Neo
Energy Metals plc / LSE: NEO, A2X: NEO / Market: Main Market of the
London Stock Exchange
6 June 2024
Neo Energy Metals
plc
('Neo Energy' or 'the
Company')
Updated Independent Study
Confirms Robust Economics for the Henkries Uranium
Project
Neo Energy Metals plc, the near
term, low-cost uranium mine developer, is pleased to announce that
the key findings from the independent report, recently completed by
South African based mining consultancy group Erudite Strategies ('Erudite'), have confirmed the low
operating cost (Opex) and capital cost (Capex) and overall robust
project economics of the Henkries
Uranium Project ('Henkries' or 'the Project') located in the
Northern Cape province of South Africa.
Summary
·
Erudite has
completed an independent update of both the operating and capital
cost estimates previously defined in the feasibility study
completed on the Henkries Project by Anglo Operations Limited
(Anglo American) in 1979.
·
The Erudite study
confirms Henkries can be accelerated into production at a lower
capital and operating cost compared to many of its
peers.
·
Financial
modelling of the detailed cost estimates has further confirmed the
Project's robust and attractive underlying
economics.
·
The Project
economics were assessed based on three potential operating
scenarios, comprising, a Low Case, Competent Person Report Case and
the Initial Target Case.
·
All three
scenarios demonstrated positive and robust project economics for
the initial 10-year mining and processing period, at an average
US$90/lb U3O8 price and 8% discount rate.
·
Key Results from
the Competent Person Report (CPR) Case, (based on the summary
resource data and technical assumptions defined in the Prospectus
CPR of November 2023, for a 7Mlb U3O8 resource)
comprise:
o Annual average production of
567,000 lb U3O8
o Annual average sales revenue
of US$ 51.0M
o C1 Cash operating cost US$
36.8/lb U3O8 produced.
o Initial Capex US$ 52.2M,
Sustaining Capex US$ 17.3M
o NPV US$ 106.6M, IRR
43.4%
o Payback 2.9
years
·
The operating and
capital cost outputs of the Erudite independent study and resulting
project economics have surpassed the Company's previous
expectations.
·
The Erudite Study
outcomes support the Board's view that the Henkries Project can be
fast tracked to production at the earliest possible
opportunity.
·
The Company will
commence resource expansion drilling in H2 2024, aimed at
increasing the total JORC compliant resources to over 10Mlb
U3O8.
·
Discussions are
continuing with various parties, including the Company's major
shareholder, in connection with planned uranium offtake
arrangements and the mines' development timetable and financing
options.
Erudite Study Work
Erudites' independent capital and
operating cost update was based on the 1979 Feasibility Study
Report completed by Anglo American on the Henkries Project (the
'Erudite Study').
The mining and processing baseline
used in the Erudite Study, remain unchanged from the previously
completed feasibility study. The design of which was
based on a 254t
bulk sample of ore sourced from 211 test
pits and fed into a metallurgical pilot
plant over a six
month period.
The Mechanical Equipment List (MEL)
for the processing plant was updated in the Erudite Study in line
with the most appropriate and cost effective currently available
technology. Budgetary quotes were obtained for the major
items of equipment, key major works (including Tailings Storage)
and transport costs for construction. In line with long
established engineering practices the full investment costs for the
project were then factored from the MEL. Owners' costs,
contingencies and sustaining capital were added to derive a Total
Investment Value.
For the mine and process plant
operating costs, updated quotes were obtained for reagents, and
supply services and major operating contracts. The balance of
the costs for labour, fuel consumables etc. were derived from
prevailing regional costs and database sources, to arrive at an
equivalent of a C1 cash cost.
Financial Models were generated
based on the Erudite Study outcomes, for three operating scenarios, comprising; a Low Case, Competent
Person Report Case and the Initial Target Case for the development of the project defined as:
1) Low Case - assuming the project is developed based on the
current 4.7Mlb U3O8 JORC resource,
2)
Competent Person Report Case - assuming that JORC resources are increased to 7Mlb U3O8, as
supported in the Henkries Competent Persons
Report published in November 2023, (after
updating the Mineral Resource Estimate based on the analysis of
available historical drill samples and the infill drilling at
Henkries North being completed in H2 2024), and.
3) Initial Target Case - assuming the 10Mlb U3O8 JORC resource
target of the current exploration program is
achieved.
Erudite Study Report Highlights
The update of the project's Capex
and Opex confirms the excellent current economic potential for near
term development of Henkries to production. The extensive
data currently available on the project is more than sufficient to
springboard straight into a "fast track" Front End Engineering
Design (FEED) phase.
The summary report focusses on the
Initial Target Case costing, but all detailed costings for each
scenario have been supplied.
The Life of Mine for all scenarios
for the project was set at 10 years, with a Discount Factor of 8%,
with no escalation and no gearing applied to each of the three
operating scenarios.
The head grade was set at the
current Mineral Resource Estimate average of 399ppm U3O8, with a
cut-off grade 100ppm.
Financial analysis of the outputs of the Erudite
Study
Assuming an initial 10-year mining
and processing operation and using an average US$90/lb. U3O8 price
at an 8% discount rate, the financial outcomes for the three
operating scenarios comprise:
1. Low Case
§ C1 Cash
operating cost US$ 42.2 /lb U3O8
§ Initial
Capex US$ 41.1M, Sustaining Capex US$ 13.6M
§ NPV US$
63.9M, IRR 30.1%
§ Payback
3.6 years
2. Competent
Person Report Case
§ C1 Cash
operating cost US$ 36.8 /lb U3O8
§ Initial
Capex US$ 52.2M, Sustaining Capex US$ 17.3M
§ NPV US$
106.6M, IRR 43.4%
§ Payback
2.9 years
3. Initial Target Case
§ C1 Cash
operating cost US$ 33.6 /lb U3O8
§ Initial
Capex US$ 64.6M, Sustaining Capex US$ 21.5M
§ NPV US$
195.4M, IRR 72.0%
§ Payback
2.5 years
The following table details the
various project inputs and financial outputs for each of the
operating scenarios for the development of the Henkries
Project:
Summary Table for Henkries Project
|
Current
Case
|
Competent Person Report
Case
|
Initial Target
Case
|
|
|
4.7
Mlb Resource
|
7 Mlb
Resource
|
10 Mlb
Resource
|
Key
Physical Parameters
|
Unit
|
|
|
|
Life of Mine
|
years
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
Total Ore (dry)
|
tonnes
|
5,341,000
|
7,954,000
|
11,362,000
|
Contained Uranium
|
lbs U3O8
|
4,700,000
|
7,000,000
|
10,000,000
|
Total waste mined (dry)
|
Mt
|
12,550,000
|
18,691,000
|
26,701,000
|
Plant Design Process throughput
(dry)
|
tpa
|
535,000
|
796,000
|
1,137,000
|
Annual waste mined (dry)
|
tpa
|
1,255,000
|
1,870,000
|
2,672,000
|
Average Strip Ratio
|
|
2.35:1
|
2.35:1
|
2.35:1
|
Average Uranium Head Grade
|
ppm U3O8
|
399
|
399
|
399
|
Cut Off Grade
|
ppm U3O8
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
Forecast Uranium Recovery
|
%
|
81%
|
81%
|
81%
|
Total Production
|
lbs U3O8
|
3,807,000
|
5,670,000
|
8,100,000
|
Average Annual Production
|
lbs U3O8pa
|
380,700
|
567,000
|
810,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital Costs as detailed by Erudite
|
Project Capital including Owners Cost
and Contingency
|
US$ million
|
41.09
|
52.19
|
64.64
|
Sustaining Capital (including
Tailings Storage Facility)
|
US$ million
|
13.64
|
17.33
|
21.46
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Costs as detailed by Erudite
|
Mining
|
US$/lb U3O8 produced
|
5.87
|
4.56
|
3.75
|
Processing
|
US$/lb U3O8 produced
|
36.30
|
32.25
|
29.81
|
Combined C1 Cash
Cost
|
US$/lb U3O8
produced
|
42.17
|
36.81
|
33.56
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial Inputs
|
Life of Mine Average Uranium
Price
|
US$/lb U3O8
|
90
|
90
|
90
|
ZAR:US$ exchange rate
|
ZAR
|
18.58
|
18.58
|
18.58
|
|
Valuation Returns and Key Ratios - C1 Cash Cost
Basis
|
NPV (Pre-Tax, real basis, ungeared)
C1
|
US$M
|
63.9
|
106.6
|
195.4
|
IRR (Pre-Tax, real basis, ungeared)
C1
|
%
|
30.1
|
43.4
|
72.0
|
Payback Period (Pre-Tax, real basis,
ungeared)
|
Years
|
3.6
|
2.9
|
2.5
|
Pre-tax NPV/Pre-Production
Capex
|
x
|
1.6
|
2.0
|
3.0
|
Cashflow Summary at the Mine Gate
|
Sales Revenue Gross
|
US$M
|
342.6
|
510.3
|
729.0
|
Total Operating Costs C1
|
US$M
|
160.5
|
208.7
|
271.9
|
Project Operating Surplus
|
US$M
|
182.1
|
301.6
|
457.1
|
Pre-Production Capex
|
US$M
|
(41.1)
|
(52.2)
|
(64.6)
|
LOM sustaining Capex (incl. closure
costs)
|
US$M
|
(18.8)
|
(23.8)
|
(29.6)
|
Project Net Cashflow (Pre-Tax and Royalties)
|
US$M
|
122.3
|
225.6
|
362.9
|
Neo
Energy Metals, Chief Executive Officer, Sean Heathcote
said,
"We are thrilled to confirm the robust economic potential of
our Henkries Uranium Project in all our operating scenarios. The
project's financial metrics of low capital intensity, combined with
a significant IRR and quick payback periods, in the strong uranium
market, will put the project at the forefront for early and
fast-tracked development in the sector. In addition, the forecast
operating costs compare extremely well with our peers and confirms
the Henkries Project as one of the lowest cost producers of all new
uranium projects under development."
"The Company aims to fast track the Henkries project to the
Target Case, in the shortest time possible. To this end the work in
the coming months will focus on, increasing the resource base,
testing and confirming the value engineering options tabled by
Erudite to improve the project economics further and continuing to
discuss both the offtake and financing options with the various
interested parties."
This announcement contains
inside information for the purposes of the UK Market Abuse
Regulation, and the Directors of the Company are responsible for
the release of this announcement.
ENDS
About NEO Energy Metals Plc
Neo Energy Metals plc is a Uranium
developer and mining company listed on the main market of the
London Stock Exchange (LSE: NEO). The Company holds up to a 70%
stake in the Henkries Uranium Project, an advanced, low-cost mine
located in South Africa's Northern Cape Province. It has been
estimated by some that the historical investment in the project was
over US$30 million in exploration and feasibility studies, Neo
Energy Metals aims to increase the project's mineral resources and
complete an updated feasibility study ahead of a determination of
the development schedule at the end of 2024 to bring Henkries into
production.
The company is led by a proven board
and management team with experience in uranium and mineral project
development in Southern Africa. Neo Energy Metals' strategy focuses
on an accelerated development and production approach to generate
cash flow from Henkries while planning for long-term exploration
and portfolio growth in the highly prospective Uranium district of
Africa.
The Company's shares are also listed
on the A2X Markets (A2X: NEO), an independent South African stock
exchange, to expand its investor base and facilitate strategic
acquisitions of uranium projects, particularly within South
Africa.
For
Enquiries Contact:
Sean Heathcote
|
Chief Executive Officer
|
sean@neoenergymetals.com
|
|
|
|
Jason Brewer
|
Executive Chairman
|
jason@neoenergymetals.com
|
Faith Kinyanjui
|
Investor Relations
|
faith@neoenergymetals.com
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20
7236 1177
Tel: +44 (0)
77 1242 4838
|
|
|