Brinker Beats Estimate - Analyst Blog
April 28 2011 - 4:30AM
Zacks
The leading casual dining
restaurant company in the world, Brinker International
Inc (EAT) reported third quarter 2011 adjusted earnings
per share (EPS) of 47 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus
Estimate of 45 cents as well as the prior-year quarter earnings of
37 cents. The upside in earnings was driven by continued margin
expansion at Chili's and top-line growth at Maggiano's.
On a GAAP basis, the owner of
Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy reported third
quarter earnings of 45 cents per share, higher than 39 cents posted
in the year-ago quarter.
Quarter
Performance
Total revenue inched up 0.5% year
over year to $717.1 million and also surpassed the Zacks Consensus
Estimate of $709.0 million. The year-over-year upside in revenues
was due to higher same-restaurant sales at company-owned
restaurants. However, system-wide comparable restaurant sales
dipped 0.2%.
Chili's Grill & Bar
restaurant’s total revenue dropped slightly to $608.4 million, as
the restaurant continues to face challenges in improving comparable
restaurant sales. However, Maggiano's sales increased to $91.6
million, driven by a rise in traffic. The royalty and
franchise revenues also spiked 3.6% to $17.1 million.
Comparable restaurant sales at
company-owned restaurants rose 0.1% year over year during the
quarter. By restaurant concepts, comparable restaurant sales fell
0.3% at Chili's Grill & Bar, but climbed 3.4% at Maggiano's.
Despite a drop in guest check average and capacity, Chili's Grill
& Bar restaurant experienced a 0.2% increase in traffic.
Restaurant traffic at Maggiano’s also rose 3.3%.
Comparable restaurant sales at
franchised restaurants inched down 0.9% from the prior-year
quarter, as same-restaurant sales at franchised domestic
restaurants plunged 2.0%, partially offset by a 2.6% upside at
international franchised restaurants.
Restaurant operating margin
escalated 150 basis points (bps) year over year to 18.3%, driven by
lower cost of sales and labor.
Store Update
During the reported quarter, the
company opened seven international franchised restaurants and three
franchised restaurants under the Chili’s brand. However, Brinker
closed one company-owned restaurants under the Chili’s brand.
Financial
Position
As of March 30, 2011, the company
reported current assets of $243.2 million and shareholder’s equity
of $465.7 million. During the third quarter, the company
repurchased 4.5 million shares for approximately $107.1 million and
reduced its long-term debt by $5.4 million sequentially to $508.1
million.
The company paid a quarterly
dividend of 14 cents per share in the third quarter.
Outlook
Brinker reaffirmed its adjusted
earnings guidance range of $1.30 to $1.42 for fiscal 2011. The
Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2011 is $1.49. The company
continues to expect full-year revenues to decrease between 2% and
4% from the last year's revenues of $2.86 billion. The company
projects comparable restaurant sales in a range of flat to negative
2%.
The company plans to open 33 to 40
franchised restaurants in 2011, including 8 to 10 franchised
restaurants under the Chili’s brand and 25 to 30
internationally.
Our Take
System-wide comparable restaurants
sales remained sluggish in the reported quarter, but
same-restaurant sales at company-owned restaurants improved.
Moreover, Brinker is repositioning its Chili’s brand to offset its
declining sales momentum and record more sustainable and stable
growth. Additionally, the company is making efforts to expand its
margins through disciplined cost management and is also expected to
benefit from capacity contraction and the consequent lower unit
capital expenditure.
One of Brinker’s competitors,
BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) reported first
quarter 2011 adjusted earnings of 25 cents per share, above the
Zacks Consensus Estimate of 19 cents, driven by strong comparable
restaurant sales growth.
Brinker holds a Zacks #2 Rank,
implying a short-term Buy rating on the stock. We also reiterate
our long-term Outperform recommendation.
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BRINKER INTL (EAT): Free Stock Analysis Report
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