MARKET WRAPS
Watch For:
Germany Retail Trade; U.K. Nationwide House Price Index;
Eurozone Manufacturing PMI; OECD Economic Outlook; U.K. CIPS/Markit
Manufacturing PMI; BOE's Bailey speaks.
Opening Call:
European equities could gain at the open, stocks in Asia are
mostly trading higher, while U.S. stock futures are pointing to a
higher open for the major indices. The U.S. dollar weakens slightly
against the yen and euro. Oil prices and gold are both higher.
Equities:
European stocks are set to rise early Wednesday, but investors
are likely to remain nervous due to worries over the newest
coronavirus variant.
The detection of the omicron variant in Japan, as well as
Brazil, announced Tuesday, has raised fears that further measures
to contain infections would squelch tourism and other economic
activity. Experts say it may take weeks before they know more
details about whether the omicron variant causes serious
illness.
Anderson Alves, a trader at ActivTrades, said Asian markets were
nervous after an overnight slide on Wall Street and comments from
Moderna's CEO that existing COVID-19 vaccines may be less effective
with omicron than earlier variants.
"Traders will look for new insights regarding the new variant
and its impact on the current vaccine framework," Alves said.
Wall Street's losses deepened after the head of the Federal
Reserve said it will consider shutting off its support for
financial markets sooner than expected.
The sell-off accelerated after Fed Chair Jerome Powell told
Congress the central bank may halt the billions of dollars of bond
purchases it's making every month "perhaps a few months sooner." It
had been on pace to wrap up the purchases, meant to goose the
economy by lowering rates for mortgages and other long-term loans,
in June.
"There will be heightened volatility around any piece of
information," said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist
at Invesco. She said markets will likely remain cautious "before we
know more."
Forex:
The USD/JPY rose on expectations the Fed may shift to tighten
its policy sooner than previously thought, after the Fed's Powell
said Tuesday the central bank was prepared to quicken the pullback
of its easy-money policies.
As the Fed puts emphasis on price stability to ensure economic
recovery, inflation and other economic data will be closely
watched, including U.S. private-sector jobs and manufacturing
activity data due later in the day.
The US dollar weakened against the yen and slightly against the
euro, while the WSJ Dollar Index was flat. Headlines have been
dominated by the omicron variant over last four or five days, Minh
Trang at Silicon Valley Bank said.
"What's driving markets today are comments by Chairman Powell
saying the new variant may be a headwind against growth in the US,"
and markets reacted quickly to that, the senior foreign exchange
trader said Tuesday.
"The Fed may not be as hawkish as they thought a week ago."
Generally, there's a flight to safety and investors are reassessing
bets on rates in various countries. "Markets don't like
uncertainty" and this new variant represents uncertainty, he
added.
Bonds:
"In the US we've already seen wage growth, labor market
conditions are tighter than the unemployment rate would suggest ...
probably some of this is temporary, but the conditions have already
triggered high wage demand," said Luigi Speranza, chief global
economist with BNP Paribas.
He expects Europe to follow the same pattern, but with a lag,
and notes inflation reaching record highs--with Germany logging
6%.
"The wage negotiation process is a bit staggered over time
because it's more centralized in Europe, so it requires a bit more
time to provide concrete evidence of these inflationary pressures
building, but I think the direction is the same. With a lag, we
expect Europe to follow, and with a lag, we expect the central bank
in Europe, like the Fed, to respond to these inflationary
pressures."
Energy:
Oil prices were higher in early Asian trade, reversing sharp
declines in the previous session after the Fed's Powell said that
the central bank could start to taper asset purchases sooner than
expected.
Focus is likely to be on the OPEC+ meeting Thursday regarding
any changes to its oil supply agreement, IG said. So far, Russia
and Saudi Arabia have signaled that there is no need to adjust
output as they remain unconcerned on the spread of the Omicron
Covid-19 variant, it said.
Metals:
Gold was higher in early Asian trade, after a volatile session
on Tuesday. Oanda expects price of the metal to remain volatile and
stabilize once it gets through the tough period of a stimulus
withdrawal.
Copper prices rose in early Asian trade, recovering slightly
from Tuesday's losses amid macroeconomic concerns triggered by the
new Covid-19 variant.
Huatai Futures advises investors to remain cautious in the near
term, as many commodities fell sharply overnight due to rising
concerns over the Omicron variant after drug makers warned of less
vaccine efficacy. The brokerage expects market fears to persist and
copper trading may suffer volatility ahead.
TODAY'S TOP HEADLINES
Powell Lays Groundwork for Faster End to Stimulus as Inflation
Outlook Worsens
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank was
prepared to quicken the pullback of its easy-money policies,
opening the door to raising interest rates in the first half of
next year as it grapples with inflation and a potential new virus
wave that could exacerbate supply-chain disruptions.
Mr. Powell during a Senate hearing on Tuesday said it would be
appropriate for the Fed to consider accelerating the reduction of
its asset-purchase stimulus program at its meeting on Dec.
14-15.
China's Caixin Manufacturing Gauge Slips in November on Weaker
Demand
A private gauge measuring activity in China's manufacturing
sector slipped in November and fell into contractionary territory,
as both domestic and overseas demand waned.
The Caixin China purchasing managers index dropped to 49.9 from
50.6 in October, indicating that overall business conditions faced
by Chinese manufacturers were broadly unchanged, according to data
released Wednesday by Caixin Media Co. and researcher Markit. A
reading below 50 indicates contraction of activity, while a result
below 50 means an expansion.
Omicron Variant Adds Urgency to Covid-19 Vaccine Talks, WTO
Chief Says
WASHINGTON-The new Omicron Covid-19 variant has added urgency
for the World Trade Organization to act faster on vaccines, the
group's leader said Tuesday, as the variant disrupted contentious
negotiations aimed at boosting vaccine supplies to poorer countries
around the world.
Omicron's emergence forced the WTO to postpone a key ministerial
meeting scheduled to start Tuesday in Geneva, with the agenda
including discussions over vaccinating billions of people in
developing countries by suspending intellectual property rights for
vaccines.
Australia Economy Shrinks in Third Quarter But Rebound Already
Underway
SYDNEY-Australia's economy shrank in the July-September quarter
as efforts to combat the Delta variant of the Covid-19 virus forced
more than half the country into strict and lengthy lockdowns.
The economy contracted by 1.9% in the third quarter from the
previous quarter and grew 3.9% over the year, the Australian Bureau
of Statistics said Wednesday. Economists had expected a 2.5%
contraction in the third quarter.
BOJ Policy Board Member Sees Path Toward Higher Prices in
Japan
Bank of Japan policy board member Seiji Adachi said Wednesday
that he sees a greater chance that the nation's inflation rate will
increase after years of flat prices.
Mr. Adachi pointed out changes in Japanese companies'
price-setting behavior and improvements in their growth
expectations.
Fewer People Shopped Over Thanksgiving Weekend Than Last
Year
Fewer U.S. consumers made purchases during the Thanksgiving
weekend for the second straight year, as more shoppers began their
holiday shopping early and smaller discounts gave them less
incentive to spend.
Roughly 180 million Americans went shopping in stores or online
between Thursday and Monday, the National Retail Federation
reported, compared with 186.4 million in 2020 and 189.6 million in
2019. The NRF, a retail trade group, based its estimates on a
consumer survey done in partnership with Prosper Insights &
Analytics.
Iran's Nuclear Enrichment Could Imperil Talks, Diplomats Say
VIENNA-Senior European diplomats warned on Tuesday that
negotiations to revive nuclear talks could be terminated if Iran
moved to produce weapons-grade nuclear fuel.
"It would seriously imperil the process" if Iran did something
"as provocative as going to 90% enrichment," said a senior diplomat
from the three Western European nations that are participating in
the talks-Britain, France and Germany.
Omicron Variant Adds Urgency to Covid-19 Vaccine Talks, WTO
Chief Says
WASHINGTON-The new Omicron Covid-19 variant has added urgency
for the World Trade Organization to act faster on vaccines, the
group's leader said Tuesday, as the variant disrupted contentious
negotiations aimed at boosting vaccine supplies to poorer countries
around the world.
Omicron's emergence forced the WTO to postpone a key ministerial
meeting scheduled to start Tuesday in Geneva, with the agenda
including discussions over vaccinating billions of people in
developing countries by suspending intellectual property rights for
vaccines.
As Omicron, Supply-Chain Problems Loom, Eurozone Inflation Hits
Record
The eurozone's annual rate of consumer-price inflation jumped to
a record in November, adding to the challenges facing the European
Central Bank as the new coronavirus variant, supply-chain
disruptions and soaring energy prices complicate its policy
decisions for the coming year.
The European Union's statistics agency Tuesday said consumer
prices in the currency area were 4.9% higher than in November 2020,
by far the fastest annual rise since records began in 1997 and more
than double the ECB's 2% target. The previous high of 4.1% was
matched in October, having first been reached in July 2008.
Economists had expected to see a pickup in inflation during the
month, but only to 4.5%.
French Nationalist TV Host Éric Zemmour Launches Presidential
Bid to Challenge Macron
PARIS-Éric Zemmour, the nationalist French talk-show host and
pundit, announced his candidacy for president on Tuesday,
challenging President Emmanuel Macron in next year's election with
a tough line on immigration, Islam and the European Union.
Mr. Zemmour is seeking to oust Marine Le Pen as the French far
right's standard-bearer to become the leading contender against Mr.
Macron in the election. He has harnessed his celebrity as a
television commentator to win support both from France's far right
and from traditional conservatives.
Pfizer Vaccine Executive Moves to Rival GlaxoSmithKline
Pfizer Inc.'s top viral vaccine-science executive is leaving the
pharmaceutical giant for rival GlaxoSmithKline PLC, a high-profile
industry move that comes as Pfizer and other vaccine makers
scramble to assess how their shots will stand up to a new variant
of the coronavirus that causes Covid-19.
GSK said Philip Dormitzer, previously Pfizer's chief scientific
officer for viral vaccines, will join the British drug giant as its
global head of vaccines research and development. His first day
will be Friday, the company said.
CNN Suspends Chris Cuomo Indefinitely Over Role in Brother's
Response to Sexual-Misconduct Allegations
CNN suspended prime-time anchor Chris Cuomo indefinitely after
records released this week by the New York attorney general's
office provided a detailed look into his efforts to help his
brother, former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, respond to allegations
of sexual misconduct.
In a statement released Tuesday, CNN said that the records
"raise serious questions" about Chris Cuomo's conduct. "These
documents point to a greater level of involvement in his brother's
efforts than we previously knew," a CNN spokesman said. "As a
result, we have suspended Chris indefinitely, pending further
evaluation."
GlobalFoundries Says Revenue Rose 56% as Chip Shortage
Continues
GlobalFoundries Inc. swung to a third-quarter profit and its
revenue rose 56%, driven by strong demand amid a chip shortage.
The contract chip maker, one of the world's largest chip makers
and Ford Motor Co.'s semiconductor partner, reported a $5 million
profit for the September quarter, compared with a $293 million loss
a year earlier. On a per share basis, the profit was one penny, or
7 cents on an adjusted basis.
Judge Questions If Purdue's Sacklers Abused Bankruptcy
System
The federal judge weighing the $4.5 billion settlement between
Purdue Pharma LP and the Sackler family members who own the
OxyContin maker said she had serious concerns about whether they
abused the bankruptcy system by collecting billions of dollars from
the company before it filed for chapter 11 protection.
Judge Colleen McMahon of the Southern District of New York said
during a hearing Tuesday there was "quite a bit" of circumstantial
evidence made public during Purdue's chapter 11 case to suggest
members of the Sackler family transferred money out of the company
to shield their wealth after the drugmaker pleaded guilty in 2007
to federal charges over how it marketed OxyContin, its flagship
opioid painkiller.
Salesforce Names Bret Taylor Co-CEO
Business-software company Salesforce.com Inc. elevated Bret
Taylor to the role of co-chief executive officer and vice chairman,
as it issued third-quarter results, including a muted sales
outlook.
Mr. Taylor has been president and chief operating officer since
2019 under CEO and chairman Marc Benioff. The move restores the
co-CEO structure that Salesforce had until last year when Keith
Block stepped down.
HPE's quarterly earnings blow past estimates
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. on Tuesday reported
better-than-expected quarterly earnings and sales in line with
Street estimates, though shares slipped about 2% in after-hours
trading.
The company HPE reported fourth-quarter net earnings of $2.55
billion, or $1.91 a share, compared with net earnings of $157
million, or 12 cents a share, in the same quarter a year ago. HPE
said adjusted earnings were 52 cents a share, up from 41 cents a
share in the year-ago quarter.
Nasdaq to Move Markets to Amazon's Cloud
Nasdaq Inc. said that next year it plans to begin moving its
North American markets to Amazon.com Inc.'s Amazon Web Services
cloud-computing platform.
The move, which will take a phased approach starting with Nasdaq
MRX, a U.S. options market, involves turning over massive amounts
of the exchange operator's data to a third-party cloud service.
Nasdaq didn't disclose a timeline for moving its other markets.
Write to sarka.halas@wsj.com
Expected Major Events for Wednesday
00:01/UK: Nov CBI Growth Indicator Survey
00:01/UK: Nov Shop Price Index
01:01/IRL: Nov Ireland Manufacturing PMI
07:00/TUR: Nov Turkey Manufacturing PMI
07:00/GER: Oct Retail Trade
07:00/UK: Nov Nationwide House Price Index
07:00/NOR: 3Q Balance of Payments
07:30/SWI: Nov CPI
08:00/HUN: 3Q GDP
08:00/HUN: Oct PPI
08:00/POL: Nov Poland Manufacturing PMI
08:00/NED: Nov Netherlands Manufacturing PMI
08:15/SPN: Nov Spain Manufacturing PMI
08:30/CZE: Nov Czech Republic Manufacturing PMI
08:30/SWI: Nov procure.ch Purchasing Managers' Index
08:45/ITA: Nov Italy Manufacturing PMI
08:50/FRA: Nov France Manufacturing PMI
08:55/GER: Nov Germany Manufacturing PMI
09:00/GRE: Nov Greece Manufacturing PMI
09:00/EU: Nov Eurozone Manufacturing PMI
09:30/UK: Nov CIPS / Markit Manufacturing PMI
09:30/UK: Nov Narrow money (Notes & Coin) and reserve
balances
10:00/CYP: Sep Retail trade
10:00/CYP: 3Q GDP
10:00/DEN: Nov Danish PMI
11:00/IRL: Nov Monthly Unemployment
16:59/AUT: Nov Unemployment figures
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 01, 2021 00:23 ET (05:23 GMT)
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