TIDMDTL

RNS Number : 1666K

Dexion Trading Limited

16 August 2012

Dexion Trading Limited ("the Company")

July Net Asset Value

The net asset value of the Company's Shares as of 31 July 2012 is as follows:-

(GBP) Shares

 
      NAV        MTD Performance   YTD Performance 
--------------  ----------------  ---------------- 
 133.50 pence        +1.47%            -0.28% 
--------------  ----------------  ---------------- 
 

In calculating the Company's Net Asset Value the Company's Administrator will rely solely upon the valuation of (GBP) denominated Permal Macro Holdings Limited ("PMH") Class A shares provided by PMH. The Investment Adviser and third party service providers to PMH, rely on estimates of the value of Underlying Funds in which PMH invests, which are provided, directly or indirectly, by the managers or administrators of those Underlying Funds and such valuations may not be considered 'independent' or may be subject to potential conflicts of interest. Such estimates may be produced as at valuation dates which do not coincide with valuation dates for PMH and may be unaudited or may be subject to little verification or other due diligence and may not comply with generally accepted accounting practices or other valuation principles. The Investment Adviser may not have sufficient information to confirm or review the completeness or accuracy of information provided by those managers or administrators. In addition, these entities may not provide estimates of the value of Underlying Funds in which PMH invests on a regular or timely basis or at all with the result that the values of such investments may be estimated by the Investment Adviser. Both weekly estimates and bi-monthly valuations may be based on valuations provided as of a significantly earlier date and hence the published valuation may differ materially from the actual value of PMH's portfolio. Other risk factors which may be relevant to this valuation are set out in the Company's prospectus dated 12th March 2008.

Monthly Portfolio Review

Investment Adviser Portfolio Outlook

Given the continuing deterioration in Europe and the concerns surrounding the slowdown in global growth, managers remain cautious and at times bearish in their outlook. Many believe that in Europe, the outlook is worsening and, while policy announcements temporarily boost investor optimism and prompt short-term market rallies, they fail to tackle the underlying growth problems in the region. In the US, even though data has softened in the past few weeks, that country still has better momentum than many of its global counterparts. The housing sector in particular continues to be the bright spot. However, the drag of Europe on US growth is causing downward revisions to US GDP.

Market Overview

Risk assets fell early in the month as the European fiscal crisis and global economic slowdown concerns weighed on markets. In the US and China, data pointed to a weaker growth outlook. Europe continued to experience disappointing news with the focus this month on Spain, whose official GDP projection for next year was revised downwards, while a number of Spanish semi-autonomous regions asked the central bank for aid. Amid the turmoil, Spanish bond yields soared to euro era record highs which prompted Spain to implement a ban on short-selling for all Spanish securities. This was followed by a move on behalf of Italy's regulator to ban short-selling of Italian financial stocks. Towards the end of the month, European Central Bank ('ECB') President Mario Draghi indicated that he would do "whatever it takes" to save the euro. Investors took Draghi's statement ("believe me, it will be enough") as a sign that the ECB will resume buying peripheral bonds; as a result, Spanish borrowing costs eased from their intra-month highs towards the end of July but still rose on the month. Ultimately both risk and safe haven assets rose during the month; while the general climate of uncertainty and skepticism favoured safe haven assets, late month optimism following Draghi's statement supported risk assets.

After initially falling on signs of global economic weakness and continued upheaval in Europe, global equity prices, with the exception of major Asian markets, rallied towards month end and ended July on a positive note as. Equity positioning is relatively light and is dominated by two camps. The first group comprises those managers who are short European and US indices, believing that a synchronised global slowdown will put pressure on equities, while the second group comprises those managers who are long certain sectors of the US economy that continue to perform well (such as housing), despite weakness in other areas.

Amid the general climate of doubt and investor skepticism, global bond yields fell. US 10 year treasuries fell to a near record low of 1.39% before ending the month at 1.47%. After similarly falling to near all-time lows, German bond yields rose half way through the month as Moody's revised its outlook for the country from stable to negative. Despite the outlook downgrade, yields on the 10 year bund ultimately fell during the month. Managers continue to hold long positions at the short end of the euro curve and to a slightly lesser extent the 5 to 10 year sector of the US curve. Emerging market-focused managers have long exposure to sovereigns which should continue to benefit from accommodative monetary policy, namely Mexico, Venezuela, Brazil and South Africa.

The euro fell amid bearish market sentiment, hitting a two year low against the US dollar at one point as investors sought safety. It experienced a climb towards the end of the month amid a successful bond auction in Italy and hopes that Draghi would deliver on his words. Nonetheless, the euro ended the month lower versus its global counterparts, including the US dollar and sterling, which rose strongly versus the euro despite the Bank of England's announcement that it would expand its quantitative easing ('QE') program. The Japanese yen was the beneficiary of flows, as the Bank Of Japan did not announce any additional monetary easing at its policy meeting. The currency rose markedly against the euro and, to a lesser extent, the US dollar. The rise in oil prices and the late month increase in risk appetite was beneficial to commodity currencies, which generally rose on the month. Emerging market currencies rallied during the month as they were the beneficiaries of investors' thirst for yield. Being long the US dollar remains the predominant theme in the currency space given the relative outperformance of the US. Some managers have decreased their exposure, however, as they are aware that another round of QE may weigh on the US dollar. Managers maintain short positions in the euro while remaining cognisant of short-term rallies that may be prompted by policy announcements. On the long side, they also favour commodity currencies which should benefit from any additional QE, as well as emerging market currencies which benefit from investors' need for yield.

The commodity sector had a strong month with the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index gaining 6.5% and the S&P North American Natural Resources Sector Index gaining 3.1%. Amid the worst drought in 56 years, the hot and dry weather persisted throughout the US Midwest, damaging crop yields and driving prices considerably higher. Oil prices also rose amid an unexpected drop in US supplies, rising tensions in the Middle East and on the back of speculation that central banks would ease monetary policy to encourage growth, particularly after China reported weaker second quarter year-on-year GDP growth. Exposure in the sector is muted, with small long positions in oil based on the possibility of escalating Middle East tensions, as well as long positions in agriculture based on dry weather conditions in the US.

Strategy Overview

Discretionary: +0.58%. Gains came from the currency sector, namely short positions in the euro versus a number of currencies particularly the US dollar, sterling and Japanese yen, as well as the Australian dollar. Long exposure to emerging market currencies, including the Mexican peso, Malaysian ringgit, Turkish lira and South African rand versus the euro and US dollar was also accretive to performance. Profits also came from long positions in fixed income, namely long exposure at the front end of the euro curve, longs in US treasuries as well as certain emerging market sovereign bonds.

Systematic: +4.82%. Both trend and non-trend followers delivered strong performance in July, with most of the profits coming from currencies and fixed income. In fixed income, long exposure to US and German government bonds proved particularly beneficial. In foreign exchange, trend followers benefited primarily from short positions in the euro, while non-trend followers generated gains from longs in commodity currencies (e.g. the Australian dollar), as well as the Japanese yen. Smaller gains came from long positions in the agricultural sector. These profits more than offset losses from short exposure to energy.

Natural Resources: +2.10%.Managers benefited from the upward momentum in agricultural commodities amid severe weather conditions in the US. Managers also benefited from long crude oil exposure, as sanctions against Iran continued to curb global supplies and tighter inventories.

Relative Value Arbitrage: -0.38%.Losses from equity market neutral managers more than offset gains from managers using liquidity based factors and equity statistical arbitrage strategies.

 
                                               Number of 
                               Allocation      Managers as 
                              as of 31 July        of         Performance by 
 Strategy                           %            31 July        Strategy % 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  ----------------- 
                                                              July      YTD 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Discretionary(1)                  55              22         +0.58    +1.31 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Natural Resources                 8               10         +2.10    -2.89 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Relative Value Arbitrage          6               3          -0.38    -0.21 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Systematic(1)                     26              11         +4.82    +2.42 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Cash                              5               -            -        - 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Total                            100            45(1) 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 

(1) Discretionary and Systematic have one manager in common.

Strategy returns are in US$, net of underlying manager fees only, and not inclusive of either Dexion Trading's or PMH's fees and expenses.

Supplementary Information

Click on, or paste the following link into your web browser, to view a full review of the Dexion Trading Limited portfolio.

http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/1666K_-2012-8-16.pdf

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

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