tedpeele
6 days ago
Per the 6k the number of common will be the $160m / avg price 10 days.
So if $4 is used it will be 40m OS and shareholders will get the equivalent of at least $4 million shares (the guaranteed minimum 10%) -- meaning their shares are then worth $16million - meaning the market cap arguably should NOW be at around $16 million -- ie $10
If the market today assumed it would be worth $16m then the price would go to $10, and here's what would happen. The OS would be 16m after the merger and shareholders would get 1.6m shares - or a 1:1 conversion.
In both cases the market value at the moment of the the merger is $160m
But the market can't force the price to stay at $4 in the first case or at $10 in the second case once the RM takes place.
Right now it is valuing the combined entity at about $48m 1.6m OS x $3 x 10 (assuming 10% to SYTA shareholders)
What justifies the $48 million? You said you use a combination but don't say what it is.
Google AI says Most small growth stocks are accurately valued primarily through a combination of future earnings projections and relative valuation metrics like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio, heavily relying on analysts' future earnings estimates due to the high growth potential and often limited current profitability of these companies.
But it also says this: When small growth stocks have no earnings, they are most commonly valued using the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, which compares the company's market capitalization to its total revenue, as this metric allows investors to assess value even when there are no profits yet, based on the potential for future earnings growth
This is what I had thought, and this arguably justifies what Syata's independent party did to come up with the $160m valuation..if AI is to be believed here.
herbied47
1 week ago
This is a response another guy wrote about that he got from IR today that I copied and wanted to share here…The IR team responded again. They stated that there are currently 1,774,796 common share outstanding. When you included the 431 Class C pref shares, which are convertible, you would add another 189,035. So the "total fully diluted shares count [is] 1,963,831." They further stated that "all warrants and stock options are way out of the money." Using the 1.96 million share count, the implied value per share in the merger is a minimum of $9.05. This is the price that the stock should be moving towards.
tedpeele
1 week ago
News.. it appears the company believes this is a shareholder friendly transaction. It will come down to we do the market agrees with the $160 million valuation. I’m not sure why it wouldn’t. The average PS ratio is 2.6 times revenues for a software gaming company. But what if Core gaming is $100 million in debt? The market doesn’t wanna take a chance not knowing.
While I understand your view about the legacy business having great promise, that legacy business is not going away. They just announced T-Mobile’s great interest in it. I think that continues and we will get some great announcements from that.
I really think what happened is the market quickly pounced on the news and drove it up to over eight dollars a share premarket on high volume. But today’s premarket trading is one and done if the stock drops too far too fast. That’s exactly what happened. Those traders who profited premarket dumped as soon as the market opened to take their quick profit. And with the float this small, the price not only goes up very quickly, but it goes down very quickly. That caused fear. Which caused a second dump. And then that was it. You get two big dumps like that in about 30 minutes time and nobody wants to buy the stock anymore
I still see that as a gross and uninformed over-reaction and I feel for the company because it seems like they really have made a good move here. It is clear they feel the same. But as I stated in the first paragraph there is too much uncertainty still. The 10% ownership doesn’t guarantee that the market will value this at $160 million. Why not share some more information now instead of waiting?
However, they would’ve been better off by not only restating the terms, but by stating some of the highlights of their business, as well as some of the highlights of the incoming company for the benefit of both legacy shareholders, as well as potential new investors Nobody expected a gaming company, which seems unrelated, so the shareholders need to be able to warm up to that idea and you don’t get that by just throwing a few of the numbers along with basically a “trust us” message at them out of the blue.
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