2nd UPDATE: Anadarko, Tullow Eye Huge West Africa Oil Promise
September 16 2009 - 11:48AM
Dow Jones News
Shares in Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC.LN) and Tullow Oil PLC
(TLW.LN) rose more than 8% Wednesday after news they discovered oil
off the coast of Sierra Leone, signalling multi billion-barrel
potential for further finds in an area stretching east through the
waters of Liberia, Cote d'Ivoire and into Ghana.
Analysts said geological structures in this area could be a
major new oil system with the potential to transform Tullow and
Anadarko, both of whom have commanding positions in exploration
licenses there.
"The Venus discovery confirms the existence of an active
petroleum system in the basin and enhances the prospectivity of our
vast West Africa acreage position," said Bob Daniels, Anadarko's
senior Vice President of Worldwide Exploration.
Venus was drilled to a total depth of approximately 18,500 feet
in about 5,900 feet of water and encountered more than 45 net feet
of hydrocarbon pay. It is the first deepwater test in the Sierra
Leone-Liberian Basin.
With the 1.2 billion barrel Jubilee field already discovered in
Ghana at the eastern limit of the system and this success at the
Venus well at the western limit in Sierra Leone, "we have
established bookends spanning approximately 1,100 kilometers across
two of the most exciting and highly prospective basins in the
world," he said.
Tullow's Exploration Director Angus McCoss said the area
certainly has multi billion-barrel potential and contains over 30
leads, six of which are prospects on a similar scale to the Jubilee
field.
The Venus discovery is the same type of reservoir as Jubilee,
said Daniels.
"Wells drilled in Ghana, Côte dIvoire, and Sierra Leone over the
next 12 months could unlock 1.36 billion barrels of oil equivalent
net to Tullow and 0.92 billion boe for Anadarko," said Bernstein
Research. This is 4.5 times Tullow's current booked reserves and
40% of those of Anadarko, it said.
The Venus discovery has increased the likelihood of the
companies making additional discoveries, said Panmure Gordon
analyst Peter Hitchens. "If you've got hydrocarbons at two
extremes, there's a good chance of hydrocarbons being in the
middle," he said.
However, NCB Stockbrokers analyst Peter Hutton cautioned that a
large amount of upside from future West African oil discoveries is
already priced in for Tullow. "Sell into strength, but leave some
position for a (takeover) bid, which looks even more inevitable
after this confirmation," Hutton said.
Anadarko will soon drill another wildcat well offshore the Ivory
Coast on the South Grand Lahou prospect, using the same rig that
drilled Venus, McCoss said. Both Tullow and Anadarko have access to
a fleet of rigs and McCoss envisaged further drilling in the
Liberian basin in 2010.
"It will take time to get there - a couple of years of
exploration drilling and appraisal drilling," said McCoss. "This is
the start of a long journey."
The scale of this opportunity means Tullow has no desire to sell
the company, McCoss said, adding: "We are a long-term business.".
Tullow has long been the subject of takeover speculation.
Anadarko operates the Venus well with a 40% interest. Its
co-owners are Woodside Petroleum Ltd (WPL.AU) of Australia with
25%, Spain's Repsol YPF SA (REP.MC) with 25% and Tullow with
10%.
At 1500 GMT, Tullow shares were up 8.2%, or 89 pence, at 1176p
and 67% higher than year-ago levels. Anadarko shares were up 8.3%,
or $4.92, at $64.09, up 22% from 12 months earlier.
-By James Herron, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 (0)20 7842 9317; james.herron@dowjones.com