FRANKFURT—The European auto industry's extended its winning
sales streak to two years in August, but concerns about meager
profit prospects in the region overshadow expectations for further
growth.
New car registrations rose 11.5% last month compared with the
same period in 2014, leading auto makers and analysts to maintain
expectations for between 5% and 7% industry growth this year.
Carlos Ghosn, chief executive of France's Renault SA, expects a
modest 2% growth rate in 2016.
"There is still room for growth," Mr. Ghosn said during a news
conference at the Frankfurt auto show on Tuesday. Renault has
several models doing well in Europe, including pricier
sport-utility vehicles that are growing in popularity in the region
after years of playing second fiddle to passenger cars.
Still, concerns about profitability persist in Europe, where
fierce discounting coupled with a glut of production capacity hurt
auto makers' bottom lines.
"The unit volume is up, but the overall numbers disguise the
underlying health of the market," Ford Motor Co. European Chief Jim
Farley said in an interview. "It's still challenged."
The clouds over Europe's sizzling car industry contrast the
unvarnished enthusiasm concerning the U.S. market, which along with
Europe is helping keep global light-vehicle sales afloat as Chinese
auto sales skid. Unlike the U.S.—running at the highest pace since
2001 amid brisk demand for profitable trucks and SUVs—Europe's
recovery is currently concentrated in the south, where a preference
for low-margin small cars tempers optimism.
Among the best performing markets in Europe are Italy, Spain and
Portugal, which have taken longer to recover and tend to be a
hotbed for smaller cars that thrive in small cities. Mr. Farley and
other executives said markets that recovered earlier in the cycle,
such as Germany or the U.K., are more heavily dependent on
low-margin rental car sales or purchases made by dealers rather
than by actual consumers.
Commercial vehicles, generally profitable, are steady sellers,
providing Mr. Farley with optimism given Ford's strong position.
Volkswagen AG and Daimler AG also have strong presence in the
European commercial vehicle market.
Ford has been losing money in Europe since 2011, and Mr. Farley
notes that although the company is closing in on break-even results
in the region, the company will remain disciplined in its approach
to rental car selling or discounting practices that can damage the
brand.
Toyota Motor Corp.'s European leaders echoed that strategy.
Still, auto makers are relying on continued growth in Europe to
help them meet ambitious targets and a drop in volume would add to
headaches already felt due to weakness in Russia, China and South
America.
Karl-Thomas Neumann, chief executive of General Motors Co.'s
Opel unit, aims to achieve profitability in 2016 but he said on
Tuesday at the auto show the company will need a bit of luck to
pull it off.
The company's ability to push through higher prices, for
instance, will be a factor in meeting the profit goal, he said. GM
narrowed its operating loss in the second quarter and, in an
internal letter sent to employees on the day those figures were
released, Mr. Neumann said reaching the profitability goal would be
"anything but a walk in the park."
Didier Leroy, head of Toyota's Europe operation, said there is
considerable pressure on prices in Europe. He also said the
recovery of car sales in Europe may have peaked, and this could
test the amount of pricing and production discipline auto makers
employ.
"We can't expect this level of growth to go on [in Europe]," he
said. "It doesn't mean there will be a decline, but the level of
growth will decrease."
New car registrations, a mirror of sales, reached 781,676
vehicles in August in the European Union and European Free Trade
Association. That was up from 701,251 in August 2014, the
Association of European Automobile Manufacturers, or ACEA,
said.
August marked the 24th consecutive month of growth in Europe.
"August is typically one of the weakest months for registrations,
together with February, however the month saw continued growth in
all major markets," ACEA said.
In the first eight months of 2015, new car registrations were up
8.6% to 9.38 million vehicles, compared with 8.64 million in the
same period a year earlier.
William Boston and Hendrik Varnholt contributed to this
article.
Write to John D. Stoll at john.stoll@wsj.com and Sarah Sloat at
sarah.sloat@wsj.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 15, 2015 14:25 ET (18:25 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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