt

Egypt is a core area for Petroceltic and in 2014 $38 million was invested in a range of development and exploration activities. In 2015, the work programme includes four new infill production wells in the West Khilala and West Dikirnis fields and minor facilities investments aimed at infrastructure rationalisation and hence the reduction of long term operating costs. We also plan to convert three additional wells in the West Dikirnis field to gas injection to maximise hydrocarbon liquids recoveries.

Bulgaria

Petroceltic's main development activity in Bulgaria during 2015 will be the completion and tieback of the Kavarna East sub-sea development well to the Galata platform for production in the third quarter of the year. This is a relatively low volume (9.5 Bcf) but highly profitable development given the competitive regional gas prices and local fiscal regime. Petroceltic's current gas sales arrangements with Bulgargaz, the state-owned gas utility company, and Agropolychim, an independent industrial consumer, will continue in respect of all 2015 production. The received price is expected to average approximately $7.00 per Mcf in H1 2015 (2014: $8.34 per Mcf) however the recent decline in oil prices may have an adverse effect on gas realisations in H2 2015.

Capital Markets Day

As announced previously, Petroceltic will host a capital markets day presentation at 9.30am on Wednesday 28 January 2015 at the Lincoln Centre, Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3ED. This will ensure that shareholders are given the opportunity, at the same time, to hear about the Company's assets, strategy and plans for the business. Materials from the day will be available on the Company's website www.petroceltic.com. If you would like to attend the event, please contact Sarah Vethaak by phone (+44 (20) 3772 2512) or email (svethaak@bellpottinger.com).

Ends

For further information, please contact:

   Brian O' Cathain /Tom Hickey, Petroceltic International        Tel: +353 (1) 421 8300 
   Philip Dennis / Rollo Crichton-Stuart, Bell Pottinger              Tel: +44 (20) 3772 2500 
   Douglas Keatinge / Joe Heron, Murray Consultants              Tel: +353 (1) 498 0300 
   John Frain / Roland French, Davy                                          Tel: +353 (1) 679 6363 

Dr. Dermot Corcoran, Head of Exploration, Petroceltic International plc, and the qualified person as defined in the AIM Note for Mining and Oil and Gas Companies, June 2009, has reviewed and approved the technical information contained in this announcement. Dr. Corcoran has a B.Sc in Geology, a M.Sc. in Geophysics, and a Masters degree in Business Administration, all from the National University of Ireland, Galway. He also holds a Ph.D in Geology from Trinity College, Dublin. Dr. Corcoran has over 20 years experience in oil & gas exploration and production, and has previously worked at ExxonMobil, the Petrofina Group, and Statoil.

Glossary:

Mboepd: Thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day

Mcf: Thousand standard cubic feet

Notes to Editors:

Petroceltic International plc is a leading Upstream Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Company, focused on North Africa, Mediterranean and Black Sea Regions, and listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM Market and the Irish Stock Exchange's ESM Market. The Company has production, exploration and development assets in Algeria, Egypt, Bulgaria, Romania, the Kurdistan Region of Iraq Italy and Greece.

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

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