SANTA CLARA, Calif.,
March 11, 2021 /PRNewswire/
-- Although many people were forced to put activities on hold
over the past year, buying a new home was not one of them. The U.S.
housing market, buoyed by record low interest rates, remote work
and Americans' desire for more space, outperformed much of the
economy throughout 2020. Today, it remains more lopsided than ever
as the gap between buyer demand and supply widens, according to a
new report issued today by realtor.com® that examined
COVID-19's impact on the U.S. housing market one year after the
World Health Organization declared the virus a global pandemic.
The realtor.com® Housing Market Recovery Index,
which was created to measure the pandemic's impact on the housing
market by tracking movement in new listings, buyer demand, time on
market and prices, stood at 101.6 for the week ended March 6. Aside from new listings, which remain
below the pre-COVID baseline, the market is tracking ahead of
pre-pandemic levels at the end of January
2020.
"The housing market bounced back so much faster than other
sectors of the economy that many have forgotten that housing
activity slowed to a crawl during the early days of the pandemic,"
said realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale. "One year later, the demand for
housing remains strong, while supply remains limited."
However, Hale noted, there are reasons to believe a change may
be on the horizon. "The housing market's lopsided momentum could
ease in the coming months," she said, adding, "We expect the
vaccine's rollout to alleviate some sellers' anxieties, which could
help the supply crunch. At the same time, although interest rates
remain low, they've begun to increase, which could test buyer
demand in the coming months."
Realtor.com®'s recap of the pandemic's impact on the
housing market is summarized below. The full analysis can be found
here.
Median listing prices up 14.3% year-over-year
After
stalling at the onset of the pandemic, listing prices have posted
double-digit price growth for the past 30 weeks. The gap between
supply and demand was sizable before the pandemic, and in a move
that surprised many, the pandemic boosted buyer interest without a
commensurate increase in seller activity, worsening the market's
existing imbalance and driving to record highs.
New listings are a sliver of what they were
Nearly a
year after the onset of the pandemic, new listings, which gauge
seller activity, were 27% lower than they were during the week
ended March 7, 2020. Following an
uptick at the end of 2020, the first few months of 2021 have been
marked by large and consistent declines in new listings. New
listings traditionally increase in March and April, and the
expectation is they will grow again this year, especially compared
to last year when the disruptions to seller activity were
largest. The lack of listings in January and February of this
year has created a 200,000 gap in new listings, making it necessary
for new listings to come on to the market for healthy sales
activity this spring.
"The pandemic not only changed what people want in a home but
also how they shop for one with more and more of the process taking
place online," said realtor.com® CEO David
Doctorow. "In an environment where the number of homes listed
for sale is limited and affordability is becoming more of a concern
for many, the competition to find the home of your dreams is
greater than ever. With features like real-time alerts when new
listings come onto the market, video tours that allow you to tour a
home immediately and our mortgage calculator,
realtor.com® is helping to give people the tools they
need to make informed decisions."
There are 50% fewer homes available for sale now than a year
ago
Total active inventory continues to decline, dropping
51% year-over-year in the week ended March
6. With buyers active in the market despite, or perhaps
because of, the uptick in mortgage rates, homes are selling quickly
and the total number actively available for sale at any point in
time continues to decline.
There's no time "to think about it"
During the week
ended March 6, homes sold six days
faster on average than a year earlier. Buyers not only have fewer
homes to choose from, they need to act fast to succeed.
How the housing market performed in recent weeks
All Changes
year-over-year
|
First 2 Weeks
March 2020
|
Week ending
Feb 20
|
Week ending
Feb 27
|
Week ending
March 6
|
Median Listing
Prices
|
+4.5%
|
+14.5%
|
+14.0%
|
+14.3%
|
New
Listings
|
+5%
|
-35%
|
-27%
|
-27%
|
Total
Listings
|
-16%
|
-49%
|
-50%
|
-51%
|
Time on
Market
|
4 days
faster
|
7 days
faster
|
6 days
faster
|
6 days
faster
|
Key inflection points over the past year
All
Changes
year-over-
year
|
First 2
Weeks
March
2020
|
Worst
Week
|
Early
May 2020
|
Mid July
2020
|
Mid
Dec 2020
|
Early March
2021
|
Median Listing
Prices
|
+4.5%
|
+0.0%
(4/18/20)
|
+1.6%
|
+8.5%
|
+13.3%
|
+14.3%
|
New
Listings
|
+5%
|
-47%
(4/11/20)
|
-41%
|
-17%
|
-2%
|
-27%
|
Total
Listings
|
-16%
|
-51%
(3/6/21)
|
-18%
|
-33%
|
-39%
|
-51%
|
Time on
Market
|
4 days
faster
|
17 days
slower
(5/30/20)
|
10 days
slower
|
No change
|
13 days
faster
|
6 days
faster
|
About realtor.com®
Realtor.com®
makes buying, selling, renting and living in homes easier and more
rewarding for everyone. Realtor.com® pioneered the world
of digital real estate more than 20 years ago, and today through
its website and mobile apps is a trusted source for the
information, tools and professional expertise that help people move
confidently through every step of their home journey. Using
proprietary data science and machine learning technology,
realtor.com® pairs buyers and sellers with local agents
in their market, helping take the guesswork out of buying and
selling a home. For professionals, realtor.com® is a
trusted provider of consumer connections and branding solutions
that help them succeed in today's on-demand world.
Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS,
NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual
license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For
more information, visit realtor.com®.
Media Contact
Janice
McDill, janice.mcdill@move.com
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SOURCE realtor.com