Bitcoin Falls Out Of Step With US Equities, What This Could Mean For The Crypto Market
July 11 2024 - 11:30AM
NEWSBTC
Recent data shows that Bitcoin has completely detached from US
stocks. This is significant considering how the flagship crypto and
these stocks had a positive correlation before now, which
undoubtedly positively impacted Bitcoin and the broader crypto
market. Bitcoin Has No Correlation With US Stocks Data from the
market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock shows that Bitcoin’s
correlation with the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 has dropped to
-0.78 and -0.83, respectively. This means that Bitcoin and these
assets have a strong negative correlation, with their prices
tending to move in opposite directions. Related Reading:
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Deposit Indeed, that has been the case for a while now, seeing as
the flagship crypto has been on a major downtrend for a while now.
On the other hand, the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 have continued to
enjoy considerable rallies. Data from IntoTheBlock shows that the
Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 are up over 7% and 4% in the last month,
while Bitcoin is down over 15%. A Bloomberg report also highlighted
the “collapsing” correlation between Bitcoin and US equities and
attributed this decline to the massive selling pressure the
flagship crypto is experiencing. Joshua Lim, co-founder of trading
firm Arbelos Markets, told Bloomberg that this selling pressure
caused by the likes of the German government has “put a cap” on
Bitcoin’s upside while these US stocks trade at all-time
highs. Data from IntoTheBlock shows that it is indeed this
selling pressure that has caused Bitcoin to detach from these US
stocks. At the start of June, Bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq
100 and S&P 500 was at 0.86 and 0.73, respectively. However,
this strong positive correlation began to drop just as Bitcoin
miners began to offload a significant amount of their holdings.
Bitcoinist reported that these miners sold over 30,000 BTC in
June. Bitcoin also witnessed increased selling pressure
towards the end of June thanks to the German government, which
began to offload some of the bitcoins seized from the pirated movie
Movie2k. This selling pressure hasn’t slowed, as the German
government has continued its selling spree this month. Moment
Of Truth For BTC And The Stock Market Bitcoin and US stocks will
again be tested when the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation
data is released on July 11. The much-anticipated report is
expected to show that inflation in the country is cooling off,
further strengthening the case for interest rate cuts. Such
development is undoubtedly bullish for these assets, especially
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Related Reading:
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In the short term, positive inflation data is expected to spark a
rebound for Bitcoin’s price, which is currently trying to reclaim
$60,000 as support. Crypto analyst Justin Bennett warned that
Bitcoin needs to hold above $57,800 or risks dropping to as low as
$50,000. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from
Tradingview.com
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