Weak Revenues Pull Down Actelion - Analyst Blog
February 15 2012 - 4:00AM
Zacks
European biotechnology company Actelion Ltd.
(ALIOF) reported fourth quarter loss of 10 cents per American
Depository Receipt (ADR), substantially below prior-year earnings
of 13 cents per ADR. The poor bottom-line performance emerged from
weak product sales in the quarter due to pricing pressure in Europe
and competitive pressures in the US. Weak margins due to a negative
currency impact also led to the shortfall. The bottom-line also
fell significantly short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of
earnings of 84 cents.
In 2011, Actelion recorded earnings of $3.74, below $4.34 earned
in 2010, again due to lower revenues and currency headwinds in the
year. On a reported basis, Actelion incurred a loss of $1.23 in the
full year versus a gain of $3.28 in the prior-year period, due to
litigation provision related to the Asahi Kasei lawsuit.
Full Year Numbers
The company reported net revenue growth of 5% in local currency
over the prior year. However, considering the Swiss franc terms,
Actelion suffered a decline in both product as well as contract
revenues in the quarter.
Product sales were up 7% (local currency) over the prior year.
However, in Swiss francs, revenues were down 6%. Sales in the
quarter were affected by the pricing pressures and the economic
crisis in Europe and weak Tracleer sales in the US.
The company currently has four products in the market. Three of
these, Tracleer, Ventavis and Veletri, are indicated for the
treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The fourth
drug, Zavesca, is indicated for the treatment of Gaucher’s
disease.
Tracleer revenues were up 5% (local currency) in 2011. Tracleer
revenue in the US is beginning to see the impact of increasing
competition due to a removal of potential liver injury warning from
the label of Gilead’s (GILD) PAH drug Letairis in
the US. Tracleer witnessed pricing pressure in Europe, but
experienced growth in Japan and emerging markets. Ex-US Tracleer
revenue also benefited from switching of patients from
Pfizer’s (PFE) Thelin, following the latter’s
withdrawal from the market in early 2011.
Ventavis sales were up 7% (local currency) from the prior year
as benefits from price hikes and lower rebates were offset by low
volume growth due to increased competition. Actelion markets
Ventavis only in the US.
Zavesca sales were up 12% (local currency) from the prior year,
buoyed by strong patient growth in Niemann-Pick type C disease.
However, sales in Europe for Gaucher’s disease type 1 patients are
declining slightly due to patients being switched back to enzyme
replacement therapy (ERT).
2012 Guidance
Actelion maintained the 2012 guidance that was announced
previously. The company expects product sales to decline in 2012 to
a low-to-mid, single-digit range in local currencies. Revenues are
expected to be affected by pricing pressure worldwide, especially
in Europe, and increased competition in the US. Actelion apprehends
steep competition for both Tracleer and Ventavis. Additionally,
core earnings (product sales minus cash operating expenses) are
expected to remain flat with 2011 levels.
Our Take
Actelion’s shares carry a Zacks #4 Rank (short-term ‘Sell’
rating). We like the company’s strong pipeline with abundant
pipeline catalysts coming up in 2012. However, the poor fourth
quarter and 2011 results justify the short term bearish outlook on
the company.
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