Where Do You Go For Yield? - Real Time Insight
June 22 2012 - 9:37AM
Zacks
While the economy is certainly sluggish, it is difficult to
argue that the sentiment is as bad now as it was in the dark days
of 2008. Yet despite this, the ultimate safe haven— U.S. Treasury
bonds—are approaching all time highs in price and record lows in
terms of yield.
10 year government debt is now sporting a paltry 1.65% yield
while 30 year securities currently have rates around the 2.70%
mark, figures that rival 2008 levels and are at least half of what
investors saw in these notes a decade ago. Since Bernanke has
pledged to drive the longer term rates lower via a continuation of
Operation Twist, it seems highly likely that these low levels could
be here to stay for quite some time (read 4 Rules of Dividend
Investing).
Given this policy, investors have been forced to seek high
dividend paying stocks for current income opportunities. Luckily
for these income-starved investors, there are a host of securities
that have yields above even the 30-year Treasury payout. Not only
that, but these stocks offer up the potential to appreciate in
value as well, something that is much more difficult to say for
Treasury bonds that are trading near all-time highs.
However, the space is not without risk as many of the most
popular dividend safe havens have had a rough time in the face of
the weak economy. Procter & Gamble (PG) and
Exelon (EXC), for example, both pay out yields
above the 30 year treasury rate but have seen their prices fall by,
respectively, 9% and 13% in year-to-date terms.
Clearly, investing for yield can still be fraught with risk,
even when buying ultra-safe companies that operate in ‘safe haven’
segments of their respective industries. Still, options are limited
in the bond market—unless you are willing to tread into the junk
space—suggesting that for many investors, income is going to have
to come from stocks for the foreseeable future.
Unfortunately, each of the main dividend segments has their own
issue which could either cut payouts in the future, or at least
depress stock prices in the near term (see 11 Great Dividend
ETFs).
Big Pharma is facing a patent cliff, while integrated oil is
fighting against low oil prices. Additionally, consumer staples are
up against a slowdown in demand from emerging markets, while
utilities haven’t been helped by the tepid economic recovery here
in the U.S.
So, the question is, given the uncertainty and the low
rate environment, where do investors go for yield?
Personally, I am intrigued by the MLP segment, American
Capital Agency Corp (AGNC), and some high quality names in
the international ETF space such as the Global X
SuperDividend ETF (SDIV) and the EG Shares Low
Volatility Emerging Market Dividend ETF (HILO). These
securities all have outsized yields and can be more immune to
economic shocks thanks to either their diversified holdings, or the
stable payouts inherent in their businesses (read Invest Like The
One Percent With These Three ETFs).
What about you? What is your favorite dividend stock/fund on the
market today?
Let us know what you think in the comments below!
Author is long EXC
AMER CAP AGENCY (AGNC): Free Stock Analysis Report
EXELON CORP (EXC): Free Stock Analysis Report
EGS-LO VT EM DV (HILO): ETF Research Reports
PROCTER & GAMBL (PG): Free Stock Analysis Report
GLBL-X SUPERDIV (SDIV): ETF Research Reports
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