ABI Research's 2022 Trend Report identifies the 35 key
technology trends that will deliver in 2022 – and the 35 that
won't
NEW YORK, Dec. 16, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- As 2022 kicks off,
predictions abound on the technology advancements and innovations
expected in the year ahead. However, several highly anticipated
advancements, including the metaverse, mainstream companion robots,
a boom in edge computing, and a bounce back in new vehicle sales
will NOT happen in 2022, states global technology intelligence
firm, ABI Research.
In its new whitepaper, 70 Technology Trends That Will—and Will
Not—Shape 2022, ABI Research analysts identify 35 trends that
will shape the technology market and 35 others that, although
attracting huge amounts of speculation and commentary, are less
likely to move the needle over the next twelve months. "The fallout
from COVID-19 prevention measures, the process of transitioning
from pandemic to endemic disease, and global political tensions
weigh heavily on the coming year's fortunes. This whitepaper
is a tool for our readers to help shape their understanding of the
key critical trends that look set to materialize in 2022 as the
world begins to emerge from the shadow of COVID-19. It also
highlights those much-vaunted trends that are less likely to have
meaningful impact in 2022," says Stuart
Carlaw, Chief Research Officer at ABI Research.
What won't happen in 2022?
The Metaverse Will Not Arrive Fully Formed
Despite all
the headlines and investments, the metaverse will not arrive in
2022 or, for that matter, within the typical 5-year forecast
window. The metaverse is still more of a buzzword and vision than a
fully-fledged end goal with a defined arrival date. What we have
today is a number of tech companies building their version of a
"metaverse," but this multiverse is not fully interconnected, does
not yet widely employ open standards, and certainly has not fully
embraced Extended Reality (XR)—all tenets of the metaverse vision
(some would also add the crypto economy to the list, which is also
not in place).
The Exponential Boom in Edge Computing Will Not Come to
Fruition
Edge computing, both Mobile-Access Edge Computing
(MEC), and general edge computing, will continue to increase in
deployment numbers. However, the deployments in 2022 will be mostly
critical ones made by early adopters—not the start of the boom that
had been anticipated. Edge computing use cases and financial
viability are tightly coupled to 5G cellular networks, both public
and private. The availability of affordable 5G services on which
edge computing will thrive is not yet a global reality. As a
result, edge computing adoption will be slower than
anticipated.
Companion Robotics Will Not Go Mainstream
After
several years of leading social robotics companies either shutting
up shop or withdrawing their commercial offerings, 2021 saw renewed
investment and focus on the market and its potential. Amazon's
launch of its first social robot, the Astro, certainly sparked a
great deal of attention. However, despite the enormous potential
for social/companion robotics, 2022 will not be the breakout year
the industry is hoping for, despite the scale, pricing, and
awareness that a player like Amazon can bring to an emerging
technology market.
New Vehicle Sales Will Not Bounce Back
The automotive
supply chain remains unable to meet pent-up demand, thanks to the
shortage of critical semiconductors. A reliance on outdated
semiconductor process technologies with limited production
capacity, proprietary designs, and an opaque demand-signaling
process has prolonged the semiconductor crisis in the automotive
sector. There are no quick fixes for problems that have been years
in the making. Therefore, the consequences of the decision made by
automakers in 2020 to cancel their existing semiconductor orders
will last beyond 2022. Ultimately, ABI Research does not expect new
vehicle sales to return to the 90 million mark—last seen in
2018—until 2023 at the earliest.
No Relief from Semiconductor Shortage
A combination of
factors will take until 2023 to resolve shortage issues through
additional capacity, verification of real demand (versus
panic 2X to 3X orders), and the inflationary impact on consumer
spending on products. Continued risk factors include
social/political risks and the ability to bring new fab capacity
online, on time, especially for tight engineering specified
automotive and commercial vehicles. COVID-19 variants and the
impact on nations without high vaccination rates also play a role
in permitting staffing of facilities and transportation of finished
goods and semiconductor supplies.
"Our goal is to provide the key decision tools businesses
need to act with speed, appropriateness, and efficiency. 2022 will
be challenging, but it also holds great promise and great
opportunity," Carlaw concludes.
For more trends that won't happen in 2022, and the 35 trends
that will, download the whitepaper, 70 Technology Trends That
Will—and Will Not—Shape 2022.
About ABI Research
ABI Research is a global technology
intelligence firm delivering actionable research and strategic
guidance to technology leaders, innovators, and decision makers
around the world. Our research focuses on the transformative
technologies that are dramatically reshaping industries, economies,
and workforces today.
ABI
Research是一家国际科技情报公司,为全球科技领袖、创新人士和决策者提供实用的市场研究和战略性指导。我们密切关注一切为各行各业、全球经济和劳动市场带来颠覆性变革的创新与技术。
For more information about ABI Research's services, contact us
at +1.516.624.2500 in the Americas, +44.203.326.0140 in
Europe, +65.6592.0290 in
Asia-Pacific or visit
www.abiresearch.com.
Contact Info:
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Deborah Petrara
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