Unemployment has been drifting higher for some of the major
developed and emerging economies. U.S. and European nations have
seen unemployment levels rise dramatically in the recent past. This
has been a major cause of a slow recovery in the U.S. market and a
double-dip recession in Europe. (Three Forgotten Ways to Play
Europe with ETFs)
According to a recent report from the Labor Department, U.S.
unemployment rate dropped to 7.7% in November from 7.9% reported in
October,for the first time in four years. This indicated slight
recovery in the job market.
However, it should be noted that the decline in the unemployment
rate is not really attributed to the creation of new jobs but
rather to a decline in the labor force. The biggest job addition
was seen in the retail sector because of the extra work force
during the holiday season.
Euro-zone unemployment level came in at a historical high of
11.7% with Spain and Greece reporting the highest unemployment
rates in the zone. The unemployment rate in Spain came in at
26.2% while Greece recorded a rate of 25.4% (Spanish Bailout: Did
It Help European ETFs?). Austria and Luxembourg reported the lowest
unemployment rates in the region at 4.3% and 5.1%, respectively in
November.
In this environment of rising unemployment, investors may opt to
shift their asset base to countries which have a healthier labor
market. The nations with a strong labor force remained largely
unaffected by the turbulence in the U.S. and European markets.
(Forget European Woes with These Three Country ETFs)
In this article we have highlighted five economies which have a
healthy level of employment, thereby indicating the possibility of
a strong economic performance in future.
Vietnam
Vietnam posted an unemployment rate of 2.29%, among the lowest
in the world. However, the rate rose slightly from 2.22% as many
manufacturers had to defer some manufacturing operations due to
weak demand, resulting from global slowdown. However, Vietnam
expects its unemployment rate to decrease in fiscal 2013. In the
recently released Global Economic Outlook Report, the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) projected Vietnam’s GDP growth at 5.9% 2013. By
2017, GDP growth is forecast at 7.5%. Weakening global consumption
demand may however put some pressure on the economy.
Investors seeking to tap this economy in basket form may look to
invest in Market Vectors Vietnam ETF
(VNM) (Can the Vietnam
ETF Continue Its Run?). VNM tracks the Market Vectors Vietnam
Index, which provides exposure to the publicly listed companies
that are domiciled and listed in Vietnam or derive at least 50% of
their revenues from Vietnam.
The fund provides exposure to 33 Vietnamese securities and
manages an asset base of $260.2 million. The fund charges a fee of
76 basis points. Last year, the performance of the fund
suffered from a very high level of inflation in the country and
waning domestic and global demand. But now with the inflation level
much under control and the government implementing measures to
stimulate domestic demand, the fund delivered a year-to-date return
of 8.81%.
Thailand
Thailand has a rock bottom unemployment rate of 0.63%. Last
year’s flood in Thailand hit manufacturing activities in the region
leading to shutdown and suspension of operations by many
manufacturers. However, the government efforts to fuel domestic
demand resulted in a quick recovery (Can Anything Stop These
Southeast Asia ETFs?).
In the third quarter of fiscal 2012, the economy beat
expectations on the back of solid domestic demand and healthy
investment which helped in offsetting the lower demand from global
sources. The economy remains resilient to the weak U.S. economy,
slow growth in China and the European crisis.
IMF expects the economy to post growth of 7.5% in 2013.
Investors seeking for a pure play in the economy can look to invest
in MSCI Thailand Investable Market Index Fund
(THD). THD is home to 92 securities of
Thailand which are mostly large caps. In this basket of securities,
the fund invests an asset base of $697.9 million. The fund charges
a fee of 59 basis points annually.
Switzerland
The unemployment rate in Switzerland is at 3.1%. In an
environment of aggravating unemployment and deep recession in the
Euro-zone, Switzerland remains an intriguing choice for investors
in Europe.
The country has a budget surplus and a credit rating of ‘AAA’.
Though the Swiss National Bank (SNB) intervenes to maintain the
currency peg at 1.20 against the euro; withrising turbulence in the
European market, it has become extremely difficult for SNB to
maintain the peg. If the peg is removed it may lead to the currency
gaining not only against the dollar but against the euro as well
and may pose a threat to the Swiss economy.
Investors who are positive on the long-term prospects of the
country can invest in iShares MSCI Switzerland Index Fund
(EWL). Through EWL an
investor can tap the Swiss economy through 40 large cap securities
of the region. In this basket, the fund invests $699.5 million
while charging an expense ratio of 52 basis points from the
investor (ETFs for the Most Competitive Countries on Earth).
South Korea
South Korea sees its unemployment level at 2.8%. Despite being
one of the emerging markets, South Korea has been resilient to a
weak U.S. economy and the European woes. The buoyancy of the
economy can be attributed to the strength of three world beating
Korean companies, namely, Samsung, Hyundai Motor Co. and its
affiliate Kia Motors Corp (South Korea ETF Investing 101).
According to the Korean brokerage houses, the South Korean
economy is expected to grow at the rate of 3.2% in 2013. The
country still has plenty of room to grow going by its gross
national income per capita of $20,870 last year, compared with
Japan’s $45,180 and Hong Kong’s $35,160, according to World Bank
data.
As the economy is highly dependent on exports, it was somewhat
hurt by the weak demand from U.S. and Europe. But strong domestic
demand helped offset the weakening global demand.
For a broad exposure to the South Korean economy, investors can
have their asset invested in iShares MSCI South Korea Index
Fund (EWY). In a holding
of 107 securities which are mostly large caps, the fund invests an
asset base of $3 billion and charges a fee of 59 basis points.
Singapore
Singapore has an unemployment rate at just 1.9%. An affluent
economy, Singapore offers investors an option worth the investment
when growth of the world’s largest economies has taken a toll.
(Singapore ETFs for the Rise of Asian Financial Centers)
Attributable to declining exports to Europe, Asia and U.S., many
countries have suffered low growth with Singapore not being an
exception. Also, the Singapore currency has been rising which makes
its exports more expensive. IMF estimates the economy to grow at
2.1% for 2013.
Investors can tap this economy through iShares MSCI
Singapore Index Fund
(EWS). EWS has amassed
over $1.6 billion and trades a robust 1.9 million shares a day
while charging investors 52 basis points a year in fees for its
services. The fund provides exposure to 32 Singapore
securities.
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ISHARS-SWITZERL (EWL): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-SINGAPOR (EWS): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-S KOREA (EWY): ETF Research Reports
ISHRS-MSCI THAI (THD): ETF Research Reports
MKT VEC-VIETNAM (VNM): ETF Research Reports
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