Slim6
3 weeks ago
With today's drop, the coming downward trend is becoming more clear. Most companies are posting lower net income this quarter than in last year's quarter. This is already happening even through the government had upped the debt increases to $3.1 trillion per year. (Twelve months ago the federal debt was $31.5 trillion. Today, it is $34.6 trillion. Far more burden for the taxpayers.)
What are they going to do when the deep recession comes on strongly?
The CAPE S&P 500 PE ratio has historically been 15. However, it is higher than 15 today due to an overpumped market. This is why stock prices are very risky. This is one of the many metrics that prove that the market is extremely overvalued. Right now, the PE ratio is 36. That means we could easily see a drop of 60% in the indexes. If earnings continue their decreases from prior year, we could easily see more than 70% drop in the indexes. Some stocks will drop more than 80% or likely be delisted prior to that.
Be careful and don’t lend to anyone unless you are receiving at least 7% yield AND it is fully backed by quality collateral. The number of defaults and bankruptcies are up 80% higher than prior year. Poor policy eventually results in disastrous consequences.
phsmith
9 months ago
United States Stock Market Index (US500) traded at 4,308.50 this Friday October 6th, increasing 50.31 or 1.18 percent since the previous trading session. Looking back, over the last four weeks, US500 gained 3.20 percent. Over the last 12 months, its price rose by 18.38 percent. Looking ahead, we forecast United States Stock Market Index (US500) to be priced at 4,169.27 by the end of this quarter and at 3,832.23 in one year, according to Trading Economics global macro models projections and analysts expectations.
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