Silver Prices Tumble 12% After CME Hikes Margin
May 02 2011 - 6:26PM
Dow Jones News
Two weeks of gains in the silver market were erased in 11
minutes as investors sought to avoid higher trading costs and cash
out of a historic rally.
Silver prices tumbled 12% shortly after electronic trading
opened in Asia for the week -- around 6 p.m. EDT on Sunday -- in a
swift and violent cascade. Prices recouped some of the losses over
the course of the trading session, but the most-active July silver
futures contract closed down 5.2% at $46.084 a troy ounce on the
Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. After prices
had settled for the day, silver futures staged another sharp drop
in electronic trading.
Traders said the declines were triggered after Nymex raised its
trading-deposit requirements, known as margins, over the weekend.
To trade silver futures, investors typically pay only the margins,
which cost a fraction of a contract's full value of around
$230,000.
CME Group Inc. (CME), which operates the Nymex, had raised its
margin requirement for speculative traders twice last week due to
high volatility. These investors must now put up $14,513 per
contract for a day trade, and a further $10,750 to keep that
contract overnight. Both requirements are up 24% from a week ago.
For investors holding hundreds of contracts, that's a difference of
hundreds of thousands of dollars.
Silver is much less costly than gold, but gold's margin
requirements are less than half of silver's. The higher margins are
a deterrent to new investors looking to enter the market.
"That's going to scare the weaker hands out of the market
immediately," said Ralph Preston, market analyst at Heritage West
Financial.
Silver prices have nearly doubled in six months, and both silver
and gold have zoomed to record levels on concerns about low U.S.
interest rates, inflation and investor demand for an affordable
store of value. Both metals are considered to be a safe haven when
bearish sentiment pressures equities and the dollar. But the two
markets don't always trade in concert.
Gold is very scarce and has few industrial uses. By contrast,
silver is more abundant, and the metal's use in high-end
electronics and manufacturing makes it sensitive to economic
downturns.
However, "for the same money you could trade almost twice as
many gold contracts," said George Gero, vice president with RBC
Capital Markets.
Several market participants said silver's decline was
accelerated by broker MF Global (MF), which they said raised its
own margin requirements on top of CME's increase.
An MF Global spokeswoman declined to comment on whether the
company had raised its margins.
Low trading volumes likely amplified silver's decline. It took
less than 6,000 contracts changing hands, or around 3% of the day's
trading volume, to knock prices to a two-week low on a day when
many markets in Asia and Europe were closed. Gold has been less
prone to such wild price swings as there are many more market
participants trading gold futures, which reduces the influence of
each individual transaction.
"This was panic-type selling. As the market started falling in
the midst of thin volumes it drew more sellers to the market, and
this created a vacuumed to the downside," said Dave Meger, director
of metals trading at Vision Financial Markets.
Front-month May silver futures settled down 5.2% at $46.078 a
troy ounce.
-By Tatyana Shumsky, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-3095;
tatyana.shumsky@dowjones.com
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