PEG Meets EPS, Sales Trail - Analyst Blog
February 23 2012 - 9:30AM
Zacks
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (PEG) or
PSEG reported fourth quarter and fiscal 2011 results. In the fourth
quarter of 2011, operating earnings per share were 47 cents, in
line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. However, earnings were
lower than the year-ago figure of 60 cents per share.
In the reported quarter, GAAP EPS was 71 cents, up from 57 cents
per share in the year-ago period. The variance between GAAP and
operating earnings was due to a mark-to-market gain of 24 cents per
share.
In fiscal 2011, pro forma EPS of $2.74 matched the Zacks
Consensus Estimate. The figure was lower than the year-ago figure
of $3.12. Including a charge of 34 cents related to the lease
transaction loss and related activity, income from discontinued
operations of 19 cents and a mark-to-market gain of 37 cents per
share, GAAP EPS reported by the company was $2.96 compared with
$3.08 in the prior-year period.
Earnings for fiscal 2011 were on the higher end of the company’s
guidance range of $2.50 to $2.75. The results were driven by the
company’s strong, customer-focused operations.
Operational Performance
Revenue in the reported quarter was $2.6 billion, down from the
year-ago figure of $2.7 billion. The top line was also lower than
the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $473 million. The fiscal year 2011
top-line figure of $11.1 billion was marginally lower than the
year-ago figure of $11.8 billion. It was far below our expectation
of $12.2 billion.
In the reported quarter, Public Service Enterprise Group
generated operating income of $709 million compared with $589.0
million in the fourth quarter 2010. Net income for the reported
quarter also declined to $237 million from $303 million in the
year-ago period.
Residential sales in the quarter under review were 2,685 million
Kwh while Commercial & Industrial sales were 6,534 million Kwh
in the reported quarter. Total sales were 9,283 million Kwh.
Segment Performance
PSEG Power: Segment operating earnings
were $134 million in the quarter versus $212 million in the
prior-year period. The results reflect a decline in realized energy
and capacity prices, decline in volume, higher depreciation expense
coupled with lower capitalized interest, customer migration,
increase in operation and maintenance expense and other
miscellaneous items.
PSE&G: The segment generated
operating earnings of $99 million versus $83 million in the
year-ago quarter. The results were driven by control on operating
expenditures, increase in transmission revenue, return on
investments made under capital adjustment clauses to support
investments in energy efficiency, solar and electric and gas
infrastructure programs, a reduction in pension related costs, and
lower tax rate. However, these were partially offset by cost of
storm-related outages, increased operating expenses due to tree
trimming work and increase in depreciation expense.
PSEG Energy Holdings: Segment
operating loss was $1 million in the quarter compared with a profit
of $1 million in the prior-year period. The downside reflects the
company’s ongoing efforts to reduce the legacy portfolio which
results in a decline in lease income and the absence of asset sales
gains that were recorded in the comparable period, a year ago.
Guidance
The company is confident of its stable regulated business,
expecting it to grow year over year. However, it does not expect
the regulated operations to offset the impact of lower power
prices. Currently, it expects earnings to be in the range of $2.25
to $2.50 per share in 2012.
Our Take
The company is currently focusing on building energy
infrastructure and making capital investments. Moreover, it seems
to be in a mood to distribute more of its income to its
shareholders. Only this month it increased its dividend by 3.6%,
bringing the annualized dividend to $1.42 per share from the
previous payout of $1.37 per share. The company avowed that it
would reward shareholders with a greater percentage of its earnings
versus its previous range of 40% to 50% of income.
We believe that Public Service Enterprise Group has a solid
portfolio of regulated and non-regulated utility assets that offer
a stable earnings base and substantial long-term growth potential.
Going forward, we believe that the low-cost nuclear fleet, assumed
rate relief and added generating capacities will drive earnings
growth at the company. Moreover, management has taken several
measures to improve financial stability and reduce the overall risk
profile of Public Service.
However, we are concerned about the increasing cost of coal,
higher pension and financial costs, and power-price volatility. The
company presently retains a short-term Zacks #3 Rank (Hold) that
corresponds with our long-term Neutral recommendation on the
stock.
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated, based in Newark,
New Jersey, is a diversified utility holding company. Its
operations are mostly located in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic
parts of the U.S. The company mainly competes with
FirstEnergy Corporation (FE) and
Consolidated Edison Inc. (ED).
CONSOL EDISON (ED): Free Stock Analysis Report
FIRSTENERGY CP (FE): Free Stock Analysis Report
PUBLIC SV ENTRP (PEG): Free Stock Analysis Report
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