Federal Reserve Approves Big Banks to Boost Payouts to Investors
June 27 2019 - 4:59PM
Dow Jones News
By David Benoit and Lalita Clozel
The Federal Reserve cleared the nation's biggest banks to
increase their payouts to shareholders, another sign that the
industry has grown fit enough to handle a severe economic
shock.
All 18 banks reviewed, a group that includes giant U.S. lenders
JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp., passed round
two of the Federal Reserve's stress tests, an annual exercise
designed to gauge banks' ability to withstand a recession. It was
only the second time since the Fed began administering the exams
that no bank failed.
A few banks in regulatory hot water were cleared, opening the
door for a wave of dividends and stock buybacks that could boost
bank stocks left behind in the market rally. This year's scenario
was among the toughest yet, but a recent Fed overhaul of the test
made it easier for banks to pass.
The two-stage process, introduced by the Dodd-Frank financial
overhaul enacted in response to the financial crisis, first
measures how the banks would fare in severe economic scenarios,
including double-digit unemployment and a 50% decline in U.S.
stocks. Those results, released last week, showed an industry
losing a total of $410 billion but left with more capital than in
the prior year's test.
For the second stage, the Fed measures how banks would fare
under the same scenarios after increasing their dividends and stock
buybacks. The outcome determines how much banks can return to
investors and how much they have to keep socked away.
While no banks failed the second round of the test, JPMorgan
Chase and Capital One Financial Corp. had to resubmit their
capital-return plans to stay above the Fed's regulatory minimum
capital levels.
The Fed dinged Credit Suisse Group AG over its projections for
trading losses in the test and gave it four months to improve its
capital-planning processes.
Under a process known as the mulligan, banks are allowed to
adjust their capital-return plans and retake the test if their
initial proposals would put them below the line. Banks can be more
or less aggressive under that process, giving themselves a capital
cushion to stay well above the thresholds or cutting it close to
pay out more to shareholders.
Wells Fargo & Co., which is operating under an unprecedented
growth cap imposed by the Federal Reserve following a string of
scandals, passed with a wide capital cushion.
Deutsche Bank AG, which failed the test last year and was told
to improve its forecasting and risk controls, also was cleared this
year. The bank's U.S. operations have been under heightened
scrutiny since the Fed in early 2017 downgraded the operations to
"troubled condition" status, The Wall Street Journal previously
reported.
Bank stocks have trailed the broader market this year on
persistent concerns about the direction of interest rates and the
possibility of an economic slowdown. The steady pace of rate
increases in recent years has allowed banks to charge more on loans
while more slowly raising the interest they pay to depositors. The
KBW Bank Index is up 12% this year, compared with a 16.7% gain in
the S&P 500.
Seventeen banks skipped this year's exercise under a new
biennial schedule. Most of the 18 firms undergoing the test this
year weren't subject to a potential failure under the qualitative
review, which evaluates a firm's capital-planning analysis and
internal controls.
Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse and other foreign banks remained
subject to potential failure because they were newer to the
test.
The chance for a public shaming under the stress tests could
soon recede even further. The Fed last year proposed eliminating
the threat of failure for big banks on the numbers-based portion of
the test, integrating their results instead into a continuous
capital requirement.
Write to David Benoit at david.benoit@wsj.com and Lalita Clozel
at lalita.clozel.@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 27, 2019 16:44 ET (20:44 GMT)
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