Telsey Advisory Group Raises 12-Month Price Target on Coach Ahead of Fiscal First-Quarter 2007 Earnings
October 23 2006 - 12:33PM
PR Newswire (US)
Bullish Outlook for Sales and Earnings Growth NEW YORK, Oct. 23
/PRNewswire/ -- Telsey Advisory Group(TM)
(http://www.telseygroup.com/), an independent research firm founded
by Dana Telsey, one of Wall Street's leading retail analysts, today
announced it has increased its price target on Coach, Inc. (COH),
one of its 38 retail companies under coverage. James Hurley, luxury
goods analyst for Telsey Advisory Group (TAG), raised his Coach
12-month price target to $43-$45 from $38-$40. The bullish outlook
comes ahead of Coach's fiscal first-quarter 2007 earnings release,
scheduled for Tuesday, October 24. TAG expects Coach to report
fiscal first-quarter 2007 earnings per share of $0.32 vs. $0.24
last year and above the consensus expectation of $0.31. In a
research note to TAG clients, Hurley commented that, "Our
aggressive outlook is based on sustained strength in top-line
trends across all channels and geographies. We look for comps to be
fueled by the "golden triangle" of increased customer traffic, an
improved conversion rate, and a higher average transaction
size...our channel checks suggest September gained even more top-
line momentum, and we believe there could be upside to our fiscal
first- quarter 2007 forecast. "Another area with potential for
positive surprises is operating-expense leverage. Store
productivity has been steadily improving, and with double- digit
comparable store sales expectations for the quarter, our forecast
for an 80 basis point contraction in the operating expense ratio
could be too conservative, especially if Coach achieves leverage on
the Japanese business." Hurley is basing the higher price target on
two factors: 1) TAG's conviction in Coach's long-term sales and
earnings growth potential; and, 2) compelling valuation levels. "We
would read strong fiscal first-quarter 2007 top-line results as a
good omen for Coach's holiday sales potential," Hurley said. "The
brand remains top-of-mind as a gift resource and has the product
breadth and depth as well as the customer service disciplines to
effectively meet demand trends. By maintaining a focus on its core
handbags and accessories products, we believe Coach can double its
business over the next four-to-five years while more than doubling
its profits." ABOUT TELSEY ADVISORY GROUP Telsey Advisory Group,
("TAG") is an independent research firm, founded by Dana Telsey, a
13-year ranked, seven-time #1 ranked analyst by Institutional
Investor. Ms. Telsey is widely recognized as Wall Street's leading
retail industry expert by the investment community, senior
executives, consultants, advisors to the industry, and the media.
TAG is in the unique position of having the scale of a large
research department along with the objectivity of an independent,
as the firm provides no investment banking or trading services. TAG
delivers the best of both worlds to buy-side investment firms that
rely on quality research and counsel. Telsey Advisory Group is
headquartered at 535 Fifth Avenue, 12th Floor, New York, NY 10017.
Phone: 212-973-9700. URL: http://www.telseygroup.com/ Ms. Telsey
has followed over 70 companies during her 21-year career and was
the only U.S. based analyst to provide complete analysis of the
European luxury goods sector. From 1994 to 2006, Ms. Telsey was at
Bear, Stearns & Co. Inc. covering the retail sector, most
recently as a Senior Managing Director. Prior to Bear Stearns, Ms.
Telsey was the Retail Analyst at C.J. Lawrence and Vice President
of the Baron Asset Fund at Baron Capital, Inc. CONTACT: David
Zweifler/Danny Charles G.S. Schwartz & Co. 470 Park Avenue
South, 10th Floor New York, NY 10016 Office: 212-725-4500 Fax:
212-725-9188 DATASOURCE: Telsey Advisory Group CONTACT: David
Zweifler or Danny Charles, both of G.S. Schwartz & Co., Office
- +1-212-725-4500, Fax - +1-212-725-9188, Web site:
http://www.telseygroup.com/
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