tm3141
4 hours ago
https://www.banking.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/letter_to_fhfa_director_thompson.pdf
"The letter expresses concern about the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)'s actions and its leadership, particularly regarding the handling of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The author appears critical of the FHFA's politicization under its current director, Sandra Thompson.
While the letter does not explicitly call for the privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, it does express a desire for the Enterprises to operate outside of conservatorship, which would imply a shift away from their current government-controlled status. The author criticizes the politicized actions taken by the FHFA and emphasizes the need for these entities to function independently, suggesting that they should be restored to financial soundness and allowed to operate without political interference. This could be interpreted as a support for a more privatized model where the government is no longer directly involved in their management.
Thus, while the letter does not directly advocate for privatization, it does strongly hint at the idea by promoting the goal of ending conservatorship and restoring the Enterprises' autonomy."
DaJester
9 hours ago
What's really holding it back is the presence of, and the uncertainty surrounding the resolution of, the senior preferred shares.
Oh so now there's uncertainty? You've been bashing everyone who was saying the SPS LP could be written down, and now all of a sudden, the resolution is uncertain? You seemed pretty darn certain there was only one probable outcome - SPS LP Cramdown to Common.
What happened to - "Treasury thinks" it's illegal to write down the SPS, so that is not a viable path. Even if it's not illegal, that doesn't matter, because as long as they think it's illegal, they will act accordingly. Do you still think Treasury thinks it's illegal??? Or maybe you can agree with my hypothesis that the PERSON who is in charge is more important than what someone said in a book quote in 2019?
Or - the AIG blue print says Treasury will take at least 92% because they had a fiduciary duty to shareholders, where they have none with GSEs so they will likely take MORE than 92%. Do you still think it's more likely that they will convert and take greater than 92% of the equity. Just so they can pad the Treasury with 15% more value than the warrants alone, because to do otherwise would be charity.
Or - the government does not fear any lawsuits? So if 47 wants to get this done in a timely manner to add to his legacy, you don't see a few years tied up in the courts as something to avoid? You still think potential lawsuits are not a problem?
Hate to say it, but the current trends point to what the rest of us have been saying for a while - It was Political will and optics of the economy that got the GSEs into this mess, and it will only take Political will and optics to get them out.