Fitch Affirms MetLife Ratings - Analyst Blog
October 25 2011 - 12:30PM
Zacks
Yesterday, Fitch Ratings affirmed all the debt and credit
ratings of MetLife Inc. (MET) and its operating
subsidiaries, reflecting consistent growth from ALICO acquisition
amid the low rate interest environment.
Accordingly, Fitch asserted the issuer default rating (IDR) of
"A" for MetLife, while the financial strength ratings were
maintained at “AA-” for some of the company’s domestic life
insurance units. Meanwhile, the outlook for all the ratings remains
stable.
The ratings agency believes that MetLife maintains a diversified
business mix and one of the strongest brands in the U.S. Moreover,
the ALICO acquisition from American International Group
Inc. (AIG) in November last year has become a feather in
MetLife’s cap.
The ALICO acquisition has increased MetLife’s investment
portfolio by about 25%, which thereby expands its global investment
market reach and also accelerates its long-term global growth
strategy. In the first half of 2011, the international segment has
posted earnings of $1.07 billion against $289 million in the
year-ago period, primarily backed by ALICO.Overall, the deal
isprojected to be accretive to earnings by 40–45 cents per share
and is likely to have a positive effect on return on equity (ROE)
by 100 basis points in 2011.
However, the ongoing low interest rate environment has been
adversely affecting MetLife’s exposure in the equity market, which
again faces intense volatility, according to Fitch Ratings. The
current interest rate environment is likely to continue putting
pressure on the spreads.
Additionally, the company has significant investments in
alternative investments and variable annuity business. Although
MetLife's variable annuity hedging program is performing well in
2008–2009, the risk associated with the hedging of variable annuity
programs is expected to mar the desired upside in earnings.
Previously, in February 2010, Fitch had slashed MetLife's
long-term issuer default rating by a nick to "A" from "A+" after a
periodic analysis that reflected higher-than-expected loss
projections in the company’s investment portfolio.
While MetLife has come a long way from the troughs of the recent
recession, we believe that the company is poised to pace up its
growth as the economy rebounds in the intermediate term. The
company is scheduled to release its third quarter earnings after
the market closes on October 27, 2011.
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