CORRECTION -- First Quantum Minerals Announces 2022 Preliminary
Production and 2023-2025 Guidance
In a release issued under the same headline earlier
today by First Quantum Minerals
Ltd. (TSX:FM), please note that in the "Gold" table of
the "Production guidance by operation" section, the numbers on the
"Cobre Panamá" line under "2023" should read "140 - 160" instead of
"140 - 160 150". The corrected release follows:
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. ("First Quantum" or
the "Company") (TSX:FM) announces preliminary production for the
three months (“Q4”) and year ended December 31, 2022 and guidance
for production, capital expenditure and costs for the years 2023 to
2025.
“It is pleasing to see that the focus on
operational improvements has resulted in a strong end to 2022. We
continue to monitor the macroeconomic conditions closely and debt
reduction remains a priority,” commented Tristan Pascall, Chief
Executive Officer. “Disciplined and responsible growth continue to
be a focus at First Quantum. The CP100 Expansion remains on
schedule to exit 2023 at 100 million tonnes per annum and work is
well underway for the S3 Expansion. We are also pleased that the
Enterprise nickel project will enter first production this year.
These projects are a key part of the Company’s brownfield growth
strategy over the next several years.”
HIGHLIGHTS
- Q4 and 2022
Production: First Quantum achieved annual copper
production of 776 thousand tonnes (“kt”) a 5% reduction from 2021.
Cobre Panamá delivered record annual production of 350kt, while
Sentinel saw a year-on-year increase to 242kt. Kansanshi production
of 146kt was lower than 2021 due to lower grades. Copper production
in Q4 2022 was 206kt, 2% higher than Q4 2021 and 6% higher than Q3
2022 with record quarterly production achieved at Sentinel.
- Three–year
guidance: Copper and nickel production are forecast to
grow to between 775-865kt and 45-60kt, respectively, by 2025.
Capital expenditure guidance has increased to $1.6 billion in 2023
and $1.8 billion in 2024, reducing to $1.5 billion in 2025 with the
completion of the S3 Expansion project at Kansanshi. Increases in
2023 and 2024 are principally due to inflationary pressures on
sustaining capital and timing of expenditures for project capital.
This includes the re-phasing of the S3 Expansion, and higher costs
for crusher relocations at the mine sites.
- Cobre Panamá: As
per the news release on January 10, 2023, First Quantum continues
to engage with the Government of Panamá and remains ready to reach
an agreement that is fair and equitable to both parties. The
Company had indicated to the Government of Panama that it is
prepared to accept and pay a minimum of $375 million per year to
the Government of Panama, comprised of corporate taxes and a
profit-based mineral royalty of 12 to 16 percent, with downside
protections. As previously announced, Minera Panamá, S.A. (“MPSA”)
is working through a number of steps to address the resolution from
the National Directorate of Mineral Resources of the Ministry of
Commerce and Industries (“the Ministry”) requiring MPSA to suspend
commercial operations at Cobre Panamá. At this time, the timing and
impact of any care and maintenance regime enacted by the Ministry
remain uncertain. Given this, production guidance is based on
normal operations with no disruption to production.
2022 PRELIMINARY PRODUCTION AND 2023 – 2025
GUIDANCE
2022 Preliminary Production
First Quantum achieved annual copper production
of 776kt that was within the 2022 revised guidance range of 755kt
to 785kt. Copper production in Q4 2022 was 206kt, 4kt above Q4 2021
and 11kt above Q3 2022.
Cobre Panamá achieved record copper production
of 350kt for the full year, 19kt more than 2021. Copper production
in Q4 2022 of 90kt was an increase of 10kt from Q4 2021, but 2kt
lower than Q3 2022 due to a total plant shutdown in November for
planned maintenance. Cobre Panamá’s performance for the last three
quarters remained strong and achieved new weekly and monthly
throughput records in December.
Sentinel achieved copper production of 242kt for
the full year, 9kt higher than 2021, and record quarterly
production of 73kt in Q4 2022, 13kt higher than Q4 2021 and 9kt
higher than Q3 2022. Production was impacted in Q1 2022 by a delay
to Stage 2 North-wall stripping due to wet underfoot conditions
during an extended rainy season but has improved each quarter since
then. Throughput has also been strong, achieving monthly and
quarterly records in Q4 2022 and an annual record in 2022.
Kansanshi copper production of 146kt for the
full year was 56kt lower than 2021. The lower production reflects a
combination of lower sulphide grades from narrow-veined regions,
depleting oxide ore and restricted access to high-grade blocks due
to an accumulation of water in the main pit in the second and third
quarters of 2022. Copper production in Q4 2022 was 35kt, a
reduction of 17kt from Q4 2021, but 5kt higher than Q3 2022 as
access to high-grade areas improved following successful dewatering
of the pit.
Other sites achieved consolidated copper
production of 38kt for the full year, a 12kt reduction from 2021,
resulting from declining production from short life mines. Copper
production at the Pyhäsalmi mine in Finland ceased at the end of Q3
2022.
The production and sales figures provided herein
are preliminary and subject to final adjustment. The final
production and sales figures will be confirmed in the Company's
financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December
31, 2022.
000’s |
Q4 2022 |
Q42021 |
Year 2022 |
Year 2021 |
Copper production
(tonnes) |
206 |
202 |
776 |
816 |
Gold production (ounces) |
73 |
75 |
286 |
312 |
Nickel
production (tonnes) |
6 |
3 |
22 |
17 |
Copper (000’s tonnes) |
Q4 2022 |
Q42021 |
Year 2022 |
Year 2021 |
Cobre Panamá |
90 |
80 |
350 |
331 |
Kansanshi |
35 |
52 |
146 |
202 |
Trident - Sentinel |
73 |
60 |
242 |
233 |
Other |
8 |
10 |
38 |
50 |
Production |
206 |
202 |
776 |
816 |
Gold (000’s ounces) |
Q4 2022 |
Q42021 |
Year 2022 |
Year 2021 |
Cobre Panamá |
38 |
33 |
140 |
142 |
Kansanshi |
24 |
35 |
110 |
128 |
Other |
11 |
7 |
36 |
42 |
Production |
73 |
75 |
286 |
312 |
Nickel production (000’s tonnes) |
Q4 2022 |
Q42021 |
Year
2022 |
Year
2021 |
Ravensthorpe |
6 |
3 |
22 |
17 |
Copper sales (000’s tonnes) |
Q4 2022 |
Q42021 |
Year 2022 |
Year 2021 |
Total copper |
199 |
213 |
782 |
822 |
2023 – 2025 Guidance
Guidance is based on a number of assumptions and
estimates as of December 31, 2022, including among other things,
assumptions about metal prices and anticipated costs and
expenditures. Guidance involves estimates of known and unknown
risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual
results to be materially different.
As per the news release on January 10, 2023,
First Quantum continues to engage with the Government of Panama and
the Company remains ready to reach an agreement that is fair and
equitable to both parties. The Company had indicated to the
Government of Panama that it is prepared to accept and pay a
minimum of $375 million per year to the Government of Panama,
comprised of corporate taxes and a profit-based mineral royalty of
12 to 16 percent, with downside protections. As previously
announced, MPSA is working through a number of steps to address the
resolution from the Ministry requiring MPSA to suspend commercial
operations at Cobre Panama. At this time, the timing and impact of
any care and maintenance regime enacted by the Ministry remain
uncertain. Given this, production guidance for Cobre Panama is
based on normal operations with no disruption to production.
Production guidance
000’s |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
Copper (tonnes) |
770 - 840 |
765 - 835 |
775 - 865 |
Gold (ounces) |
265 - 295 |
290 - 320 |
305 - 345 |
Nickel
(tonnes) |
28 - 38 |
34 - 49 |
45 - 60 |
Production guidance by operation
Copper
000’s tonnes |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
Cobre Panamá |
350 - 380 |
370 - 400 |
370 - 400 |
Kansanshi |
130 - 150 |
130 - 150 |
140 - 180 |
Trident - Sentinel |
260 - 280 |
245 - 265 |
245 - 265 |
Other
sites |
30 |
20 |
20 |
Gold
000’s ounces |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
Cobre Panamá |
140 - 160 |
155 - 175 |
155 - 175 |
Kansanshi |
95 - 105 |
95 - 105 |
110 - 130 |
Other
sites |
30 |
40 |
40 |
Nickel
000’s tonnes |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
Ravensthorpe |
23 - 28 |
24 - 29 |
25 - 30 |
Enterprise |
5 -
10 |
10 - 20 |
20 - 30 |
Production for 2023 for Cobre Panamá includes
commissioning in Q1 2023 with a ramp-up over the course of the year
to achieve an annualized throughput rate of 100 million tonnes per
annum by the end of 2023.
Kansanshi copper production in 2023 and 2024
reflects similar levels as 2022 with lower oxide grades and
sulphide grades while mining vein-hoisted areas. Copper and gold
production in 2025 includes some limited production associated with
the S3 Expansion, expected to commence in the second half of
2025.
Higher gold production in 2024 for other sites
is due to higher production expected at Guelb Moghrein with the
expansion of the Carbon-in-Leach plant, to be complete in the first
half of 2024, and the inclusion of Cutback 4.
Nickel production at Enterprise is expected to
commence in the first half of 2023 with ramp up to full plant
throughput and recovery in 2024. 2023 production guidance for
Enterprise includes 5kt of pre-commercial production results.
Cash cost and all-in sustaining cost
Total Copper ($/lb) |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
C1 |
1.65 - 1.85 |
1.65 - 1.85 |
1.60 - 1.85 |
AISC |
2.25 - 2.45 |
2.25 - 2.45 |
2.20 - 2.45 |
Ravensthorpe Nickel ($/lb) |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
C1 |
7.00 - 8.50 |
6.75 - 8.00 |
6.75 - 8.00 |
AISC |
9.00 - 10.50 |
8.50 - 9.75 |
8.50 - 9.75 |
Enterprise Nickel ($/lb) |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
C1 |
- |
4.00 - 6.00 |
4.00 - 6.00 |
AISC |
- |
6.50 - 9.50 |
6.50 - 9.50 |
C1 cost guidance for both copper and nickel
reflects recent inflationary and commodity price pressures. AISC
guidance reflects higher sustaining capital expenditure, partly
mitigated by a decrease in royalties specifically in Zambia
relating to recent changes announced by the Zambian government. The
Zambian import duty on fuel was reinstated on January 1, 2023,
however this reinstatement was at a ‘free rate’, resulting in a nil
impact on costs.
Unit cost guidance for the three-year guidance
period is based on an assumed gold price of between $1,700/oz and
$1,750/oz, average Brent crude oil price of $100/barrel and Zambian
kwacha/US dollar exchange rate of 16. A coal price of $150/tonne is
assumed for 2024 and 2025.
Enterprise unit cost guidance if provided from
its first full year of production in 2024. First production at
Enterprise is expected in the first half of 2023. Ravensthorpe unit
cost guidance is based on a sulphur price of $150/tonne.
Collective Bargaining Agreement negotiations at
Sentinel, Kansanshi, FQMO and Enterprise are expected to close in
the first half of 2023. Anticipated labour cost increases have been
included in cost estimates.
Capital expenditure
$ million |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
Capitalized stripping |
300 |
300 |
300 |
Sustaining capital |
430 |
475 |
500 |
Project
capital |
870 |
1,025 |
700 |
Total
capital expenditure |
1,600 |
1,800 |
1,500 |
Capital expenditures have been experiencing
inflationary cost increases, including higher shipping rates, steel
prices, fuel costs, and labour rates. Guidance on capital
expenditures for 2023 and 2024 has increased to reflect such cost
increases as well as additional increases arising from scope
definition, expansion of Environmental, Social and Governance
(“ESG”) initiatives and the timing of expenditures, including some
expenditure carried over from 2022 and the acceleration of some
expenditure related to the Kansanshi S3 Expansion project.
Total capital expenditure for the S3 Expansion
project remains unchanged at $1.25 billion, with approximately $40
million spent to date. The S3 Expansion includes the development
and construction of the S3 process plant circuit and mining fleet
acquisitions. Across the three year guidance period, project
capital expenditures for the S3 Expansion project are expected to
be approximately $900 million, with the majority of the spend to
occur over 2023 and 2024. Pre-strip activities for the South East
Dome pit is expected to continue through to 2027, of which $300
million is included in the three-year capital budget for the S3
Expansion.
Project capital in the three-year guidance
period includes:
- Additional capital expenditures at
Kansanshi, including the expansion of the tailings facility and
smelter of approximately $300 million,
- $650 million in capital
expenditures at Cobre Panamá for the development of the Colina pit,
work on the West Dam, purchase of additional mining fleet,
expansion of camp facilities and assembly of the molybdenum
flotation and filtration plant,
- $200 million in capital
expenditures at Sentinel for the relocation of in-pit crusher 2 and
the purchase of additional mining equipment, and
- $35 million for the completion of
the Enterprise nickel project.
The three-year guidance includes ESG-related
projects within the $2.6 billion project capital expenditures. Each
of these projects are expected to also improve cost structure,
safety and productivity of the business. These include;
- Upgrade of the Kansanshi smelter to
increase processing capacity, which reduces downstream greenhouse
gas emissions from the transport and refining of copper concentrate
produced by Kansanshi and Sentinel,
- A wind farm at Ravensthorpe to
reduce reliance on power from diesel back-up generators, subject to
final approval,
- Expansion of trolley assist
infrastructure across the Company’s three largest mines to lower
diesel consumption and associated mine fleet greenhouse gas
emissions,
- Relocation and installation of
in-pit crushers to optimize haul cycle efficiency and reduce mine
fleet diesel consumption,
- Investments at Cobre Panamá and
Trident to enhance the social infrastructure serving both our
workforce and local communities, and,
- Water initiatives at various
operations for the management of water quality and reuse by
operations.
Three-year guidance for project capital
expenditure does not include any development expenditure for the
Las Cruces Underground Project, Taca Taca or Hacquira.
All of our Company’s major operations have
planned for increases in sustaining expenditure, which has been
impacted by significant cost inflation as well as an increase in
TSF costs and increase in fleet replacement programs.
Capital expenditure guidance excludes
capitalized pre-commercial production results.
For further information visit our website at
www.first-quantum.com
Contact: Bonita To, Director, Investor
RelationsTel: (416) 361-3400 Toll free: 1 (888) 688-6577E-Mail:
info@fqml.com
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT ON FORWARD-LOOKING
INFORMATIONCertain statements and information herein,
including all statements that are not historical facts, contain
forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within
the meaning of applicable securities laws. The forward-looking
statements include estimates, forecasts and statements as to the
Company’s expectations of production and sales volumes, the
Company’s ability to reach an agreement with the Government
regarding the long term future of Cobre Panamá (and the delivery by
MPSA of a “care and maintenance plan” and the enactment by the
Ministry of any such plan), expected timing of completion of
project development at Enterprise and are subject to the impact of
ore grades on future production, the potential of production
disruptions, potential production, operational, labour or marketing
disruptions as a result of the COVID-19 global pandemic, capital
expenditure and mine production costs, the outcome of mine
permitting, other required permitting, the outcome of legal
proceedings which involve the Company, information with respect to
the future price of copper, gold, nickel, silver, iron, cobalt,
pyrite, zinc and sulphuric acid, estimated mineral reserves and
mineral resources, First Quantum’s exploration and development
program, estimated future expenses, exploration and development
capital requirements, the Company’s hedging policy, and goals and
strategies. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements or
information can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”,
“expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”,
“scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or
“does not anticipate” or “believes” or variations of such words and
phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results
“may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be
achieved.
With respect to forward-looking statements and
information contained herein, the Company has made numerous
assumptions including among other things, assumptions about
continuing production at all operating facilities, the price of
copper, gold, nickel, silver, iron, cobalt, pyrite, zinc and
sulphuric acid, anticipated costs and expenditures and the ability
to achieve the Company’s goals. Forward-looking statements and
information by their nature are based on assumptions and involve
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may
cause the actual results, performance or achievements, or industry
results, to be materially different from any future results,
performance or achievements expressed or implied by such
forward-looking statements or information. These factors include,
but are not limited to, future production volumes and costs, the
temporary or permanent closure of uneconomic operations, costs for
inputs such as oil, power and sulphur, political stability in
Panama, Zambia, Peru, Mauritania, Finland, Spain, Turkey, Argentina
and Australia, adverse weather conditions in Panama, Zambia,
Finland, Spain, Turkey, Mauritania and Australia, labour
disruptions, potential social and environmental challenges
(including the impact of climate change), power supply, mechanical
failures, water supply, procurement and delivery of parts and
supplies to the operations, the production of off-spec material and
events generally impacting global economic, political and social
stability.
See the Company’s Annual Information Form for
additional information on risks, uncertainties and other factors
relating to the forward-looking statements and information.
Although the Company has attempted to identify factors that would
cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from
those disclosed in the forward-looking statements or information,
there may be other factors that cause actual results, performances,
achievements or events not to be anticipated, estimated or
intended. Also, many of these factors are beyond First Quantum’s
control. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on
forward-looking statements or information. The Company undertakes
no obligation to reissue or update forward-looking statements or
information as a result of new information or events after the date
hereof except as may be required by law. All forward-looking
statements and information made herein are qualified by this
cautionary statement.
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