Inside the New Emerging Market Consumer Growth ETF - ETF News And Commentary
October 03 2013 - 8:03AM
Zacks
WisdomTree, an ETF sponsor, added a new member to its fund family
in the emerging market space. The latest entrant –
WisdomTree Emerging Markets Consumer Growth Fund
(EMCG) – will trade on the NASDAQ Stock Market.
This might raise a few eyebrows since emerging markets have been
hit hard this year by domestic capacity constraints and falling
currencies. But these under-valued markets can turn out as good
bets over the long term, and especially so in the consumer
space.
WisdomTree certainly seems to believe that there is plenty of
pent-up demand in this highly promising, but currently beaten down,
corner of the ETF world. Earlier this year, the asset management
company filed for 3 Emerging Market ETFs, suggesting that EMCG may
just be the beginning of the trend (read: WisdomTree Files for 3
Emerging Market ETFs).
EMCG in Focus
This new ETF looks to track the WisdomTree Emerging Markets
Consumer Growth Index, which is designed to measure the performance
of 250 stocks of the consumer sector and non-consumer sectors based
on their combined ranking of growth, quality and valuation factors.
The fund seeks to ride on the consumption growth in emerging
territories (also read 3 Overlooked Emerging Market ETFs).
The securities are picked on the basis of earnings power. The index
reflects considerable amount of diversification. At annual index
rebalancing date, a single stock cap will be 5%, a country cap will
be 25%, 60% allocation will be to specific consumer sectors and 40%
allocation to other sectors.
The fund is a mix of consumer staples and discretionary stocks and
will charge 63 basis points a year in expenses. While the product
is governed by emerging markets with at least 60% focus, the U.S.,
Europe or Japan will have some exposure, but definitely not more
than 25%.
How might it fit in a portfolio?
This ETF could be an interesting option for an emerging market
play. Although emerging market ETFs have been lagging their
developed counterparts this year and have been among the worst
performing products, growth rates of these markets are still quite
high when compared to many of the developed nations.
As per Euromonitor, emerging markets are expected to grow 5.5% in
real GDP in 2013, more than twice the rate of developed markets.
Also, the latest projection by IMF for developing nations’ growth
is 6.2% by 2018 while for developed nations the same is as low as
2.5% (see all the broad Emerging Market ETFs here).
Notably, since 2010, 70% of growth in emerging markets came from
consumer sector, as per WisdomTree Research. This segment also
experienced very low volatility in the last few years.
Further, risks appear limited thanks to the favorable demographic
trend. Overall, population growth is much higher in emerging
countries than developed nations with younger population commanding
the market.
On average, over 50% of the population is under 30. Also, the rate
of urbanization is remarkably high – 10 times the developed
economies, according to Euromonitor.
The burgeoning middle income population and increasing disposable
income in emerging countries has enabled the residents to consume
in greater numbers which in turn forced several foreign brands to
shift their focus onto those nations.
The whole picture indicates that the underlying consumption growth
story remains intact and promising for emerging markets despite
some infrastructural bottlenecks at the current level (read Access
the $30 trillion consumer market with these ETFs).
Other Competition
There are limited choices in the emerging markets space especially
with a tilt toward broader consumer sector thereby leaving room for
new funds to accumulate considerable AUM. Among these, the biggest
competitor is likely to be the
EGShares Emerging Markets
Consumer ETF
(ECON) tracking
the Dow Jones Emerging Markets Consumer Titans 30 Index.
ECON has amassed $1.18 billion since its debut in September 2010.
ECON charges comparatively higher expenses ratio of 0.85%. The fund
holds 30 securities in the basket with a focus on Mexican and
South African firms, each having around 19% share, thus entailing
higher concentration risks.
Bottom Line
Emerging nations could offer nice entry points as their valuations
are quite favorable at current levels. Pent-up demand and booming
populations will drive the emerging markets’ growth ahead.
As for EMCG, a relatively favorable expense ratio and lower
concentration risks in contrast to the peer group opens up an
option for this newly launched fund to attract investors.
Volatility could be high in the near term though, but the long term
potential does seem to be immense for this growth-oriented
product.
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EMERG-GS DJ EMC (ECON): ETF Research Reports
WISDMTR-EM CGF (EMCG): ETF Research Reports
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