UPDATE: US Lawmakers Sound Alarm About Comml Real Estate Market
July 09 2009 - 12:27PM
Dow Jones News
U.S. lawmakers rang alarm bells about the troubled commercial
real estate industry, which has been walloped by the credit crunch
and an implosion of property values.
"The commercial real estate time bomb is ticking," Joint
Economic Committee Chairman Carolyn Maloney, D-N.Y., said in
opening remarks to a hearing before her panel Thursday.
U.S. Sen. Sam Brownback of Kansas, the panel's top Republican,
said he was distressed about the situation the industry is
facing.
Banks have yanked back on lending to developers of shopping
malls, apartment complexes, hotels and office parks. Meanwhile, the
securitization market - a key source of funding for the commercial
real estate industry - has been in a deep freeze since last
year.
The situation is fueling concerns that property developers won't
be able to refinance roughly $400 billion in commercial real estate
debt coming due this year.
General Growth Properties Inc. (GGWPQ), one of the largest U.S.
shopping mall owners, filed for bankruptcy protection along with
158 of its properties in April, citing lack of financing.
A wave of defaults of commercial real estate loans would deal a
blow to the already weakened economy and banking sector. The U.S.
commercial real estate market is roughly $6.7 trillion in size and
is underpinned by about $3.5 trillion of debt.
A panel of witnesses painted a dire picture for lawmakers.
Property values have plunged 35%-45% in many markets as
transactions have slowed to a crawl, Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
(DB) mortgage analyst Richard Parkus told lawmakers.
The market won't begin to recover until 2012, or even later, he
said. "We believe the bottom is several years away," he added.
Plunging property values are further hampering developers'
ability to refinance their debt or loan extensions, the industry
said.
The Federal Reserve has taken steps to get lending flowing to
the industry. On June 16, it announced it would accept as
collateral new issuance of commercial mortgage-backed securities as
part of its emergency program to thaw the securitization market. As
early as next week, the Fed is expected to extend that to existing,
or "legacy," CMBS already held by investors.
The industry welcomes these moves, but worries that the Fed
program is set to expire at the end of this year.
The program aims to spark investor appetite for a range of
asset-backed securities, now including CMBS. To the extent that
CMBS investors are able to buy and sell the securities again,
spreads will tighten, the Fed and the industry argue. That will
allow financial institutions that make loans backing the CMBS to
free up their balance sheets and make new loans to the industry or
refinance existing debt.
U.S. Rep. Kevin Brady, R-Texas, criticized banking regulators
for leaning too hard on banks to reduce their commercial real
estate exposure.
In testimony before the panel, the associate director of the
Fed's Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation, Jon D.
Greenlee, said the central bank was trying to strike the right
balance between ensuring credit flows to the sector while
maintaining the safety and soundness of the banking system.
"It is important that supervisors remain balanced and not place
unreasonable or artificial constraints on lenders that could hamper
credit availability," he said.
-By Jessica Holzer, Dow Jones Newswires; 202-862-9228;
jessica.holzer@dowjones.com