As of now, currency ETF investing remains somewhat
underappreciated by most. The space has just over three dozen
funds, and a paltry amount in assets across all of the products in
the segment.
This is starting to slowly change though, as more ETF providers
have sought to launch new funds in the segment with some decent
success. In fact, 11 currency ETFs have at least $100 million in
assets while another five have at least $50 million under
management, suggesting a decent level of interest in some corners
of the space.
However, the vast majority of the capital currently invested in
the space flows through into just a handful of G-10 currencies.
These include widely-traded ones like the dollar, euro, yen, and
the pound, which make up the vast majority of the current forex ETF
market.
Beyond that, the currency ETF space has also moved beyond the
G-10 and into other big economies and their currencies. These
include Australia (FXA) and China (CYB and
CNY), and now thanks to CurrencyShares, Singapore as well
(read Can Anything Stop These Southeast Asia ETFs?).
CurrencyShares, a segment of Guggenheim Investments, has just
debuted America’s first ETF that focuses on the Singaporean dollar,
the Singapore Dollar Trust (FXSG). The product
looks to track the price of the Singaporean dollar, net of
expenses, which come to 40 basis points a year.
FXSG/Singaporean Dollar in Focus
The ETF looks to provide long exposure to the Singaporean
dollar, appreciating when the currency goes up against the U.S.
dollar, and down when Singapore’s dollar declines against the
American currency.
The currency is controlled by the Monetary Authority of
Singapore (MAS), the nation’s central bank. This government
authority has the ability to regulate all elements of the country’s
monetary, financial, and banking programs.
The nation doesn’t utilize a pure free-float currency system
though, as the MAS allows the Singaporean dollar to float in an
undisclosed band against a secret basket of the country’s major
trading partners. This is important for a small country that must
import many natural resources, while it also helps to keep exports
competitive against many of its main rivals in the region.
Singaporean Market
While Singapore is often overlooked by U.S. investors in favor
of other markets in the region, the country, and its currency, are
vital to Southeast Asia. Singapore represents the business heart of
the region, and it is one of the most impressive growth stories
over the past 50 years (read 5 ETFs for Countries with Highest
Employment Rates).
Singapore was at one point just a small fishing village in a
favorable location, but a series of pro-trade economic policies
changed all that. Despite a total lack of natural resources,
Singapore averaged growth of 8% from 1960-2010, catapulting the
country into economic prominence.
Today, the average per-capita GDP is over $60,000 while exports
are over $350 billion, putting the country into the top 15 in the
world for both measures. Thanks to this and the relative lack of
progress in its neighbors in the region, the currency of Singapore
is arguably the most important—and stable—currency in the Southeast
Asia region (read ETFs for the Most Competitive Countries on
Earth).
This could make FXSG an interesting choice for investors seeking
a relatively low volatility currency that targets this increasingly
important region, although huge gains seem unlikely in this
product. It could also make for a good choice for investors seeking
to hedge out some currency risk in a portfolio, or for those
seeking to go beyond China, Australia, and the G-10 in their
currency investments.
Can It Succeed?
It is hard to say how this ETF will do in terms of accumulating
assets. Currency ETFs are, generally speaking, less popular than
other types of funds on the market so there will certainly be a bit
of a struggle initially.
Still, the ETF is certainly priced right and its first mover
advantage could help its quest in obtaining AUM. It also doesn’t
hurt that the Singaporean dollar has done quite well—adding about
12% in the past five years—so this fund could surprise, although it
could take a while to get some traction given how well stock
markets have been performing lately.
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MKT VEC-RENMINB (CNY): ETF Research Reports
WISDMTR-CH YUAN (CYB): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-SINGAPOR (EWS): ETF Research Reports
CRYSHS-AUS DOLR (FXA): ETF Research Reports
(FXSG): ETF Research Reports
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