Bank CEOs View Recovery Cautiously; Still Face Difficulties
September 16 2009 - 4:35PM
Dow Jones News
Some of the nation's top bankers said Wednesday the beleaguered
industry continues to face troubled loans, but that there's some
hope in sight for the nascent recovery.
Executives at a two-day financial industry conference held by
Barclays Capital said bank profits will be squeezed by high levels
of loan charge-offs and defaults this year. But many sounded a bit
more upbeat that they are getting a better handle on the
deterioration of their balance sheets.
"Considering the current economic environment, we would expect
our nonperforming assets to continue to increase," said Wells Fargo
& Co. (WFC) Chief Executive John Stumpf.
His sentiments were echoed by top executives from banks like
Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), SunTrust Banks Inc. (STI) and Bank of
America Corp. (BAC). They expect that fallout from the real-estate
market's downturn will remain their biggest challenge, and that
consumer-related loans will further stumble.
However, concerns about another big bank failure were assuaged
as many bankers predicted the magnitude of delinquencies will soon
slow. That helped push bank stocks higher on Wednesday, with the
KBW Bank Index up 3.7% to 48.17.
"The biggest takeaway was the majority of companies commenting
that the pace of non-performing assets increases in the third
quarter will be less than the second quarter," said Jason Goldberg,
an analyst with Barclays Capital.
CEOs like Stumpf and several others said they are making strides
in modifying troubled loans to dampen losses. There was even some
talk the magnitude of losses might be close to peaking.
Bank of America Chief Financial Officer Joe Price said consumer
losses won't rise at the "same pace experienced in the last few
quarters." And Regions Financial Corp. (RF) Chief Executive C. Dowd
Ritter expects losses from bad loans will begin to decline "late
this year or early next year."
Michael Cavanagh, the chief financial officer of JPMorgan Chase
& Co (JPM) said his bank saw continued stabilization in early
stage delinquencies, usually borrowers who are less than 60 days
late with their payments. Sill, Cavanagh was cautious: "we're not
yet in a position to draw any conclusion" about improvements in
overall delinquencies and loan losses.
For life insurers, investors rewarded evidence of improved
investment returns and strengthening capital positions, both of
which will help insurers get back to writing more business.
Insurers had good news to report. MetLife Inc. (MET) Chief
Financial Officer William Wheeler said Tuesday that unrealized, or
market-value investment losses had already dropped in the second
quarter for many insurers. "So I don't think it's any big secret
that that number has come down a lot further in the third quarter,"
he said. "It will be OK."
Protective Life Corp.'s (PL) Chief Financial Officer Richard
Bielen had similar news. Unrealized investment losses dropped 50%
from the end of June to the end of August on its investment
portfolio. Genworth Financial Inc. (GNW) canceled its scheduled
presentation due to its $500 million equity offering announced
earlier this week.
-By Joe Bel Bruno, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2469;
joe.belbruno@dowjones.com
(Lavonne Kuykendall in Chicago and Matthias Rieker in New York
contributed to this report.)